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Old 04-13-2021, 10:53 AM   #481
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That hunter smith pick still boils my blood. That draft in general was incredibly frustrating. I didn't have point on my personal board, but I wanted Demko over McDonald (stupid choice when it was made, stupid choice now) and Christian Dvorak over Smith (Also a totally baffling decision...) Getting to bragging, I also had Pastranak in my top 4- I was trying to go against the curve and thought Draisaitl would be too slow for the league. So I had him 5 and pasta 4.

2014 draft nuked our rebuild. The best pick the org has ever had was a total bust, and we whiffed on every other pick too. 2013's other 1sts flopping hard does suck, but 2014 was the nail in the coffin of our contender hopes.
I still have my doubts. I think if the Oilers had picked Bennett over Draisaitl, we may be somewhat in the same position, if not different. A lot of us are pinpointing the blame on Bennett, but it’s hard to get anything going when you went from a 2nd line LW to having boat anchor Brouwer and Jankowski as line mates.

I think Draisaitl’s success coincided with being able to play with a generational talent in McDavid. Once he started to get some great chemistry with McDavid, I think he really started to figure out and refine his game. That’s the biggest difference between him and Bennett. And now, he’s a play driver and the other is a complimentary player. There’s nothing wrong with that, but we kept utilizing Sam as a play driver, and one who would still be trying to make Junior dekes and costly penalties at inopportune times.

Maybe I am completely off, but that’s just me. We can’t completely blame ourselves for picking Sam at 4 when Sam at 4 was the general consensus. And we have no fortune ball.

Luckily, this trade in my opinion closes an era and opens a new one, a new one where we are to retool our core.

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Old 04-13-2021, 11:02 AM   #482
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The 2014 draft was a real disappointment. Four picks out of the first 65, and we got Bennett and three guys who didn’t even come close to playing a single NHL game (Mason McDonald, Hunter Smith, Brandon Hickey). Woof.
Not trying to throw rocks but IMO:
2014 draft Treliving hired 1 month before so Treliving did NOT "draft" those guys. That draft was the work of then interim GM Brian Burke.

Burke was not going to draft anyone under 6'0" (I even recall a quote where he said as much but I could be mistaken about reading/seeing it).

It's silly to retrospectively pick out who could've been drafted but Treliving who drafted Mangiapane, Dube, Phillips, Andersson, Kylington may have liked Brayden Point and Montour. Not to mention Demko over MacDonald.

Yes, yes it is silly to look back and say coulda, woulda but 2014 was all truculence and getting Burke types into system.

BPA may have won out or BPA is so subjective a team that drafts centres as top picks in 13,14 won't take a 5'10 centre again and says BPA is another position. I guess who cares after the fact.

I would like to know exactly what teams do when they miss a player : how do they analyze what they missed and what do they learn.
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Old 04-13-2021, 11:16 AM   #483
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Some people won't like my thoughts, but I do think that the Flames developed Bennett poorly. Is it all their fault? Of course not. Bennett does bear some responsibility in all of this as well. I think if you were to contrast and compare how Hartley developed Monahan, vs how Gulutzan developed Bennett, and you will see a world of difference.


In Monahan's first year, Hartley tried to pair him with Baertschi - only Baertshi sucked. However, Monahan was the 3rd line centre and did well. That's good for Monahan. Next year, he was paired with Gaudreau, and those clicked and never looked back (until this season anyway, but that's a different story).


Sam's first year was fine - Backlund's winger is a very good place to break out in this league, and I think Hartley put him in a position to succeed there.


Next season, he should have been the third line centre, and I argue that Tkachuk should have been his line-mate. Third line, just like Monahan and Baertschi, and see what would happen. It just never happened that way. After that, Bennett was tossed around the lineup when Brouwer didn't work, or Neal didn't work, or Jankowski didn't work, or Jagr didn't work (which I argue was looking like a good line, but that's beside the point).


Not all prospects develop the same way. Manigapane is developing well, but, he is a winger, and has had lots of reps at wing. Bennett has been thrown all around the lineup, and I think that was partially the problem. I wish Hartley was the coach for another year, as I think Hartley has been good at developing players (did a good job with Tanguay and Hejduk, Monahan and Gaudreau, and helped make Backlund into an elite two-way centre).


