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Old 02-05-2014, 03:22 PM   #1
Arsenal14
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Default Canadian Gold Medal Odds

On the off chance that the bookmakers have more clue about the various competitions than I do, I've checked the Bodog odds for the Canadians:

Favorites:
4:7, Mikael Kingsbury, Mens Moguls
2:3, Brad Jacobs, Mens Curling
5:6, Womens Hockey
1:1, Humphries/Moyse, Womens Bobsled
7:5, Jennifer Jones, Womens Curling
2:1, Patrick Chan, Mens Figure Skating
2:1, Mens Hockey
5:2, Charles Hamelin, Mens 1000m Short-Track
5:2, Charles Hamelin, Mens 1500m Short-Track
3:1, Dara Howell, Womens Slopestyle Skiing
3:1, Max Parrot, Mens Slopestyle Snowboarding

Co-Favorites:
7:4, Short-Track Mens Relay
9:4, Dominique Maltais, Womens Snowboard-Cross

Second Highest Odds:
7:5, Alex Bilodeau, Mens Moguls
3:2, Moir & Virtue, Ice Dance
2:1, Justine Dufour-Lapointe, Womens Moguls
9:4, Charles Hamelin, Mens 500m Short-Track
7:2, Mark McMorris, Mens Slopestyle Snowboarding
7:2, Womens Team Pursuit, Speedskating
4:1, Spencer O'Brien, Womens Slopestyle Snowboarding
11:2, Jasey-Jay Anderson, Mens Parallel Giant Slalom
9:1, Team Relay, Luge

Third Highest Odds:
9:2, Kaya Turski, Womens Slopestyle Skiing
13:2, Chloe Dufour-Lapointe, Womens Moguls
13:2, Erik Guay, Mens Downhill
8:1, Christine Nesbitt, Womens 1500m Speedskating
10:1, Short-Track Womens Relay

Others:
7:1, Marie-Michelle Gagnon, Womens Super Combined (4th)
7:1, Sarah Reid, Womens Skeleton (5th)
7:1, Maelle Ricker, Womens Snowboard Cross (4th)
7:1, Christine Nesbitt, Womens 1000m Speedskating (4th)
10:1, Chris Robanske, Mens Snowboard Cross (T-4th)
10:1, Marianne St-Gelais, Womens 500m Short-Track (5th)
10:1, Kim Lamarre, Womens Slopestyle Skiing (T-7th)
12:1, Alex Gough, Womens Luge (4th)
12:1, Jamie Gregg, Mens 500m Speedskating (7th)
12:1, Jamie Gregg, Mens 1000m Speedskating (6th - pretty impressive since he doesn't race this distance)
12:1, Michael Lambert, Mens Parallel Giant Slalom Snowboarding (T-4th)
14:1, Rush/Springs, Mens 2 Man Bobsled (5th)
14:1, Valerie Maltais, Womens 1500m Short-Track (5th)
14:1, Denny Morrison, Mens 1500m Speedskating (8th)
14:1, Sebastien Toutant, Mens Slopestyle Snowboarding (T-7th)
16:1, Erik Guay, Mens Super G (4th)
16:1, Mens Team Pursuit Speedskating (4th)
16:1, Kripps/Barnett, Mens 2 Man Bobsled (T-6th)
16:1, Denny Morrison, Mens 1000m Speedskating (9th)
18:1, Alex Harvey, Mens 50km Mass Start Cross-Country (8th)
18:1, Maxime Dufour-Lapointe, Womens Moguls (6th)
20:1, Alex Harvey, Mens Skiathlon Cross-Country (6th)
25:1, Mens 4x10km Cross-Country Relay (4th)

Some of the events without posted odds include:
Team Figure Skating
Freestyle Skiing - Aerials
Freestyle Skiing - Halfpipe
Freestyle Skiing - Ski-Cross
Snowboard - Parallel Slalom


Anything that surprises you? Something looking like a very good/bad bet?
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Old 02-05-2014, 03:25 PM   #2
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How many Gold's do you think Canada will win in total?
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Old 02-05-2014, 03:27 PM   #3
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I'll go fairly conservative and guess 10. Could be higher (14-15 is certainly within reach).
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Old 02-05-2014, 03:35 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Arsenal14 View Post
Anything that surprises you? Something looking like a very good/bad bet?
9:2 for Turski looks pretty good to me. The only reason she wouldn't have been considered the favorite is because of her injury, but I think she showed she has overcome that at the X-Games.

