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View Poll Results: Andersson's Fate?
Extended 32 9.67%
Traded Before or at the Draft 197 59.52%
Traded after the draft 38 11.48%
Traded by the trade deadline 64 19.34%
Voters: 331. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 04-23-2025, 08:29 AM   #241
Enoch Root
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yeah, except your faith in the expected stat is way too high
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Old 04-23-2025, 08:37 AM   #242
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Ottawa fans proposing Chabot + for Andersson on HF and I feel like that would be an unreal deal for us. Even just for L-R balance, but I love it. I think its good to have more french guys around for Huby, too.
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Old 04-23-2025, 08:46 AM   #243
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To me it's like man falls of bridge and dies. That's the plus minus stat.

Man falls off bridge trying to get a toddler out of a burning car that was teetering off the edge and dies is the expected stat.

Both are correct, but one has very little context.
Rasmus was the toddler in the burning car this season.

His teammates fell off the bridge trying to save him and died (no playoffs).

There is ZERO excuse for how awful he was this season. Stop trying to create one.
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Old 04-23-2025, 08:46 AM   #244
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Originally Posted by Enoch Root View Post
yeah, except your faith in the expected stat is way too high
Not sure I'd say that.

I think it's the best stat we have.
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Old 04-23-2025, 08:47 AM   #245
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Originally Posted by InternationalVillager View Post
Rasmus was the toddler in the burning car this season.

His teammates fell off the bridge trying to save him and died (no playoffs).
Way to digest actual data and add to the conversation!
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Old 04-23-2025, 08:49 AM   #246
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How about the eye test? He played like crap the last 50 games.
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Old 04-23-2025, 08:51 AM   #247
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Originally Posted by Monahammer View Post
Ottawa fans proposing Chabot + for Andersson on HF and I feel like that would be an unreal deal for us. Even just for L-R balance, but I love it. I think its good to have more french guys around for Huby, too.
Similar players, and he has 3 years remaining on his contract, so the fit is better, but I would rather have assets than a replacement player, personally.

Interesting proposal though
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Old 04-23-2025, 08:52 AM   #248
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What would the + be?
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Old 04-23-2025, 08:54 AM   #249
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Originally Posted by InternationalVillager View Post
Rasmus was the toddler in the burning car this season.

His teammates fell off the bridge trying to save him and died (no playoffs).

There is ZERO excuse for how awful he was this season. Stop trying to create one.
No one is creating excuses. But making outrageous and extreme statements really helps move the conversation forward
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Old 04-23-2025, 08:54 AM   #250
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Way to digest actual data and add to the conversation!
Not sure why you're trying to be sarcastic. The actual data puts a bullet in his head.

Out of 7 Dmen to have played atleast 500 minutes this season:

GF%: 7th
xGF%: 5th

GF% with Andersson OFF the ice: 1st - essentially meaning the Flames goal shares increased dramatically when he left the ice. Weegar was 7th which is obvious. 1st is worst in this case. 7th is best.

He was terrible by most metrics. Stop this. He was quantitatively and qualitatively the worst defender on the Flames this season adjusted for what's expected of him, his role and cap space. He's a massive F grade this year.
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Old 04-23-2025, 09:18 AM   #251
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Originally Posted by Johnny Makarov View Post
How about the eye test? He played like crap the last 50 games.
Not sure I've always trusted your eyes with your hit list of players.
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Old 04-23-2025, 09:20 AM   #252
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Originally Posted by InternationalVillager View Post
Not sure why you're trying to be sarcastic. The actual data puts a bullet in his head.

Out of 7 Dmen to have played atleast 500 minutes this season:

GF%: 7th
xGF%: 5th

GF% with Andersson OFF the ice: 1st - essentially meaning the Flames goal shares increased dramatically when he left the ice. Weegar was 7th which is obvious. 1st is worst in this case. 7th is best.

He was terrible by most metrics. Stop this. He was quantitatively and qualitatively the worst defender on the Flames this season adjusted for what's expected of him, his role and cap space. He's a massive F grade this year.
… who cares?
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Old 04-23-2025, 09:21 AM   #253
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Do we really want Bouchard?



Calgary likely has to add, give Bouchard a huge contract, and hope he somehow finds his game without an Ekholm/Tanev type player to cover for him.
LOL, I don't think the Flames are desperate for a cross-eyed lazy D-man. Sure he can hit that puck at 95MPH but he hardly uses it and he's literally lazy. I'd rather have Boom-Boom Babchuck or Michael Stone back from retirement over the Bomb any day. The only reason why his +/- is higher than Andersson is because McD and Drai are scoring when he's on the ice. The +/- stat is such a stupid stat TBH. I recall Ovie had something like a -50 or -60 one season when he scored 50+ goals!
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Old 04-23-2025, 09:25 AM   #254
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How about the eye test? He played like crap the last 50 games.
Any time I watched the Flames I felt pity for the Defense because Calgary does not have a single forward who can carry the puck through the neutral zone with any level of confidence.

