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Old 01-17-2018, 11:39 AM   #1
Insane_Flame
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Default The Athletic comes out with their probability chart.

Thoughts? Agree? Disagree?



https://theathletic.com/117980/2018/...probabilities/

My bad, here is a Facebook link that hopefully works.
https://www.facebook.com/NHLNewsUpda...15594898533646

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Old 01-17-2018, 11:41 AM   #2
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It is behind a paywall. Can someone with a subscription, provide the gist of the chart?
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Old 01-17-2018, 11:42 AM   #3
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Subscriber only content, so it's tough to comment.
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Old 01-17-2018, 11:48 AM   #4
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While I can't access it, I vehemently disagree.
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Old 01-17-2018, 11:49 AM   #5
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While I can't access it, I vehemently disagree.
Totally disagree with you! I also can't access it, but I completely agree on all fronts. Article is bang on.
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Old 01-17-2018, 11:49 AM   #6
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As far as the Flames are concerned, they have them at a 77% chance of making the playoffs and a 11% chance of winning the Pacific division.

/Updated daily according to the article
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Old 01-17-2018, 11:53 AM   #7
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As far as the Flames are concerned, they have them at a 77% chance of making the playoffs and a 11% chance of winning the Pacific division.

/Updated daily according to the article
But what about the Oilers? Rishaug's comments set a high bar yesterday.
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Old 01-17-2018, 11:54 AM   #8
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While I can't access it, I vehemently disagree.
I agree with turd. I wopuld go as far as to say, because this thing is on the interwebz, I am outraged and am off to riot somewhere over lunch
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Old 01-17-2018, 11:55 AM   #9
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But what about the Oilers? Rishaug's comments set a high bar yesterday.
3% playoffs, 0% anything else.
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Old 01-17-2018, 11:57 AM   #10
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13% Chance to make the Finals
6% Chance to win Cup
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Old 01-17-2018, 11:58 AM   #11
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I'll take a nearly 4 in 5 chance to make the playoffs considering how we looked a couple weeks ago. We still have better odds than most of the teams in the Central or the Metro division, and there are some really good teams with odds lower than ours. Thank god we play in the Pacific and thank god the Oilers can be counted on year after year for their no-goodness!
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Old 01-17-2018, 11:58 AM   #12
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13% Chance to make the Finals
6% Chance to win Cup
16 teams in the playoffs - a 2/16 chance of being in the final, and a 1/16 chance of winning the cup without factoring in anything else.
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Old 01-17-2018, 11:59 AM   #13
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Of note, they have Calgary's chance to win the Stanley Cup at 6%.

That's tied with Winnipeg for 2nd in the Western Conference, with Nashville sitting in 1st at 9%.

Also, I love The Athletic.

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Old 01-17-2018, 12:05 PM   #14
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13% Chance to make the Finals
6% Chance to win Cup
Wouldn't all teams who make the playoffs have a 13% chance at making it to the finals (1/8 teams) and a 6% chance at winning the cup (1/16 teams)? haha
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Old 01-17-2018, 12:05 PM   #15
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Originally Posted by TurdFerguson View Post
While I can't access it, I vehemently disagree.
Quote:
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Totally disagree with you! I also can't access it, but I completely agree on all fronts. Article is bang on.
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Old 01-17-2018, 12:07 PM   #16
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Also, I just want to apologize for this abortion of a post. Glad people can still have a nice discussion around it though.
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Old 01-17-2018, 12:09 PM   #17
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Old 01-17-2018, 12:15 PM   #18
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Originally Posted by Insane_Flame View Post
Also, I just want to apologize for this abortion of a post. Glad people can still have a nice discussion around it though.
Man...you asked for our thoughts and opinions on an article we cant read and a chart we cant see.
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Old 01-17-2018, 12:20 PM   #19
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The athletic updates this chart daily and have been doing it since last season.
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Old 01-17-2018, 12:37 PM   #20
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Looks like these probabilities are based on current standings only. Not sure I understand the rationale or value of these predictions.
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