Last edited by Roughneck; 02-05-2014 at 03:51 PM.
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Old 02-05-2014, 03:57 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Arsenal14 View Post
On the off chance that the bookmakers have more clue about the various competitions than I do, I've checked the Bodog odds for the Canadians:

Favorites:
4:7, Mikael Kingsbury, Mens Moguls
2:3, Brad Jacobs, Mens Curling
5:6, Womens Hockey
1:1, Humphries/Moyse, Womens Bobsled
7:5, Jennifer Jones, Womens Curling
2:1, Patrick Chan, Mens Figure Skating
2:1, Mens Hockey
5:2, Charles Hamelin, Mens 1000m Short-Track
5:2, Charles Hamelin, Mens 1500m Short-Track
3:1, Dara Howell, Womens Slopestyle Skiing
3:1, Max Parrot, Mens Slopestyle Snowboarding

Co-Favorites:
7:4, Short-Track Mens Relay
9:4, Dominique Maltais, Womens Snowboard-Cross

Second Highest Odds:
7:5, Alex Bilodeau, Mens Moguls
3:2, Moir & Virtue, Ice Dance
2:1, Justine Dufour-Lapointe, Womens Moguls
9:4, Charles Hamelin, Mens 500m Short-Track
7:2, Mark McMorris, Mens Slopestyle Snowboarding
7:2, Womens Team Pursuit, Speedskating
4:1, Spencer O'Brien, Womens Slopestyle Snowboarding
11:2, Jasey-Jay Anderson, Mens Parallel Giant Slalom
9:1, Team Relay, Luge

Third Highest Odds:
9:2, Kaya Turski, Womens Slopestyle Skiing
13:2, Chloe Dufour-Lapointe, Womens Moguls
13:2, Erik Guay, Mens Downhill
8:1, Christine Nesbitt, Womens 1500m Speedskating
10:1, Short-Track Womens Relay

Others:
7:1, Marie-Michelle Gagnon, Womens Super Combined (4th)
7:1, Sarah Reid, Womens Skeleton (5th)
7:1, Maelle Ricker, Womens Snowboard Cross (4th)
7:1, Christine Nesbitt, Womens 1000m Speedskating (4th)
10:1, Chris Robanske, Mens Snowboard Cross (T-4th)
10:1, Marianne St-Gelais, Womens 500m Short-Track (5th)
10:1, Kim Lamarre, Womens Slopestyle Skiing (T-7th)
12:1, Alex Gough, Womens Luge (4th)
12:1, Jamie Gregg, Mens 500m Speedskating (7th)
12:1, Jamie Gregg, Mens 1000m Speedskating (6th - pretty impressive since he doesn't race this distance)
12:1, Michael Lambert, Mens Parallel Giant Slalom Snowboarding (T-4th)
14:1, Rush/Springs, Mens 2 Man Bobsled (5th)
14:1, Valerie Maltais, Womens 1500m Short-Track (5th)
14:1, Denny Morrison, Mens 1500m Speedskating (8th)
14:1, Sebastien Toutant, Mens Slopestyle Snowboarding (T-7th)
16:1, Erik Guay, Mens Super G (4th)
16:1, Mens Team Pursuit Speedskating (4th)
16:1, Kripps/Barnett, Mens 2 Man Bobsled (T-6th)
16:1, Denny Morrison, Mens 1000m Speedskating (9th)
18:1, Alex Harvey, Mens 50km Mass Start Cross-Country (8th)
18:1, Maxime Dufour-Lapointe, Womens Moguls (6th)
20:1, Alex Harvey, Mens Skiathlon Cross-Country (6th)
25:1, Mens 4x10km Cross-Country Relay (4th)

Some of the events without posted odds include:
Team Figure Skating
Freestyle Skiing - Aerials
Freestyle Skiing - Halfpipe
Freestyle Skiing - Ski-Cross
Snowboard - Parallel Slalom


Anything that surprises you? Something looking like a very good/bad bet?

Pinnaclesports has Canada at 3-1, if you bet
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Old 02-07-2014, 05:47 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Arsenal14 View Post
I'll go fairly conservative and guess 10. Could be higher (14-15 is certainly within reach).
10 is a little conservative considering there are 12 more golds available this time around, in some of which Canada is a big contender. I'll go for a small decrease in golds, but increase in overall medals:
12G, 10S, 10B.
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Old 02-07-2014, 10:00 AM   #7
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Dara Howell? No. Kaya is far more likely to win Women's slope. In fact with Tiril out she should be the prohibitive favourite (I guess Maggie Voisin is in the conversation).

Not that it really matters, because it's women's, but it's a medal.

Last edited by 19Yzerman19; 02-07-2014 at 10:08 AM.
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Old 02-07-2014, 06:42 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 19Yzerman19 View Post
Dara Howell? No. Kaya is far more likely to win Women's slope. In fact with Tiril out she should be the prohibitive favourite (I guess Maggie Voisin is in the conversation).

Not that it really matters, because it's women's, but it's a medal.
What a strange post. For someone so dismissive of women's sports, you sure seem to know a lot about women's sports...
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Old 02-07-2014, 07:12 PM   #9
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TOTAL NUMBER OF GOLD MEDALS FOR CANADA
09:30 PM 1109 Over 9.5 Gold medals +110
1110 Under 9.5 Gold medals -129
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