Different league and all, but when I play defense my first look is always the player on the ice who I trust the most. When you're on the ice with guys who always cough it up or can't make clean zone entries you are always second guessing who you should make a pass under pressure to.
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Old 04-23-2025, 09:25 AM   #255
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Originally Posted by InternationalVillager View Post
Not sure why you're trying to be sarcastic. The actual data puts a bullet in his head.

Out of 7 Dmen to have played atleast 500 minutes this season:

GF%: 7th
xGF%: 5th

GF% with Andersson OFF the ice: 1st - essentially meaning the Flames goal shares increased dramatically when he left the ice. Weegar was 7th which is obvious. 1st is worst in this case. 7th is best.

He was terrible by most metrics. Stop this. He was quantitatively and qualitatively the worst defender on the Flames this season adjusted for what's expected of him, his role and cap space. He's a massive F grade this year.
I said the same above.

He was last on the team in xGA60

But his plus minus is massively affected by the fact the team didn't finish when he was on the ice to the same degree as they created.

So if you're going to walk out plus/minus as the dagger it's pretty easy to dig in and see there's more to the story.

Then it goes back to prevention and having the toughest minutes and what that should mean. He's playing 15% more minutes against elite talent than weegar ... should his expected goals/60 be 15% higher?

Not sure to be honest ... it's not a simple equation.

But the plus minus discussion is pretty superficial when you dig in and look deeper.
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Old 04-23-2025, 09:26 AM   #256
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The problem with Andersson is that he was slotted too high. He is more of 2/3 than a 1.

A really good #3 RHD is still a valuable commodity.
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Old 04-23-2025, 09:30 AM   #257
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I still don't think the stat has much merit.

And you don't need it because his expected numbers weren't that good either, so why go to the silly stat?

Go with xGA/60. That's what you are on the ice for in generation against. It doesn't get affected by having a boosted on ice shooting percentage, or a high on ice save percentage ... which happens in a full season.

Andersson was a team worst 2.64 xGA60 on the season.

But then you dig into his expected splits on the season and he's -2.38 on the season compared to -20 5 on 5 in actual goals.

The difference is goals for ... he was only on for 42 goals for compared to 62 in expected goals.

He was also the shutdown guy playing more minutes against elite than any other defenseman. That has to factor in to some degree too ... almost 4 games worth of ice time more than Weegar.

He said he had a rough season, and didn't make any excuses, but the numbers aren't quite as simple as comparing a useless stat.
Why is it always assumed that low shooting percent is all luck and nothing to do with the player? Why is low on ice save percent always on the goalie and not the defender?

I didn't compare Rasmus to Weegar...I used Bahl as Bahl was on the ice with Rasmus for 75% of Rasmus ES minutes. Can I assume that Bahl also played against elite players?
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Old 04-23-2025, 09:54 AM   #258
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I said the same above.

He was last on the team in xGA60

But his plus minus is massively affected by the fact the team didn't finish when he was on the ice to the same degree as they created.

So if you're going to walk out plus/minus as the dagger it's pretty easy to dig in and see there's more to the story.

Then it goes back to prevention and having the toughest minutes and what that should mean. He's playing 15% more minutes against elite talent than weegar ... should his expected goals/60 be 15% higher?

Not sure to be honest ... it's not a simple equation.

But the plus minus discussion is pretty superficial when you dig in and look deeper.
McKenzie Weegar.

what do you mean?
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Old 04-23-2025, 10:00 AM   #259
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Why is it always assumed that low shooting percent is all luck and nothing to do with the player? Why is low on ice save percent always on the goalie and not the defender?

I didn't compare Rasmus to Weegar...I used Bahl as Bahl was on the ice with Rasmus for 75% of Rasmus ES minutes. Can I assume that Bahl also played against elite players?
Don't dig to deep or they will tell you that players have a NTC because of you, and you are 10% nutbar.
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Old 04-23-2025, 10:08 AM   #260
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Ottawa fans proposing Chabot + for Andersson on HF and I feel like that would be an unreal deal for us. Even just for L-R balance, but I love it. I think its good to have more french guys around for Huby, too.
Chabot doesn't make sense for us. He's 28 only under contract for 3 more years.

I would be targeting Pinto or Greig.
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