06-13-2024, 02:43 PM
|
#2481
|
First Line Centre
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by butterfly
It’s simply backward looking results, not a forward looking predictive number.
|
Agree.
The actual probability of coming back from 3-0 is:
- 0.400% team: 2.6%
- 0.500% team: 6.3%
- 0.600% team: 13.0%
- 0.700% team: 24.0%
Actual historic values are ~3%.
|
|
|
06-13-2024, 02:52 PM
|
#2482
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Calgary
|
I want the Panther to just win tonight, don't care the score, just win! So I can watch the Oilers, their fans and all those pundits squirm.
|
|
|
06-13-2024, 02:57 PM
|
#2483
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: I don't belong here
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by dino7c
that is an understatement...win the next two and I think some Oiler fans may admit defeat
|
Stupid refs. Gary Bettman made sure that Canada's team couldn't win. - Oiler fans, probably.
|
|
|
06-13-2024, 03:06 PM
|
#2484
|
#1 Goaltender
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Not sure
|
Canada's team? I thought Edmonton was playing.
__________________
Quote:
Originally posted by Bingo.
Maybe he hates cowboy boots.
|
|
|
|
06-13-2024, 03:09 PM
|
#2485
|
#1 Goaltender
|
So hard to choose between cheering for ONE epic 8-point game out of McDingus, just to build the hopes up so they can come crashing back to earth; and cheering for a clean sweep and watching the Panteros raise the cup on the Coiler Logo in the space toilet as soon as possible.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Biff
If the NHL ever needs an enema, Edmonton is where they'll insert it.
|
|
|
|
06-13-2024, 03:10 PM
|
#2486
|
First Line Centre
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Calgary
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by SeeGeeWhy
So hard to choose between cheering for ONE epic 8-point game out of McDingus, just to build the hopes up so they can come crashing back to earth; and cheering for a clean sweep and watching the Panteros raise the cup on the Coiler Logo in the space toilet as soon as possible.
|
I don't find it difficult at all. I want the Panthers to win every game 10-0 and absolutely crush that team. I don't want them to get a glimmer of hope.
|
|
|
The Following 37 Users Say Thank You to AFireInside For This Useful Post:
|
Aegypticus,
bc-chris,
bdubbs,
Bonecrushing Hits,
btimbit,
Burning Beard,
dino7c,
direwolf,
Engine09,
Eric Vail,
FanIn80,
Finger Cookin,
FLAMESRULE,
flizzenflozz,
Jaybo,
jkflames,
Joborule,
K1LLswitch,
ken0042,
Lanny'sDaMan,
Mazrim,
Pellanor,
PepsiFree,
puckhog,
redflamesfan08,
Roof-Daddy,
sch19lks,
Scroopy Noopers,
SeeGeeWhy,
Slava,
The Yen Man,
topfiverecords,
trackercowe,
troutman,
Winsor_Pilates,
Yobbo,
Zary's-Mustache
|
06-13-2024, 03:12 PM
|
#2487
|
Participant 
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bring_Back_Shantz
Keep in mind that these are all inclusive, meaning that the team that won that was down 3-0, is also in the list of teams that won while down 3-1 and 3-2.
If there is only 1 team that won after being down 3-0, and there is only 1 team that won after being down 3-1, then they MUST be the same team.
|
Yeah we’re saying the same thing in the first part, just that teams who won down 3-1 might never have been down 3-0 (because it also includes teams that were down 2-1, for example).
Can this game start already? I hate math.
|
|
|
06-13-2024, 03:13 PM
|
#2488
|
Participant 
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by AFireInside
I don't find it difficult at all. I want the Panthers to win every game 10-0 and absolutely crush that team. I don't want them to get a glimmer of hope.
|
Yeah, they already had their glimmer of hope by making it to the finals. Who wants to give them another one? That’s just un-Canadian AND un-American.
|
|
|
The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to PepsiFree For This Useful Post:
|
|
06-13-2024, 03:15 PM
|
#2489
|
Lifetime Suspension
|
I am not understanding how anyone can cheer for anything good to happen for Edmonton.
Complete domination and ending this nightmare.
|
|
|
The Following 11 Users Say Thank You to Paulie Walnuts For This Useful Post:
|
direwolf,
Eric Vail,
greyshep,
indes,
K1LLswitch,
redflamesfan08,
Roof-Daddy,
sarge,
Scornfire,
Tbull8,
Yobbo
|
06-13-2024, 04:04 PM
|
#2490
|
#1 Goaltender
|
The people have spoken! I am locking in my thoughts AND my prayers for the full sweep.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Biff
If the NHL ever needs an enema, Edmonton is where they'll insert it.
|
|
|
|
06-13-2024, 04:14 PM
|
#2491
|
Franchise Player
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by PepsiFree
I don’t think this is exactly right.
3-1 would include teams that were down 3-0, but also teams that were down 2-1, 1-0, and even up 1-0. So the team that won while down 3-0 is the same team that won down 3-1, but the team that won 3-1 wasn’t necessary ever down 3-0… if that makes sense.
|
But if a team wins after being down 3-0, then after game 4 they were necessarily down 3-1. That has only happened once, in 1942.
No team that has been down 2-1 and then 3-1 has ever gone on to win the SCF. This is not a reflection of probabilities, it's just a historical fact.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ken0042
Seriously, I am actually surprised that so many Stanley Cup Finals have been sweeps. That's around 25%.
|
Several of those happened in the years after the 1967 expansion, when all the expansion teams were in one division and the Original Six were in the other. The team that came out of the expansion division had no business being on the same ice with its opponent in the finals.
