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View Poll Results: Who would you vote for?
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Biden
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6 |
66.67% |
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Trump
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3 |
33.33% |
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Kanye/other/Independent
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0 |
0% |
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Would not vote
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0% |
11-05-2020, 08:26 AM
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#2841
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NOT breaking news
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stang
Well? Who did she pick to win???
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Maritime Q-Scout
well... what were her predictions for AZ, NV, PA, GA, and NC?
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Quote:
Originally Posted by edslunch
What does she say for the last 5? Help us skip this vote-watching nonsense.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calgary14
What's her prediction for Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania?
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So many questions! 
__________________
Watching the Oilers defend is like watching fire engines frantically rushing to the wrong fire
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11-05-2020, 08:29 AM
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#2842
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Ben
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: God's Country (aka Cape Breton Island)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sliver
GirlySports will be asking the questions around here.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GirlySports
So many questions! |
Sorry, that's your thing, my bad.
__________________
"Calgary Flames is the best team in all the land" - My Brainwashed Son
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11-05-2020, 08:30 AM
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#2843
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calgary14
What's her prediction for Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania?
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Trump:
Alaska
Georgia
Biden:
Arizona
Nevada
Pennsylvania
Sorry Donald, the winner is declared. Lol
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bob-loblaw,
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Calgary14,
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calumniate,
direwolf,
FanIn80,
Fuzz,
GirlySports,
mrkajz44,
PsYcNeT,
Scroopy Noopers,
Slava,
Titan,
Tkachukwagon,
tvp2003,
woob
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11-05-2020, 08:30 AM
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#2844
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by calf
How do the total # of votes between the senate & presidential ballots look? Like are the numbers similar but people are "voting" for Trump and Kelly? Or are Biden votes potentially being tossed out?
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Presidential vote: 2,910,053
Senate vote: 2,887,025
The numbers are consistent with people who may not choose a senate candidate, but the thing is that prior to the two latest traunches of ballots, the trend between Biden and Kelly were pretty consistent. So as more Trump vote comes in, and Biden's percentage dropped, Kelley's remained consistent at 52.11%. Those two should be tied together. As Biden drops and Trump rises, Kelly should drop and McSally should rise. That has not happened in the senate vote. I would consider this an "irregularity" that the data should show.
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11-05-2020, 08:31 AM
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#2845
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Franchise Player
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Her map was exactly the same as mine, then, except that I had Trump winning Arizona.
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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11-05-2020, 08:33 AM
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#2846
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dsavillian
Reports are that there are about 61k more votes left in GA.
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The breakdown is as follows.
45,499 in blue counties
15,868 in red counties
If we assume the votes go 75/25 in each of those areas respectively that will close the gap by ~15,000 in bidens favour.
This is going to be extremely close.
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11-05-2020, 08:36 AM
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#2847
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Calgary
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11-05-2020, 08:36 AM
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#2848
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Ben
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: God's Country (aka Cape Breton Island)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EldrickOnIce
Trump:
Alaska Assuming you mean North Carolina
Georgia
Biden:
Arizona
Nevada
Pennsylvania
Sorry Donald, the winner is declared. Lol
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EDIT: Totally read that wrong, I read it as apologizing to us, and that Donald will be declared the winner... clearly I need more coffee
__________________
"Calgary Flames is the best team in all the land" - My Brainwashed Son
Last edited by Maritime Q-Scout; 11-05-2020 at 08:51 AM.
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11-05-2020, 08:37 AM
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#2849
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#1 Goaltender
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8:30 AM update. Trying to get more accurate with votes outstanding.
Georgia
410,000 votes outstanding. Biden needs 63% of them.
358,000 votes outstanding. Biden needs 62% of them.
308,000 votes outstanding. Biden needs 60% of them.
256,000 votes outstanding. Biden needs 59% of them.
61,000* votes outstanding. Biden needs 66% of them.
*@AmyEGardner
North Carolina (Unchanged)
287,000* votes outstanding. Biden needs 64% of them.
*NYT estimate
Pennsylvania
1,870,000 votes outstanding. Biden needs 69% of them.
1,500,000 votes outstanding. Biden needs 68% of them.
1,440,000 votes outstanding. Biden needs 66% of them.
1,200,000 votes outstanding. Biden needs 65% of them.
1,075,000 votes outstanding. Biden needs 63% of them.
850,000 votes outstanding. Biden needs 62% of them.
630,000* votes outstanding. Biden needs 61% of them.
*NYT estimate
Nevada
194,000* votes outstanding. Biden needs 49% of them.
