I think Harris will win. Polls have been rigged for Trump to claim he was cheated, but it didn't work last time so hopefully this time is the same. Seems like a lot of younger voters have been energized to not have another 4 years of this crap. As cruel as it sounds, hopefully COVID did it's job and cancelled out enough of his voters as needed for him to lose. Wife who is Ukrainian is very invested in the US election for the first time ever, with good reason. Last night she asked me what race he is if he has orange skin. That was a fun conversation.
Agreed. It wasn't just Biden being unwilling to step aside, the DNC and Democrat supporters are also to blame for not putting pressure on Biden to step aside when he was clearly showing clear signs of his age and all signs were pointing to a landslide loss if he stayed in. Instead, they continued to support his candidacy and even defended Biden publicly saying he was as sharp as ever!
How do you know they weren't privately putting pressure on him to resign? They couldn't do it publicly if they didn't think they would succeed. Doing so would give him zero chance to win, and it is inevitably his call alone.
I don't know that there was a home run candidate that would win for sure. Any of the favorites have electability problems.
unrest. Civil war. Conservative terrorism. Bombings. Death. Murdered democratic politicians. Camps for immigrants. Mass executions. The fall of western civilization.
we didnt start the fire
it was always burning since the worlds been turning
I predict a legitimate Harris win, but I worry about elections officials and right wing nut jobs in states like GA, WI, PA and MI that will pull some shenanigans and Trump might pull out a victory like Bush in 2000. I also worry about violence by one side.
The SCOTUS will support him if it's close.
That said, if Harris can reach 300+, it'll be undisputed. And we can make politics boring agian.
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Pretty outstanding.
Out and about at 10am here, first Tuesday of month when they test public warning system. For a few seconds after the sirens started going off it seemed like people were unsure what was happening.
Happy election day, y'all!
Dang reading the start of this thread with all of the trump predictions is not what I wanted to read this morning. Luckily CP's favourite pastime is eating crow!
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Dang reading the start of this thread with all of the trump predictions is not what I wanted to read this morning. Luckily CP's favourite pastime is eating crow!
Trump is not winning.
I don't even know how they have polls, who is answering their phone from random #'s.
Elon actually posted this without understanding what a bell curve is.
Spoiler!
... But secondarily, this seems like he's acknowledging that the mouth-breathing groundlings who go to Trump rallies are useful idiots for the people like him who he sees as enlightened.
I just... I don't think Elon is very smart, you guys.
__________________ "The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
My bold predictions- Harris wins. Tester hangs on to his Senate seat in Montana. GOP retains the House.
With respect, in what reality does Jon Tester hold onto his seat in Montana? He's 11 points down right now, and the DNC pulled his fundraising last week. There is no chance he wins.
Electoral College results - 270 - 268
Who takes White House as president - Harris
Popular Vote results -50-49 Harris
Senate split- 51/49 Republicans
House split - 221- 214 Democrats
Most importantly the USA republicans finally put Trump down like a dog. He'll be whimpering, screaming and crying.
This is pretty much my exact prediction, giving a few points on the popular vote in favor of Harris. Perhaps she carries Nevada as well to make it a more comfortable win.
In case anyone is curious about when to expect results in key states, here's a good article to help temper your expectations about any timely race calling. Expect this to drag out to tomorrow for sure, perhaps end of the week if recounts occur.
It's definitely going to drag out, but if they're right about GA and NC counting faster than before, that should give a pretty good indicator. If Harris wins either one of those, she's probably winning the whole thing. If it's close like GA was last time (when we were literally watching vote counts by county, or at least I was) then we wait and hold our breath. If it's an easy Trump win coasting to victory in both then it's probably not a good result overall.
__________________ "The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
With respect, in what reality does Jon Tester hold onto his seat in Montana? He's 11 points down right now, and the DNC pulled his fundraising last week. There is no chance he wins.
Like I said, bold predictions but I think Tim Sheehy is that much of an idiot. He admitted on Megyn Kelly's show this week that there is no medical records to prove his account of his bullet wound. And a little bit of wishful thinking that Tester holds on to that seat.
Cats are eating dogs. Dogs are eating cats. Armies of rabid zombie squirrels descend on voting stations.
Man. I had never considered zombie squirrels. How would you even defend yourself against a swarm of those things? They would be unstoppable - give me human zombies any day.
Recounts Ranged between Gore +171 and Bush +537. But revisionist history generally agrees that the counts that had Gore winning best aligned with voter intention. And all the way back in 2000 the GOP was already using courts and dismissing voter intention in favor of winning.