Checking: The St. Louis Blues won the West division in 1968, 1969, and 1970. All three times, they were then swept in the finals.
The numbers also include the very weird 1988 finals, when the Oilers swept the Bruins in five games. Yes, you read that right. Game 4 had to be called with the score tied 3-3, because intense heat and humidity caused a power failure in the Boston Garden. As a result, the no-good Oilers got three of the four games that actually counted at home.
__________________
WARNING: The preceding message may not have been processed in a sarcasm-free facility.
Last edited by Jay Random; 06-13-2024 at 04:20 PM.
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to Jay Random For This Useful Post:
|
|
06-13-2024, 04:19 PM
|
#2492
|
Powerplay Quarterback
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ba'alzamon
um.
Pronger was waaay closer to being the best in 2006 than Bouchard is now lol.
|
I don’t recall hearing about the ‘Prong Bomb’ though…
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to Cycling76er For This Useful Post:
|
|
06-13-2024, 04:22 PM
|
#2493
|
Franchise Player
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cycling76er
I don’t recall hearing about the ‘Prong Bomb’ though…
|
I think that name was already trademarked by a porn producer.
__________________
WARNING: The preceding message may not have been processed in a sarcasm-free facility.
|
|
|
06-13-2024, 04:35 PM
|
#2494
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Calgary, Alberta
|
The only thing that could make the sweep even better, is a jersey throw or two as Bennett and Tkachuk parade the cup around. I’d almost want a tattoo of that!
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to Slava For This Useful Post:
|
|
06-13-2024, 04:40 PM
|
#2495
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: Cape Breton Island
|
I want Florida to win 2 hear breaking wins with some mildly bull#### calls that result in the 'city' of edmonton to be engulfed in violence and riots for days
|
|
|
06-13-2024, 05:17 PM
|
#2496
|
That Crazy Guy at the Bus Stop
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: Springfield Penitentiary
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Paulie Walnuts
I am not understanding how anyone can cheer for anything good to happen for Edmonton.
Complete domination and ending this nightmare.
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
The only thing that could make the sweep even better, is a jersey throw or two as Bennett and Tkachuk parade the cup around. I’d almost want a tattoo of that!
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by White Out 403
I want Florida to win 2 hear breaking wins with some mildly bull#### calls that result in the 'city' of edmonton to be engulfed in violence and riots for days
|
This is sad. Where’s your Canadian pride? Oilers are a Canadian team and can finally bring the cup back to Canada. Other than maybe the leafs, name a franchise that’s suffered more than Edmonton. The city and the fans need this. And no matter what people on CP, the majority of Canada agrees with me. Oilers are the team of destiny. Personally, I’ve spent my whole life cheering for dud franchises. It ####ing sucks. Sports should be about winning and now I cheer for a winner. And you mean people on CP obsess with more losing. Misery loves company I guess.
Edmonton is a city that needs something, anything positive to happen. It can be a rough place to live, especially in the winter. Calling for fans to toss jerseys and riot? Come on. Be better. mcdavid is one of the greatest hockey players in history, how could anyone cheer against him?
I feel like Wayne Gretzky at the salt lake olympics. The whole world wants us to lose but we’re gonna prove the doubters wrong.
|
|
|
06-13-2024, 05:19 PM
|
#2497
|
Franchise Player
|
Frank just called Drai the greatest playoff performer of our generation. I mean he doesnt have a finals point.
__________________
GFG
|
|
|
The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to dino7c For This Useful Post:
|
|
06-13-2024, 05:21 PM
|
#2498
|
#1 Goaltender
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cecil Terwilliger
This is sad. Where’s your Canadian pride? Oilers are a Canadian team and can finally bring the cup back to Canada. Other than maybe the leafs, name a franchise that’s suffered more than Edmonton. The city and the fans need this. And no matter what people on CP, the majority of Canada agrees with me. Oilers are the team of destiny. Personally, I’ve spent my whole life cheering for dud franchises. It ####ing sucks. Sports should be about winning and now I cheer for a winner. And you mean people on CP obsess with more losing. Misery loves company I guess.
Edmonton is a city that needs something, anything positive to happen. It can be a rough place to live, especially in the winter. Calling for fans to toss jerseys and riot? Come on. Be better. mcdavid is one of the greatest hockey players in history, how could anyone cheer against him?
I feel like Wayne Gretzky at the salt lake olympics. The whole world wants us to lose but we’re gonna prove the doubters wrong.
|
The majority of Canada is cheering for you but everyone wants you to lose? Huh?
|
|
|
06-13-2024, 05:22 PM
|
#2499
|
Lifetime Suspension
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by dino7c
Frank just called Drai the greatest playoff performer of our generation. I mean he doesnt have a finals point.
|
To be fair that is probably true. He's probably best playoff guy I remember since Lemieux which will make it even funnier when they never win a stanley cup with him and mcdavid.
|
|
|
06-13-2024, 05:22 PM
|
#2500
|
Celebrated Square Root Day
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tbull8
The majority of Canada is cheering for you but everyone wants you to lose? Huh?
|
Ugh, he's been doing this character for weeks, my man.
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to jayswin For This Useful Post:
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
All times are GMT -6. The time now is 10:05 AM.
|
|