Like I said, it isn't all on the Flames, and Bennett does bear some of the responsibility. It also doesn't mean that Bennett WOULD HAVE turned into some star player either. He might have ended up as exactly the same player that he did. My point is that I don't think the Flames handled his development properly, didn't give him the right opportunity to succeed here, and focused too much on 'winning' rather than building (which in hindsight, has shown itself to be 100% right, especially with deals like the Hamonic one).


Bennett may or may not have been part of the solution. I just think that the Flames were way too aggressive in trying to win the Kentucky Derby, but didn't realize that their horse was nothing more than a colt still.



Chances are that the Flames will enter rebuild 2.0 at some point, as even the most well-run organizations have had to do this like St. Louis and Detroit. However, they can start doing this now too. Play Ruzicka and Kylington over guys like Ritchie and Stone.
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Old 04-13-2021, 11:18 AM   #484
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Hunter Smith was passed by all teams for 7 rounds in 2013. Sucks that we picked him with a 2nd rounder in 2014. At least that was the Berra pick (I think?) so it wasn't too bad. But would've loved to have a serviceable NHLer picked in the 2nd round

All rankings I read had Demko as the #1 goalie so he was who I also wanted. Was surprised we picked McDonald. Boy did he play bad at the 2015 WJC as well.
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Old 04-13-2021, 11:22 AM   #485
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Hunter Smith was passed by all teams for 7 rounds in 2013. Sucks that we picked him with a 2nd rounder in 2014. At least that was the Berra pick (I think?) so it wasn't too bad. But would've loved to have a serviceable NHLer picked in the 2nd round

All rankings I read had Demko as the #1 goalie so he was who I also wanted. Was surprised we picked McDonald. Boy did he play bad at the 2015 WJC as well.
Just an awful draft.
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Old 04-13-2021, 11:23 AM   #486
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Hunter Smith was passed by all teams for 7 rounds in 2013. Sucks that we picked him with a 2nd rounder in 2014. At least that was the Berra pick (I think?) so it wasn't too bad. But would've loved to have a serviceable NHLer picked in the 2nd round

All rankings I read had Demko as the #1 goalie so he was who I also wanted. Was surprised we picked McDonald. Boy did he play bad at the 2015 WJC as well.
Big difference if the Flames go Demko and Montour/Dvorak with those picks instead of McDonald/Smith.
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Old 04-13-2021, 11:27 AM   #487
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Burke is so overrated, especially by himself. I also have my doubts that Demko is today's Demko if we drafted him - this is such a goalie graveyard, and I cannot believe it is just bad luck. Vancouver also had Clarke to mentor him...
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Old 04-13-2021, 11:40 AM   #488
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I know it's all hindsight, but I still recall during draft day, a lot of CP posters were disappointed we took MacDonald instead of Demko, and Smith / Hickey instead of Point. Can you imagine the Flames now if it turned out how CP had wanted it to that day? We'd have a potential #1 goalie, and a franchise centreman.
So, speaking of that 2014 Draft, it is really funny how hindsight can affect our perceptions of the way things actually happen. First, the reaction to the Mason McDonald pick were mixed, but at the time Thatcher Demko was not without a lot of risk:

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On Demko, there are rumors he will need sugery on both his hips so thank God the Flamesa re staying far away from him.
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Sam Constantenau said MacDonald is the best goalie in the draft and if Demko is going to have surgery on both hips...
As for the players most fans were pining for in Rounds #2 and #3...

