If there were 5 they would have won the game in the 6 hrs we were one vote away from lynching diss, or switched in unison when we had one vote on a variety of people of which at least one was scum.
If Squiggs is town, then likely 2 of the voters for him are mafia. This means that Oling and Starseed are mafia. Which also means Puxlut is mafia.
If Squiggs is mafia, then Timbo and Dissentowner are mafia.
If Squiggs is a third faction, then the most likely option is that those voting for him think he is opposed to themselves, which means Oling and Starseed (and Pux) are mafia.
Anyone see any glaring hole in that logic?
But, I do agree with some of the logic.
If Squiggs96 is mafia, I think that clears Starseed and Puxlut completely. And we will only need to look for his 1 last friend.
If Squiggs96 is town, I will be going after Starseed and Puxlut, but realize that I will not have the best track record either.
As GGG said before there probably isn't 5 mafia because they could have had the numbers to win before.
So Squiggs can't be town, which is what I was suspecting.
The mafia option is unlikely, as it means Diss and Timbo are both mafia. Given that neither of them are confirmed with any certainty, it is possible, but rather unlikely.
So we are going to lynch Squiggs based on the fact that we think he is a throw faction? Everyone is comfortable with that?
__________________
"Wake up, Luigi! The only time plumbers sleep on the job is when we're working by the hour."
So Squiggs can't be town, which is what I was suspecting.
The mafia option is unlikely, as it means Diss and Timbo are both mafia. Given that neither of them are confirmed with any certainty, it is possible, but rather unlikely.
So we are going to lynch Squiggs based on the fact that we think he is a throw faction? Everyone is comfortable with that?
I'm not sure why Squiggs96 can't be town. I wouldn't be voting for him if I didn't think he was mafia, but I don't see why he can't be town either.
Obviously, I am operating under the assumption that at this point, there is only a small chance that the mafia is going to kill their second to last member so blatantly.
This could be a false assumption, but low likelihood.
As am also running under the assumption that we have at least a 3rd faction, if not a 4th. If we have 3 Squiggs is the obvious choice at this time, if we have 4, then Oling.
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"Wake up, Luigi! The only time plumbers sleep on the job is when we're working by the hour."
I disagree that diss would have to be scum if Squiggs flips scum. He has been wanting to vote MOT for a few days. This could be either town or scum behaviour.
If there are two scum left and squigs is town and pux is town I would split my vote between the two. Leaving oling and Timbo as scum.
This fits with him being the inviter of the groups. He doesn't win at the expense of the town as a standard survivor but who knows how Maz adjusted it.
If Squiggs96 is town then you and Starseed are likely mafia, and Pux as well. There is no point in Pux sandbagging her vote to distance herself from SS.
Since we can't have 5 mafia, this is unlikely.
Again, assuming that the mafia isn't going to risk killing one if their own at this point, but that is always a chance.
__________________
"Wake up, Luigi! The only time plumbers sleep on the job is when we're working by the hour."
If Squiggs96 is town then you and Starseed are likely mafia, and Pux as well. There is no point in Pux sandbagging her vote to distance herself from SS.
Since we can't have 5 mafia, this is unlikely.
Again, assuming that the mafia isn't going to risk killing one if their own at this point, but that is always a chance.
If Squiggs96 is town then you and Starseed are likely mafia, and Pux as well. There is no point in Pux sandbagging her vote to distance herself from SS.
Since we can't have 5 mafia, this is unlikely.
Again, assuming that the mafia isn't going to risk killing one if their own at this point, but that is always a chance.
I don't see the reasoning for that and like I said, I don't think it's possible to have a 5 person mafia. Me, Starseed, Puxlut, Aeneas and Girlysports, would have just voted out Squiggs96 or Dissentowner yesterday at one of the many chances. I do agree that if Squiggs96 flips town we should be taking a big look at Starseed (and like I said, I wouldn't have the best track record so I won't blame anyone looking at me either).
If he flips mafia, that clears Puxlut and Starseed in my opinion. Wood would have been 3/3 on his Squiggs96, Aeneas, Girlysports and Diss list so I do think that Starseed's logic on Diss could be correct. And we would also have 2 trackers in the night so a lot of information and time to get the final mafia member.
Either way, I think his reveal will be very telling.
All this is operating under the assumption that GGG, Hg, Drury and myself are as close to confirmed townie as we are going to get without a copy. I don't think anyone will object to that at this point.
If one of those 4 turns out to be mafia, then I am willing to lose and blame it on Mazrim.
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"Wake up, Luigi! The only time plumbers sleep on the job is when we're working by the hour."
The heroes surrounded Pikachu, their weariness of the last while starting to show. They were ready to keep the darkness reeling and felt the little electric Pokemon was the way to go.
Pikachu was decidedly tough to catch though. He zipped around fast as lightning, and tried to shock anyone who came close. Ness used his PK powers to counter the lightning while Little Mac came up and belted Pikachu in the face.
Mr. Game and Watch smashed Pikachu with a helmet attack, and that was the last they saw of the little thing.
squiggs96: Pikachu, Light / Empowerer / Lynched Day 8
They were all disappointed by the result. Maybe they would be able to figure out something during twilight...
It is now Twilight until 11:30 PM. You may post in the following Quicktopic thread about the day's events as you wish until that time, and then the thread will be deleted.
It is now Night 8. You may not post in the thread during this time. If you have night actions, they must be PM'd to me by Monday, November 3rd at 10:00 PM Mountain Time. Please title the PM "Night 8 Action".
