View Poll Results: Assuming a term of 7 years what will Gaudreau's AAV end up being?
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6.500 - 6.625
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9 |
1.28% |
6.625 - 6.750
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5 |
0.71% |
6.750 - 6.875
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21 |
2.99% |
6.875 - 7.000
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59 |
8.40% |
7.000 - 7.125
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89 |
12.68% |
7.125 - 7.250
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85 |
12.11% |
7.250 - 7.375
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112 |
15.95% |
7.375 - 7.500
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102 |
14.53% |
7.500 - 7.625
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71 |
10.11% |
7.625 - 7.750
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38 |
5.41% |
7.750 - 7.875
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39 |
5.56% |
7.875 - 8.000
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33 |
4.70% |
8.000 - 8.125
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21 |
2.99% |
8.125 - 8.250
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6 |
0.85% |
8.250 - 8.375
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1 |
0.14% |
8.375 - 8.500
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11 |
1.57% |
09-10-2016, 06:50 PM
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#1061
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
Look, no one is suggesting that Gaudreau is going to bust.
We just don't want to overpay him and reduce the Flames' chances of being competitive.
What good is hitting a home run with a 4th round pick if all you do is turn around and give up the farm with him so you can't ice a competitive team?
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At which point he does he become cost prohibitive? $6.75? 7? 7.5?
Anything under 7.1 is reasonable to me.
__________________
”All you have to decide is what to do with the time that is given to you.”
Rowan Roy W-M - February 15, 2024
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09-10-2016, 06:51 PM
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#1062
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
Look, no one is suggesting that Gaudreau is going to bust.
We just don't want to overpay him and reduce the Flames' chances of being competitive.
What good is hitting a home run with a 4th round pick if all you do is turn around and give up the farm with him so you can't ice a competitive team?
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I just don't think 8M, for an elite player, will ruin our chance to be competitive.
Modern NHL = pay elite talent, cycle in support players.
I'm all for the way Treliving is handling this. He's working hard at it, clearly, and wants the best possible deal he can get. I think 8M is fair value, money on either side of 8M +/-, would be deemed as a win for that side in my eyes.
I'm not saying I want to pay him whatever he wants, but if it ends up being 8M? It's fair.
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The Following User Says Thank You to ComixZone For This Useful Post:
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09-10-2016, 06:52 PM
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#1063
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: Kelowna
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ComixZone
Gaudreau was sixth in NHL scoring last year, and everyone knows it was not a fluke.
Tarasenko put up:
19 points in 38 games (.5 PPG)
43 points in 64 games (.67 PPG)
73 points in 77 games (.95 PPG)
Stats on entry level deal: 135 points, 179 games, .75 PPG
Gaudreau put up:
1 point in 1 game (1.0 PPG)
64 points in 80 games (.8 PPG)
78 points in 79 games (.99 PPG)
Stats on entry level deal: 143 points, 160 games, .89 PPG
Tarasenko got 7.5M for 8 years. Gaudreau has proven to be a significantly better scorer than Tarasenko did during his entry level deal.
8M is not an overpayment, so long as it is an 8 year deal.
Another recent contract, if you want to look at it:
Nate Mackinnon (7 years, 6.3M per): .7 PPG
.7 PPG Vs. .89 PPG, is a big gap.
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You shouldn't count Gaudreau's first season, it was one game so it shouldn't factor into his ppg. Tarasenko also played 45 more games over the time Gaudreau did, so he was able to keep the pace up over more games. I like Johnny but he shouldn't be getting Tarasenko money.
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09-10-2016, 06:53 PM
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#1064
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ComixZone
I just don't think 8M, for an elite player, will ruin our chance to be competitive.
Modern NHL = pay elite talent, cycle in support players.
I'm all for the way Treliving is handling this. He's working hard at it, clearly, and wants the best possible deal he can get. I think 8M is fair value, money on either side of 8M +/-, would be deemed as a win for that side in my eyes.
I'm not saying I want to pay him whatever he wants, but if it ends up being 8M? It's fair.
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If it's 8M, it's a huge win for the player.
Fairness is relative but I wouldn't personally describe the contract that way.
__________________
”All you have to decide is what to do with the time that is given to you.”
Rowan Roy W-M - February 15, 2024
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09-10-2016, 06:54 PM
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#1065
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zulu29
You shouldn't count Gaudreau's first season, it was one game so it shouldn't factor into his ppg. Tarasenko also played 45 more games over the time Gaudreau did, so he was able to keep the pace up over more games. I like Johnny but he shouldn't be getting Tarasenko money.
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His PPG is based on total games played and total points scored. Gaudreau has proven to be healthier, and produces at a better rate than Tarasenko.
Gaudreau >> Tarasenko.
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09-10-2016, 06:55 PM
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#1066
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GreenLantern2814
At which point he does he become cost prohibitive? $6.75? 7? 7.5?
Anything under 7.1 is reasonable to me.
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Agreed.
On an 8 year deal, IMO:
Anything with a 6 handle is awesome.
Low 7s, say 7.1 or 7.2 is fair
7.4 to 7.5 is too much
anything over 7.5 is a disaster
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The Following User Says Thank You to Enoch Root For This Useful Post:
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09-10-2016, 06:56 PM
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#1067
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ComixZone
Check my Tarasenko comparison.
