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Old 04-12-2015, 04:39 PM   #121
jg13
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Milbury is no good

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Old 04-12-2015, 08:34 PM   #122
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Wait, that didn't actually happen did it?
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Old 04-12-2015, 08:53 PM   #123
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EldrickOnIce View Post
This is particularly interesting work



The Royal Road



http://www.thehockeynews.com/blog/wh...iquette-knows/
This article is awesome and really puts into words my own thinking on shot quality needing to be factored in.
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Old 04-13-2015, 09:40 AM   #124
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Originally Posted by flameswin View Post
From watching them play this season this seems to be exactly what the Flames do. Not a lot of chances, but the ones they do take are of high quality.

They seem more geared towards a "keep the pressure on until that high scoring area chance comes up and make it count" style rather than coming in and just looking to overload the other team with shots like most teams do.
Actually, I would say the Flames style was more rope-a-dope, or a form of the Stampeders' philosophy of a 'bend don't break' defensive strategy. We spend a majority of our time chasing the puck, but have done well to keep the opponents to the outside, then using our speed to create a counterpunch offence.

Becoming a "keep the pressure on until that high scoring area chance comes up and make it count" would be the next logical progression for our play style, and it would carry with it an improvement in both traditional stats as well as those like Corsi and zone starts (only Buffalo started in their own defensive zone more often than we did).
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Old 04-13-2015, 09:44 AM   #125
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The reason they missed the POs is Wideman to Raymond to Hudler, to the back of the net.

Plus no Voynov and cap issues (caused by the Richards contract) to getting any decent replacements.

Plus a season series loss to the team that beat them out.

What I like is that this makes John Shannon wrong, when he said out of Calgary and LA, LA would win out, at a time when Calgary was ahead (he based it on the Sutter factor).
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Old 04-13-2015, 10:03 AM   #126
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^ Are zone starts strongly correlated with corsi?
I expect they are.

Excellent article here regarding writing off possession metrics failures simply as 'luck'.
http://hockeyanalysis.com/2015/04/12...ion-analytics/
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If you follow me I use possession metrics all the time, I just think that there is too much consideration for when possession metrics succeed in predicting outcomes and too little consideration of when it fails and when other metrics succeed.
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