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Old 03-12-2020, 10:22 AM   #761
cam_wmh
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Yeah, at least we know Trump's CP username now.
How's it look?
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:22 AM   #762
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I think its its funny how paranoid ever one is about coronavirus. Its low as of today as h1n1 and sars and it could climb higher but the majour difference is we have social media that buld fear amongst the populous. There are many that contracted cvod19 and have made a complete recoverey. As the be expected only the old , very young and those with weakened immune systems are experiencing weakened immune systems are having difficulty with this virus as with any other virus. Nothing ro see here really but the access to more platforms of media are really stoking the fire.
You've done no research. get out of here with that bull####. This is unlike anything any of us have seen. All the experts agree on that - this is not SARS, or swine flu. Also, The young are actually virtually completely unaffected - the one silver lining here. It is the ripple affect of having a disease that is at least as contagious as the flu but possibly 40x more deadly spreading throughout the globe that the rest of us should be afraid of. I hope you, or someone you love doesn't need to use the healthcare system over the coming months, because there is a high likelihood that it will collapse if we don't take extreme measures now.

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coron...e-f4d3d9cd99ca read that for a start.
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:24 AM   #763
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How's it look?
ridiculous
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:24 AM   #764
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Yup, because China is handling this properly. We need extreme social distancing measures taken now at a national scale. Cancel all large events, close all non-essential services, advise everyone to stay at home unless absolutely necessary - now, this gets complicated however, because if you close schools it will force nurses, doctors, police officers etc. to stay home if they have children... It needs to be well thought out, yet it needs to happen quickly.
The thing with this is that without an actual cure we still don't know if this is a long term solution.

China's cases have slowed and are starting to decline, but it will take a long time before it reaches zero.

And the second you start to reduce the social distancing measures the risk becomes that we you just end up right back at square one.

This is the risk for sports and large events. You can close down for 30 days, but all it takes is a couple people at a large event in June/July to not realize they've contracted it, and then you're right back where you are right now.
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:25 AM   #765
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Life functions active?

https://twitter.com/user/status/1238137874316394496
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:25 AM   #766
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How's it look?
yuge! size that down my man
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:26 AM   #767
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How's it look?
Mangled the mobile view.
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:27 AM   #768
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The thing with this is that without an actual cure we still don't know if this is a long term solution.

China's cases have slowed and are starting to decline, but it will take a long time before it reaches zero.

And the second you start to reduce the social distancing measures the risk becomes that we you just end up right back at square one.

This is the risk for sports and large events. You can close down for 30 days, but all it takes is a couple people at a large event in June/July to not realize they've contracted it, and then you're right back where you are right now.
There won't be a cure, likely a vaccine will come. The long term solution is that enough people get the virus and recover that we gain herd immunity - however, there are some scientists who believe this could be yearly - think cold, flu and coronavirus season. We will develop some natural immunity over time, and a vaccine will likely be available in at least a year... but yeah, this is unprecedented and completely new territory.
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:30 AM   #769
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I have heard from someone connected to Islanders player that the Flames-Isles game is not happening tonight.
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:30 AM   #770
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Wait, people are still saying "it's just the flu, just wash your hands it'll be fine". Still? Even now?
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:32 AM   #771
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Wait, people are still saying "it's just the flu, just wash your hands it'll be fine". Still? Even now?
Wash your hands and listen to health professionals and you're basically immune.
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:32 AM   #772
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There won't be a cure, likely a vaccine will come. The long term solution is that enough people get the virus and recover that we gain herd immunity - however, there are some scientists who believe this could be yearly - think cold, flu and coronavirus season. We will develop some natural immunity over time, and a vaccine will likely be available in at least a year... but yeah, this is unprecedented and completely new territory.

There's not enough data to determine if contracting and recovering from COVID-19 makes you less susceptible to further infection. This virus could be a merry-go-round
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:33 AM   #773
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Wait, people are still saying "it's just the flu, just wash your hands it'll be fine". Still? Even now?
Yeah, I think part of that is people are afraid and don't want to face reality - another part is they haven't done research and are being ignorant and grossly irresponsible by spreading their uninformed opinions.
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:33 AM   #774
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yuge! size that down my man
Fixed.
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:34 AM   #775
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Wash your hands and listen to health professionals and you're basically immune.
Do you think if I start eating an apple every day that I'll be alright?
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:37 AM   #776
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Do you think if I start eating an apple every day that I'll be alright?
This whole thing might just "disappear" before you get halfway through that apple, my friend.

If you're young and strong, you should basically just keep givin 'er 110%.

(apple green text implied)
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:38 AM   #777
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Do you think if I start eating an apple every day that I'll be alright?
You actually have to dehydrate the apple, grind it up into a powder and snort it. Or have someone blow the apple dust up your butt with a straw. A plastic straw, not a hippie straw.
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:43 AM   #778
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PHOENIX, Ariz. — NHL commissioner Gary Bettman reached out to clubs Thursday morning to tell them the regular season would be suspended due to the spread of the coronavirus, a source indicated to The Post. There was a call scheduled for 1 p.m. to work out some of the details on what is a very fluid situation.

The league had already cancelled morning skates and practices Thursday morning, and they told teams to start working with their buildings to find dates to host games into July. An official announcement was expected later Thursday afternoon.

https://nypost.com/2020/03/12/nhl-se...irus-outbreak/
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:47 AM   #779
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[/B]

That is not true, the death rate doesn't change because you've gone into lockdown. By going into lockdown you slow the transmission rate and therefore ease the impact on the society (think hospitals, etc). The same number of people are likely to be affected in the long term, but what you want to avoid is an exponential spike which can cripple a country (see:Italy).

Edit: I may have misunderstood - were you saying the deaths overall will be less if you go into lockdown (true) or the death rate would go down (not true).?

Second edit: I have been doing some more reading and apparently I am actually wrong here, and it makes complete sense why. My apologies to Kovaz. If you go into lockdown and the system does not get overwhelmed you are far more likely to survive, so this does in fact affect the death rate.
Yep, nailed it with the second edit. It's the 10-20% of people that need hospital care that are most important here - they'll pretty much all recover if there's a bed + whatever other equipment there for them, but if there's no capacity to treat them a lot of them will die. It's all about "flattening the curve" so we're not all sick at the same time.
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Old 03-12-2020, 10:49 AM   #780
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Sorry buddy you are on the wrong side of this one. Shut it down and shut it down now.

Even though we think YYC doesn’t have much for cases it is likely far worse than we think already.

Please read this article:

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coron...e-f4d3d9cd99ca
Ha! I used to work with the author of that article. He was a Product Manager at a Fintech company, not an Epidemiologist however.
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