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I know this has been said many times, but Tarasenko had more UFA years on his deal, he was eligible for an offer sheet, and he had arbitration rights. All of those things make him a more expensive player than Gaudreau should be.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by CroFlames
Before you call me a pessimist or a downer, the Flames made me this way. Blame them.
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The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to codynw For This Useful Post:
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09-10-2016, 06:57 PM
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#1068
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Sunshine Coast
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ComixZone
At this stage you're just looking for ways to make it not work.
If Vey doesn't make the team, then who cares if we expose him. Ditto with Wotherspoon. It's not like either are very likely to be claimed anyways.
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Oh to be so carefree with our prospects such as Wotherspoon.
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09-10-2016, 06:57 PM
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#1069
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ComixZone
His PPG is based on total games played and total points scored. Gaudreau has proven to be healthier, and produces at a better rate than Tarasenko.
Gaudreau >> Tarasenko.
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When this is mercifully over in a couple weeks, what will be clear to everyone is Treliving >>>> Armstrong.
__________________
”All you have to decide is what to do with the time that is given to you.”
Rowan Roy W-M - February 15, 2024
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The Following User Says Thank You to GreenLantern2814 For This Useful Post:
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09-10-2016, 06:57 PM
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#1070
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Vancouver
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I don't think 7.5 to 8 is complete disaster. I would rather have him at that price than not have him at all.
Anything over 8 is gross overpay, but I do believe the kid is a 9-10 million dollar player for us in the long run.
__________________
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09-10-2016, 06:59 PM
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#1071
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MattyC
I don't think 7.5 to 8 is complete disaster. I would rather have him at that price than not have him at all.
Anything over 8 is gross overpay, but I do believe the kid is a 9-10 million dollar player for us in the long run.
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Yeah and when he's 29 and won us two Stanley Cups, give the man his money.
__________________
”All you have to decide is what to do with the time that is given to you.”
Rowan Roy W-M - February 15, 2024
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09-10-2016, 06:59 PM
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#1072
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: Kelowna
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ComixZone
His PPG is based on total games played and total points scored. Gaudreau has proven to be healthier, and produces at a better rate than Tarasenko.
Gaudreau >> Tarasenko.
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How could he have been healthier if Tarasenko played more games in the same span?
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The Following User Says Thank You to Zulu29 For This Useful Post:
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09-10-2016, 07:01 PM
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#1073
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Vancouver
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GreenLantern2814
Yeah and when he's 29 and won us two Stanley Cups, give the man his money.
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I totally agree. As do most.
Just saying I'd rather have him then not, when it comes down to it.
__________________
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09-10-2016, 07:10 PM
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#1074
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In the Sin Bin
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I'll take a happy, wants to stay with the Flames long term Gaudreau at 8 than a Gaudreau who leaves after 3 years at 6 and leaves a massive hole in the team.
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The Following User Says Thank You to polak For This Useful Post:
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09-10-2016, 07:14 PM
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#1075
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In the Sin Bin
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GreenLantern2814
Yeah and when he's 29 and won us two Stanley Cups, give the man his money.
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Why would you pay him at 29 for stuff he has done but is unlikely to continue doing? That's the problem with the current paradigm most teams subscribe to. That's why there are so many dead weight contracts in the NHL.
I mean we literally just made that mistake with Gio.
If we sign Johnny for 7.5M-8M for 8 years, that contract is going to look like a steal in a few years, when we should begin entering our cup window. Unfortunately, we'll also have a declining Gio on the books . . .
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09-10-2016, 07:22 PM
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#1076
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by polak
I'll take a happy, wants to stay with the Flames long term Gaudreau at 8 than a Gaudreau who leaves after 3 years at 6 and leaves a massive hole in the team.
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Well, fortunately, those aren't the only two choices
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09-10-2016, 07:24 PM
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#1077
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Vancouver
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime
If we sign Johnny for 7.5M-8M for 8 years, that contract is going to look like a steal in a few years, when we should begin entering our cup window. Unfortunately, we'll also have a declining Gio on the books . . .
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Maybe. But it will look like a good deal now AND in the future if it's under 7.5.
Hence, the negotiation. Getting him for less is better for the team, obviously.
__________________
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09-10-2016, 07:28 PM
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#1078
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime
Why would you pay him at 29 for stuff he has done but is unlikely to continue doing? That's the problem with the current paradigm most teams subscribe to. That's why there are so many dead weight contracts in the NHL.
I mean we literally just made that mistake with Gio.
If we sign Johnny for 7.5M-8M for 8 years, that contract is going to look like a steal in a few years, when we should begin entering our cup window. Unfortunately, we'll also have a declining Gio on the books . . .
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There is a thing called RFA years and UFA years. Your NHLPA negotiated this and it is what it is.
Assuming Giordano is a mistake is not going to help your argument.
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09-10-2016, 07:31 PM
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#1079
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Lifetime Suspension
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zulu29
How could he have been healthier if Tarasenko played more games in the same span?
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gaudraeu played 2 seasons on entry level deal, tarasenko played 3 seasons
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09-10-2016, 07:33 PM
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#1080
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Fearmongerer
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Wondering when # became hashtag and not a number sign.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by polak
I'll take a happy, wants to stay with the Flames long term Gaudreau at 8 than a Gaudreau who leaves after 3 years at 6 and leaves a massive hole in the team.
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Im curious...how does he leave after 3 years?
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