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Please let one of Dougherty, MacInnis, Glover or McKeown hold on until 54. We should have been able to take 2.
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McKeown is still on the board
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If we can get Cornel at 54 I will be happy...
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Originally Posted by devo22 View Post
Englund gone, Jacobs gone. Good defensemen still on the board: McKeown, Dougherty, Glover, Vanier, Irving, Thomas.
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I hope Justin Kirkland is on the board for our next pick
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Despite the terrible draft coverage, I'd love to see Jack Glover or Ryan Collins at 64.
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Hoping for Jack Glover at 64
A couple posters were eying Point by the time the third round started:
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Peters, Point, Glover at 64
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Top guys left on my list (some of which are small forwards that we probably don't have interest in):
Brayden Point
Brycen Martin
Anton Karlsson
Alexis Vanier
Aaron Haydon
Chase De Leo
Spencer Watson
Alex Peters
Dysin Mayo
Reid Gardiner
Jacob Middleton
And when he was finally selected at #79, this was the only response...
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Brayden Point went. Didn't think the Flames were going to take him because of his size, but his scoring potential would have been great at 83.
But he was not even on this Board's radar in round #2, and when he was picked barely anyone noticed. Not a single poster commented when Christian Dvorak was selected.

There sure was a lot of consternation about having missed out on the likes of Roland McKeown, Justin Kirkland and Jack Glover, though.
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Old 04-13-2021, 11:55 AM   #489
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^ Awesome post. Would be fun to see for every year.
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Old 04-13-2021, 12:10 PM   #490
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Demko and Dvorak were both rated higher consensus than the picks we missed them in. It was very much a "smartest guys in the room" type of arrangement. Yeah, maybe no one picked out point on the board but it's disingenuous to post two comments worrying about Demko's hips when by and large everyone was SCREAMING about not taking Demko there.
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Old 04-13-2021, 12:11 PM   #491
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Yup, draft reactions are always hilarious even live without the benefit of hindsight.

Certain posters always lose their #### when some 17 year old kid they've never seen play before "falls" and the Flames don't pick him either. Even those that do watch junior games will speak with such certainty you'd think they were professional scouts.

Happens every year.
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Old 04-13-2021, 12:25 PM   #492
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So, speaking of that 2014 Draft, it is really funny how hindsight can affect our perceptions of the way things actually happen. First, the reaction to the Mason McDonald pick were mixed, but at the time Thatcher Demko was not without a lot of risk:




As for the players most fans were pining for in Rounds #2 and #3...

A couple posters were eying Point by the time the third round started:


And when he was finally selected at #79, this was the only response...

But he was not even on this Board's radar in round #2, and when he was picked barely anyone noticed. Not a single poster commented when Christian Dvorak was selected.

There sure was a lot of consternation about having missed out on the likes of Roland McKeown, Justin Kirkland and Jack Glover, though.
Yeah it's easy to look back with hindsight...and I feel like how people view team building and especially advanced stats has changed over time. Plus we all ready a couple propsect reports and think we are experts all of a sudden, I know I do it.

Looking back at 2014 and after day 1 I had wanted the Flames to take McKeown and Smith in round too, and didn't hate the pick of MacDonald as it happened.

It's funny though because I look back at my mindset then and I think I had fully bought in to the Burke mindset of playing heavy and needing to be bigger.

My knowledge and understanding of advanced stats and prospect likelihood is much different than it was in 2014.

I look back at that now and think "How did I think that prioritizing size in guys like Smith, Hickey, and Bollig was a good idea"

Barf.
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Old 04-13-2021, 12:55 PM   #493
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Yeah it's easy to look back with hindsight...and I feel like how people view team building and especially advanced stats has changed over time. Plus we all ready a couple propsect reports and think we are experts all of a sudden, I know I do it.

Looking back at 2014 and after day 1 I had wanted the Flames to take McKeown and Smith in round too, and didn't hate the pick of MacDonald as it happened.

It's funny though because I look back at my mindset then and I think I had fully bought in to the Burke mindset of playing heavy and needing to be bigger.

My knowledge and understanding of advanced stats and prospect likelihood is much different than it was in 2014.

I look back at that now and think "How did I think that prioritizing size in guys like Smith, Hickey, and Bollig was a good idea"

Barf.
I think at the draft, you have to take skill. It's really the only place to get it for cheap. I hate when the Flames draft role players. I think even the 7th round pick should have a high upside to them.