*NYT estimate
Arizona (Likely already won by Biden)
470,000* votes outstanding. Biden needs 43% of them.
*NYT estimate
__________________
"I think the eye test is still good, but analytics can sure give you confirmation: what you see...is that what you really believe?"
Scotty Bowman, 0 NHL games played
Last edited by united; 11-05-2020 at 08:43 AM.
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11-05-2020, 08:38 AM
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#2850
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Commie Referee
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Small town, B.C.
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11-05-2020, 08:41 AM
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#2851
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Moscow
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KootenayFlamesFan
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Looks like Pennsylvania, Georgia and Arizona are all going to end up so close that they will need recounts. This may well drag on for much longer than anticipated.
__________________
"Life of Russian hockey veterans is very hard," said Soviet hockey star Sergei Makarov. "Most of them don't have enough to eat these days. These old players are Russian legends."
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11-05-2020, 08:48 AM
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#2852
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Franchise Player
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I think GA is coming up short. Trump winning by a few thousand votes. PA doesn't look like its happening either. Unless it is all urban, and most if it from Philadelphia, the break just doesn't seem consistent with statewide results. North Carolina seems still possible, but we won't know for a week. Arizona and Nevada, we should know by this evening. Both are likely to feature some shenanigans. I would like to believe that AZ and NV will stand and be blue, but I think this is all going sideways as the outside interests got involved in "monitoring" elections.
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11-05-2020, 08:50 AM
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#2853
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 Posted the 6 millionth post! |
So in other words Biden's seeming win is in serious jeopardy? This is what I am surmising from recent events and the general tone.
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11-05-2020, 08:51 AM
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#2854
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: A small painted room
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Cheer up New Era - stay positive!!
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11-05-2020, 08:53 AM
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#2855
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Commie Referee
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Small town, B.C.
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11-05-2020, 08:55 AM
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#2856
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#1 Goaltender
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That has to be a ####ing joke, right?
__________________
No, no…I’m not sloppy, or lazy. This is a sign of the boredom.
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11-05-2020, 08:56 AM
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#2857
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NOT breaking news
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Calgary
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Insane. In Canada if you work elections, you can't leave the building until everything's done. Nevada not counting until today, PA and NC counting whenever... these are lawsuits waiting to happen.
__________________
Watching the Oilers defend is like watching fire engines frantically rushing to the wrong fire
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11-05-2020, 08:56 AM
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#2858
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
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It's kinda hilarious to watch New Era go in the complete opposite direction of 2016. When it was obvious early on Trump was trending to winning he tripled down that Hillary was gonna win, and now that a Biden win looks likely he's tripling down that Trump has it wrapped up. Feel free to offer $1,000 bets again.
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
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11-05-2020, 08:57 AM
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#2859
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PsYcNeT
Why is the general public so bad at understanding polling? Math literacy is just...awful.
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It's not just the innumerate general public who are skeptical about the accuracy of polling. The people who spend big money on polls, and the new organizations whose credibility are at risk, are raising serious questions about the faceplants pollsters have performed in back-to-back presidential elections.
The Polling Crisis Is a Catastrophe for American Democracy
Quote:
This is a disaster for the polling industry and for media outlets and analysts that package and interpret the polls for public consumption, such as FiveThirtyEight, The New York Times’ Upshot, and The Economist’s election unit. They now face serious existential questions. But the greatest problem posed by the polling crisis is not in the presidential election, where the snapshots provided by polling are ultimately measured against an actual tally of votes: As the political cliché goes, the only poll that matters is on Election Day. The real catastrophe is that the failure of the polls leaves Americans with no reliable way to understand what we as a people think outside of elections—which in turn threatens our ability to make choices, or to cohere as a nation...
- the Atlantic
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__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by fotze
If this day gets you riled up, you obviously aren't numb to the disappointment yet to be a real fan.
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11-05-2020, 08:58 AM
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#2860
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ozy_Flame
So in other words Biden's seeming win is in serious jeopardy? This is what I am surmising from recent events and the general tone.
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I'm not sure I'm buying the doom and gloom. The trends in GA and PA are very positive for Biden.
NV and AZ are very close to being called, with 3 reputable networks already calling AZ for Biden.
The only way Biden isn't president is if there are shenanigans, which I think is possible but not probable.
I just hope the PA & GA counts come in ASAP and we can put this nightmare behind us. I'm legit willing to forgive my Trump supporting family and friends for supporting him too; I just want to put this behind us already.
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