11-01-2016, 07:09 PM
|
#761
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: not lurking
|
Looks like a plot to join the democratic republic of the Congo.
|
|
|
11-01-2016, 07:25 PM
|
#762
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Calgary
|
TX, GA, ID, and SC blue? It might as well be.
|
|
|
11-01-2016, 09:23 PM
|
#763
|
The new goggles also do nothing.
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Calgary
|
Florida poll that polls both early voters people that haven't voted yet. Among early voters Clinton leads 55-38%. Among those who haven't voted yet Trump leads 43-42%. Combined that's 48-40% for Clinton.
It's a different kind of poll for sure, not sure what to make of it. Indication that Clinton is winning the ground game?
https://www.scribd.com/document/3296...-Likely-Voters
__________________
Uncertainty is an uncomfortable position.
But certainty is an absurd one.
|
|
|
11-01-2016, 09:43 PM
|
#764
|
First Line Centre
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: Victoria, BC
|
Maybe Hillary already has Florida...
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 11:20 AM
|
#766
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: North Vancouver
|
Good and bad news for Clinton today. Latest polls from CNN/Opinion Research show she's up in Florida (+2) and Pennsylvania (+4), but down in Nevada (-6) and Arizona (-5).
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/.../updates/#plus
Also it looks like Trump's rise in the polls has finally slowed down a bit. His percentage hasn't really moved since yesterday afternoon and he's still hovering around 30%
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 11:23 AM
|
#767
|
Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Crowsnest Pass
|
As long as there is good and bad news for Clinton she should be fine, because Trump pretty much has to sweep the battleground states.
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 11:28 AM
|
#768
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
|
Nevada poll appears to be dubious
Quote:
Jon Ralston
@RalstonReports
In CNN poll, Trump leads Clinton in Clark County by 1: 46-45. There's more chance that Sheldon Adelson gives $500 million to Priorities USA.
|
https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/s...52432216449024
Quote:
Jon Ralston @RalstonReports 39m39 minutes ago
I'm also puzzled -- and this happened before -- why CNN doesn't have big enough sample of Latinos to break them out in crosstabs. Red flag.
|
https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/s...57277212123136
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 11:44 AM
|
#769
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
Just wait until the Wisconsin poll comes out tomorrow. Trump was trending ahead there last time until the tape came out. I expect it'll be very close.
|
I expect to be wrong a lot too. This is a solid poll for Hillary.
Quote:
MULawPoll @MULawPoll 20m20 minutes ago
New Marquette Law School Poll finds Clinton leading Trump among likely voters in WI 46% to 40%
|
https://twitter.com/MULawPoll/status/793866080833921024
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 11:57 AM
|
#770
|
NOT breaking news
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Calgary
|
538 podcast was saying that even though Hillary leads by 5% nationally too many of those votes might be in California where it doesn't matter or in Texas where it may matter (if she wins Texas it's over) but it may not. Gaining a few more million votes in Texas but still losing it means nothing.
__________________
Watching the Oilers defend is like watching fire engines frantically rushing to the wrong fire
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 01:11 PM
|
#771
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
|
So this has been a heavy polling day so here it is. Mostly a good day for Trump though, those PA and VA polls have to be a little concerning for the Hillary campaign.
AZ: Trump 49, Clinton 44, Johnson 5, Stein 1 (CNN/ORC); Trump 47, Clinton 43, Johnson 2, Stein 2 (Emerson)
CO: Clinton 44, Trump 41, Johnson 8, Stein 4 (Emerson)
FL: Clinton 49, Trump 47, Johnson 3, Stein 1 (CNN/ORC)
GA: Trump 51, Clinton 42, Johnson 2 (Emerson)
MO: Trump 52, Clinton 37, Johnson 5, Stein 2 (Emerson)
OR: Clinton 41, Trump 34, Johnson 4, Stein 2 (FOX 12/DHM Research)
PA: Clinton 48, Trump 44, Johnson 4, Stein 2 (CNN/ORC); Clinton 45, Trump 43, Johnson 2, Stein 2 (Susquehanna); Clinton 48, Trump 44, Johnson 3, Stein 1 (Monmouth)
VA: Clinton 44, Trump 39, Johnson 5, Stein 2 (Winthrop); Trump 44, Clinton 41 (Hampton/CPP)
WI: Clinton 46, Trump 40, Johnson 4, Stein 3 (Marquette)
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 01:12 PM
|
#772
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: California
|
The now cast for 538 is starting to get scary. Trump is up to getting 45% of the popular vote. I still don't think this latest FBI scandal is what is driving this change as Clintons popular vote % is only down .6 of a point. The main driver of the close in gap has been trump increasing from 42% at his low point up to 45%.
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 01:14 PM
|
#773
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Marseilles Of The Prairies
|
New Quinnipiac poll is showing pretty decent.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrMastodonFarm
Settle down there, Temple Grandin.
|
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 01:23 PM
|
#774
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
|
Q polls are not bad, but she did lose ground in all of them relative to the last round of Q polls. More than likely that's Republicans who held out supporting Trump returning to the fold.
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 01:35 PM
|
#775
|
First Line Centre
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: Victoria, BC
|
Any thoughts on the Florida TargetSmart poll?
Quote:
A TargetSmart and William & Mary poll of early and likely voters released this morning shows some 28 percent of Florida Republicans who have already voted flipped to cast their ballots for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton.
|
http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/sto...illary-clinton
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 01:44 PM
|
#776
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
|
If that number is true it suggests Florida is a problem for Trump. But I find it pretty hard to believe that many Republicans are voting Hillary. 18% is a more reasonable number.
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 01:49 PM
|
#777
|
#1 Goaltender
|
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Each candidate won Florida exactly 5,000 times in our 10,000 simulations just now. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/
__________________
"I think the eye test is still good, but analytics can sure give you confirmation: what you see...is that what you really believe?"
Scotty Bowman, 0 NHL games played
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 01:53 PM
|
#778
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Calgary
|
Just rhetoric.
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 01:54 PM
|
#779
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: North Vancouver
|
And here I thought Trump had possibly topped out at 30%. Turns out that was just wishful thinking. He's now jumped up to 31.9%. If this trend keeps up, I could see him getting close to 40 by Saturday. This is getting scary.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...forecast/#plus
|
|
|
11-02-2016, 01:57 PM
|
#780
|
First Line Centre
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: Victoria, BC
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by direwolf
And here I thought Trump had possibly topped out at 30%. Turns out that was just wishful thinking. He's now jumped up to 31.9%. If this trend keeps up, I could see him getting close to 40 by Saturday. This is getting scary.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...forecast/#plus
|
Several weeks back he was at 38 percent or something I believe. Or close to 40.
|
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
All times are GMT -6. The time now is 03:47 PM.
|
|