I believe you need size and toughness and veterans in your bottom 6, but I think you can get these through trades and signings (BUT not over priced signings). To me, the third line is where you integrate young prospects and the 4th line is where you put the experienced veteran grinders and you don't pay them more than $1.5 million AAV like a Garnet Hathaway.

I don't have a problem with guys like Ritchie and Nordstrom on the 4th line making minimum wage.
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Old 04-13-2021, 01:01 PM   #494
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I always had such mixed feelings on Bennett. I had high hopes for him and wish he could have developed more into the player we all thought he could be but I wish him all the best going forward with Florida.

In the end, I'm happy to see him go. This team needs a fresh look/start, I hope this is just the beginning of some much needed moves.
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Old 04-13-2021, 01:20 PM   #495
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Demko and Dvorak were both rated higher consensus than the picks we missed them in. It was very much a "smartest guys in the room" type of arrangement.
Well, no. That is just not true. Mason McDonald was the highest ranked goalie by Red Line heading into the 2014 Draft. I suspect a big part of the reason for that were the concerns about Demko's hips:
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However, at Red Line, we see him as just one of a closely ranked top four grouping. Overall, we find the netminding class to be a mediocre bunch without a true top-end talent, albeit with decent depth through the middle rounds. We expect to see probably eight to 10 goalies selected in the first three rounds in Philadelphia next week.

For Red Line, the No. 1 guy, by a whisker, is Mason McDonald, who combines great length and wingspan with really good flexibility and athleticism for a gangly kid. He barely got to play in the season's first half while backing up a veteran, but blossomed after a midseason trade. McDonald showed improved techniques, strong lateral movement and a willingness to challenge shooters aggressively. For our money, he has the most long-term upside.
NHLCS had McDonald #2 behind Demko.

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Yeah, maybe no one picked out point on the board but it's disingenuous to post two comments worrying about Demko's hips when by and large everyone was SCREAMING about not taking Demko there.
Here is the entire reaction to the McDonald pick as it played out in real time:

[Spoiler-tags for size —I skipped about a dozen posts in the thread that were responses to previous posts, but this represents a fair cross section of the reaction here to McDonald v. Demko]
Spoiler!


So, no. No one was "screaming about not taking Demko there." I think most of the frustration about the McDonald pick stemmed from the fact that the Flames picked a goalie—ANY goalie—in the top-fifth of the second round. There was a lot of concern about the depth of the prospect pool on the blue line, and most posters were hoping the Flames would have picked a defensman like Andreas Englund, Julius Bergman, Roland McKeown or Jack Dougherty. A number of posters correctly identified Demko as a better prospect, but this was not an off-the-board draft shock like you imagine it to have occurred.

My point is this: most of us think we remember what happened in NHL entry drafts from nearly a decade ago with crystal clarity. But I think the lesson here is that our memories are very much deeply coloured by what has happened in the years since the draft. Like I said above: people remember a freak-out about Demko or Dvorak or Point that simply did not happen. People remember this because all of our memories are incredibly flawed, and easily susceptible to more current events.
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Old 04-13-2021, 01:26 PM   #496
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^ Awesome post. Would be fun to see for every year.
I tried to dig up the 2011 Draft to see reactions to Kucherov and Gaudreau, but I am having difficulty finding that one.
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Old 04-13-2021, 01:33 PM   #497
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One of my sons bears a strong resemblance to Bennett and is close in age. As a result, one part of me will miss Sam being part of the Flames. The other part of me will not miss the deeper pain I seemed to suffer every time the camera focused in on his befuddled look after taking an ill-timed (or even deserved) penalty.

Best of luck Sam!
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Old 04-13-2021, 01:39 PM   #498
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One of my sons bears a strong resemblance to Bennett and is close in age. As a result, one part of me will miss Sam being part of the Flames. The other part of me will not miss the deeper pain I seemed to suffer every time the camera focused in on his befuddled look after taking an ill-timed (or even deserved) penalty.

Best of luck Sam!
My oldest son looks like Sean Monahan.
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Old 04-13-2021, 01:40 PM   #499
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My son is also named Bennett.
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Old 04-13-2021, 01:44 PM   #500
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Where would Heineman fit on our prospect rankings?
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