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Old 03-09-2015, 03:20 PM   #101
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Being ahead on the 1st tie-break ROW against most of our playoff competition gives me some comfort 94 would be likely adequate, but hopefully they can get to like 98 before LA the second to last game of the regular season or Winnipeg last game of the regular season. It might come down to a win the last game and you're in scenario, which makes me feel ill already thinking about it.
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Old 03-09-2015, 03:22 PM   #102
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This year I think 94 gets you in, but 96 should be the guaranteed mark. So 10 more wins and we're golden.

This is the best playoff thread so far. The snakes are awesome. Especially Edmonton's hahahahahaha.
Edmonton doesn't have a snake. Just a wet piece of spaghetti.
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Old 03-09-2015, 03:22 PM   #103
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Um..no. That's 99+ points.

If that were the requirement, every team in the race would have to be playing like .700 hockey the rest of the way, which is unrealistic.

94 points might be enough. 95-96 positively gets you in.
I will take a bet that the 9th place team wins 10.
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Old 03-09-2015, 03:28 PM   #104
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I will take a bet that the 9th place team wins 10.
you realize the teams play each other right? every team is not going to play at that level please save your money
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Old 03-09-2015, 03:28 PM   #105
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I will take a bet that the 9th place team wins 10.
Only if the 9th place team is Colorado. If the LA does, they're in
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Old 03-09-2015, 03:30 PM   #106
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I will take a bet that the 9th place team wins 10.
If that happens, 9 wins would be enough to stay ahead of them (LA), assuming we retain the ROW tiebreaker.
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Old 03-09-2015, 03:32 PM   #107
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If the Flames go 10-6 there is no doubt they are IN, 9 wins is almost a gurantee
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Old 03-09-2015, 03:44 PM   #108
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I will take a bet that the 9th place team wins 10.
Simplify it into points. If you think the Flames need more than 10 wins, I would gladly take a bet that the 9th place team finishes with lower than 96 points.
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Old 03-09-2015, 03:48 PM   #109
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Probably fairly flaccid
That's what she said.
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Old 03-09-2015, 03:54 PM   #110
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Simplify it into points. If you think the Flames need more than 10 wins, I would gladly take a bet that the 9th place team finishes with lower than 96 points.
Deal

9th place will have equal or more than 96 points
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Old 03-09-2015, 03:59 PM   #111
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There are computers for this now
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html
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Old 03-09-2015, 04:00 PM   #112
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Deal

9th place will have equal or more than 96 points
I can see this in my sig during the playoffs
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Old 03-09-2015, 04:01 PM   #113
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I can see this in my sig during the playoffs
Hey, as long as we're in those playoffs, I couldn't care less!
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Old 03-09-2015, 04:03 PM   #114
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in any event 10 wins is 97 for the Flames and with the likely tie breaker...10-6 should be what they are aiming for just to be safe
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Old 03-09-2015, 04:04 PM   #115
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Deal

9th place will have equal or more than 96 points
Can I get in on this on Oling's side?
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Old 03-09-2015, 04:08 PM   #116
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So wait, what does winner get?
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Old 03-09-2015, 04:22 PM   #117
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Deal

9th place will have equal or more than 96 points
You do realize that this has only happened once in NHL history right? Or correct me if I'm wrong....I only went back to like 1985, far before the loser point.
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Old 03-09-2015, 04:28 PM   #118
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in any event 10 wins is 97 for the Flames and with the likely tie breaker...10-6 should be what they are aiming for just to be safe
So after they win 10 games they should aim to lose the rest of them?
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Old 03-10-2015, 08:22 AM   #119
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You do realize that this has only happened once in NHL history right? Or correct me if I'm wrong....I only went back to like 1985, far before the loser point.
You're not wrong. Before that, the record for most points by a non-playoff team was set by the 1969-70 Habs, who were fifth in the East Division with 92 points. That was a special case. It was the last year in which all the Original Six teams were in the East Division, and all the expansion teams were in the West Division. Not a single team in the West had as good a record as Montreal that year.

Because of the weird circumstances, that record held up for many years.
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Old 03-10-2015, 08:40 AM   #120
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Interestingly enough, sportsclubstats' models has our most likely record at 10-5-1, second most likely at 9-6-1 and third most likely at 9-5-2.
Of their 3.8 billion models run, those three combine for 19.4% of the outcomes, and range from 99.7-94.6% likelihood of making the playoffs.

The next most likely is 8-6-2, which has a 5.45% chance of happening, and still results in an 84.9% likelihood of playoffs.

They have us at a 43% likelihood at 3rd in the Pacific and a 28% likelihood at 2nd.
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