Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
I think people often conflate twoseparate conversations when talking about AI.
1) AI will displace significant amounts of labour in a relatively short time frame
2) AI has been over capitalized and under delivering what was promised. — AGI
Both of these can be true at the same time and likely are.
Yes there is likely a bubble that will burst and do significant economic harm but there will also be a few companies coming out of this that dominate the future and the labour make up of that future will be different.
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I mostly agree, but I don't think too many people promised AGI by now. Even the ones promising it in 2026 feel ambitious, despite the fact their numbers are growing. A couple years ago it wasn't uncommon to have most estimates be a decade to several decades away. You don't hear many of those anymore (which isn't to say they're wrong, just not as numerous).
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigThief
It's amazing how wholly uninteresting that is.
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As art or watching a show, I see what you might mean there. In general though, what's happening in robotics is staggering. You've got them doing things that people with PhD's in robotics had pegged as 50 years out just a couple years ago.
It's already overwhelming, and if we do happen to hit AGI in the next 1-5 years, progress should explode from there. Assuming they don't kill us. Which would also make videos like this pretty interesting.
