Snake 2015-16

[squiggs96]

In honour of last night's seventh win in a row, I present to you the Snakes of 2015-16. The Flames are currently 4.293 points behind the 96 point pace. That is 4 points behind last year's total after 31 games. The good news is that game 31 from last year was Calgary's 4th loss in a row of an 8 game losing streak. In the next four games (@STL, @DET, WIN, EDM), if Calgary gets 5 points they are on the same pace as last year. It would take 6 straight more wins to get above the 96 point line. Calgary was above the line after game 30 last year, but didn't pop up again until after game 51, for only one game. They didn't remain above the line permanently until after game 79.

[Imported_Aussie]

Also, with how the Pacific is performing this year (6 teams with very similarly average records behind LA), less points may be needed to get 3rd in the division and a guaranteed playoff spot

[CroFlames]

14 straight points, yet still middle of the pack, relatively speaking. Speaks volumes of the hole they dug in the first 1/4 of the season.

[squiggs96]

Originally Posted by CroFlames

14 straight points, yet still middle of the pack, relatively speaking. Speaks volumes of the hole they dug in the first 1/4 of the season.

After game 24 they were 10.098 points behind the 96 point pace. In order to hit 96 points, they need to be on a 110 point pace (1.345 PPG) over the final 58 games. In games 25-31 they are currently on a 164 point pace, so this helps. They still need to finish the final 51 games on a 103 point pace in order to hit 96 points at the end of the year.

[PeteMoss]

96 points is going to irrelevant this year. Maybe Anaheim gets hot and can get to 96 but the other teams aren't going to get there.

[PeteMoss]

By comparison - last year on this date, this was the Pacific Standings:

Anaheim - 49 points
San Jose - 40 points
Vancouver - 38 points
LA - 38 points
Calgary - 36 points
Arizona - 26 points
Edmonton 20 points

Calgary was 5th place last year at this point with a record of 17-14-2 which is a better point percentage than the 2nd place team this year (SJ 16-14-1)

[Resolute 14]

The required points are going to come up, but the fact the Pacific has been an absolute joke has erased our October entirely. To hold third place, we need to finish ahead of Phoenix (on pace for 79 points), Edmonton (75), Vancouver (75) and Anaheim (74). If those teams were to fail to improve, we are already in a position where we don't even need a .500 record from here to the end of the year to make the playoffs.

Some teams will get better though, and others will drop. We just need to be one of the former group, and that means winning the intradivisional games. But making the playoffs in the Pacific might not even require 90 points. (The wild card spots will be higher).

To get to 90:

LA: 24-27-0 (.471)
SJ: 28-22-1 (.559)
Cgy: 29-22-0 (.569)
Ari: 30-21 (.588)
Ana: 31-20-1 (.606)
Edm: 30-19 (.612)
Van: 30-19 (.612)

[Samonadreau]

^92 points to be safe.
30-21-0

[Gaudfather]

Let's hope this snake rises like a cobra!

[Bunk]

Fata...

http://forum.calgarypuck.com/showthread.php?t=151225

...But if you want to own the snake, you can.

Originally Posted by squiggs96

In honour of last night's seventh win in a row, I present to you the Snakes of 2015-16. The Flames are currently 4.293 points behind the 96 point pace. That is 4 points behind last year's total after 31 games. The good news is that game 31 from last year was Calgary's 4th loss in a row of an 8 game losing streak. In the next four games (@STL, @DET, WIN, EDM), if Calgary gets 5 points they are on the same pace as last year. It would take 6 straight more wins to get above the 96 point line. Calgary was above the line after game 30 last year, but didn't pop up again until after game 51, for only one game. They didn't remain above the line permanently until after game 79.

[Enoch Root]

If the Flames can go 2-1-1 in the next 4 games (STL, DET, WPG, EDM) they will have the same record as last year at the 35 game mark.

That is hard to believe.

And if they can find a way to get a point or two today, there is a very good chance that they could have a BETTER record than last year after 35 games.

[squiggs96]

Bad weekend for the snake. Due to the Flames winning games 36-39 last year, the earliest this year's team could get above last year's snake is by winning the next 7 games in a row. If they win 8 in a row they will be at 48 points after 41 games, and be exactly on pace. Do it, Flames. Do it.

[squiggs96]

Since the other snake hasn't been updated in a month, I've brought mine out of hiding.

After 49 games the Flames only have 47 points. They are 10.366 points behind the 96 point pace. They would need to win the next 13 games in a row to get above the pace line. If they go 10-0-1 in the next 11 games, they will catch up to the 2014-15 snake. To make 96 points (yes, I know it might not be 96, but this a 96 point line) they'd need to finish the remaining 33 games with 49 points. This represents a .742 winning percentage, or the equivalent of a 122 point pace.

[Bunk]

Originally Posted by squiggs96

Since the other snake hasn't been updated in a month, I've brought mine out of hiding.

After 49 games the Flames only have 47 points. They are 10.366 points behind the 96 point pace. They would need to win the next 13 games in a row to get above the pace line. If they go 10-0-1 in the next 11 games, they will catch up to the 2014-15 snake. To make 96 points (yes, I know it might not be 96, but this a 96 point line) they'd need to finish the remaining 33 games with 49 points. This represents a .742 winning percentage, or the equivalent of a 122 point pace.

Thanks. It's too depressing right now to do, so go for it.

[burnitdown]

Originally Posted by squiggs96

Since the other snake hasn't been updated in a month, I've brought mine out of hiding.

After 49 games the Flames only have 47 points. They are 10.366 points behind the 96 point pace. They would need to win the next 13 games in a row to get above the pace line. If they go 10-0-1 in the next 11 games, they will catch up to the 2014-15 snake. To make 96 points (yes, I know it might not be 96, but this a 96 point line) they'd need to finish the remaining 33 games with 49 points. This represents a .742 winning percentage, or the equivalent of a 122 point pace.

At the current pace this year, it'll take about 90.5 points to get in. Thinks would look a lot better if that's where the line was set!

[squiggs96]

The snake is pretty much dead. The Flames are on pace for a 74 point season. In order to hit 96 points, they would have to get all 40 points in the last 20 games. Calgary is 14 points behind where they were last year after 62 games. If they had the same point total as last year, they'd be in 8th.

San Jose is 3rd in the division, and is on pace for 98 points. LA is on pace for 103, and Anaheim 102. The two wild card teams are on pace for 95 and 87 points, respectively. Calgary would need 32 points in their last 20 games (131 point pace) in order to get to the 88 point mark.

[heep223]

Silver lining: still above the blue snake!