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Old 04-24-2022, 06:31 PM   #5781
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Another spontaneous fire at an oil depot in Russia.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1518383893698732032

https://twitter.com/user/status/1518384718592548864


Geolocation
https://twitter.com/user/status/1518384372977737730
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Old 04-25-2022, 12:56 AM   #5782
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Old 04-25-2022, 03:08 AM   #5783
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An update on my wife's family in Kharkiv Oblast -

Spoiler!
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Old 04-25-2022, 07:36 AM   #5784
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Sounds like the Russian's are going hard after weapons depots and logistics centers where Western Weapons are coming in. They're also doubling down on the strategy of flattening cities and towns, instead of taking them.
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Old 04-25-2022, 08:00 AM   #5785
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https://twitter.com/user/status/1518566038073491459

https://twitter.com/user/status/1518577009433227265

Last edited by burn_this_city; 04-25-2022 at 08:04 AM.
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Old 04-25-2022, 08:15 AM   #5786
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Russia has lost an insane amount of jets in the past 3 days alone, and mostly their best stuff, Su-34 and Su-35s raining down.

3 on 23, 3 on the 24th, looks like several more today. Their 'give Putin a victory at all costs for Victory Day' directive is going to send them back to their imperial days, quite litterally.

They are using an imperial era ship to salvage the Moskva.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1517518693055578113

I wouldn't be surprised to see Russia start using biplanes in a couple weeks.
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Old 04-25-2022, 08:31 AM   #5787
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Bryansk fires potentially from TB-2 Drone strikes

https://twitter.com/user/status/1518591504499023873

TB-2 reportedly shot down in Kursk Oblast Russia.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1518591515421028352
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Old 04-25-2022, 11:54 AM   #5788
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We are getting near to a point where Russia won't be able to do any more offensive pushes and will be stuck trying to defend what they've gained so far.
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Old 04-25-2022, 11:59 AM   #5789
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Byraktar drones are great when the Russians were advancing stupidly way ahead of their AA cover, but now lines are pretty static the TB2s are more vulnerable with quite a few examples of them getting shot down. Other drones with longer ranges and higher payload weapons would be more effective in these scenarios. Luckily the US is training Ukrainians on larger RQ/Ghost drones as we speak.
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Old 04-25-2022, 12:05 PM   #5790
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And here comes the casus belli to invade Moldova. Bellingcat quotes Russian reports of an "attack" on state security buildings in Transnistria.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1518613012684460041
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Old 04-25-2022, 12:42 PM   #5791
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Multiple Stugna hits on Izyum axis near Kharkiv

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Old 04-25-2022, 01:09 PM   #5792
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And here comes the casus belli to invade Moldova. Bellingcat quotes Russian reports of an "attack" on state security buildings in Transnistria.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1518613012684460041
Russia doesn't have anything to spare to attack Moldova, I really doubt they would stage anything right now.

Moldova on the other hand stated a little after the conflict started that it intends to take back Transnistria. With Russian forces extremely pre-occupied, this is the best chance they might ever have.

That said, randombly bombing a government building makes no sense for them. But I don't see it making any sense for Russia either.

Unless they have some really weird plan going on.

Last edited by Itse; 04-25-2022 at 01:17 PM.
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Old 04-25-2022, 01:23 PM   #5793
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Speaking of really weird stuff.

https://mobile.twitter.com/Zeddary/s...02WFfXXj8uHxnA
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Old 04-25-2022, 03:41 PM   #5794
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Byraktar drones are great when the Russians were advancing stupidly way ahead of their AA cover, but now lines are pretty static the TB2s are more vulnerable with quite a few examples of them getting shot down. Other drones with longer ranges and higher payload weapons would be more effective in these scenarios. Luckily the US is training Ukrainians on larger RQ/Ghost drones as we speak.
The only reason you don't hear more about TB2's of late is Turkey requested Ukraine to cool it with the videos. We stopped seeing any TB2 videos after about 10 days. They are still being used effectively, but not in every situation.

https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/0...ring-2022.html

There's only been 4 visually confirmed TB2 drones destroyed.

The cost of a TB2 drone is around 6 million.

In the process they have been instrumental throughout the invasion, and they were also used in the sinking of the Moskva, was responsible for the command post in Kherson, and now seemingly the fuel depot and military building in Bryansk that is over 100km away in Russian territory.

If the Bryansk attacks were done by a TB2 drone and it was shot down, it was well worth the 6 million $ loss for the sheer chaos it caused and how much this hurt the Russian war efforts, and how deep they were able to attack.

And the TB2s likely also had an amazing view of the Neptunes hitting the Moskva that are kept private for now. Effectively, these drones have been involved either directly or indirectly in the biggest eye catching events in the past week.
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Old 04-25-2022, 05:57 PM   #5795
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https://twitter.com/user/status/1518698853402296321
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Old 04-25-2022, 07:05 PM   #5796
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How incompetent are these clowns? They also interpreted ‘3 sims’ as 3 copies of a Sims game rather than SIM cards…

https://nypost.com/2022/04/25/russia...n-attempt/amp/

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Old 04-25-2022, 07:57 PM   #5797
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I can admit that I am woefully unaware of the things of which I have no awareness.

Are you open to enlightening me and others like me on this particular viewpoint by your experience?

Maybe a topic for a new thread? I’m always looking to learn
I'm not entirely clear on what you're asking.

If you're asking why I think that's the case, it's basically because people in the Global South generally have been historically, and continue to be currently, more substantially impacted by the policies, politics, culture, and institutions of the Global North than the reverse has been.

If you're asking what people in the Global South think, well that's most of the world's population and pretty diverse. It's definitely relevant to the situation with Russia and Ukraine though. The narrative in the American and Canadian media is very often about the "international community" being united and the phrase "international rules-based world order" has been getting pushed really hard since Biden got into office, but the world outside the West isn't all aligned with the West on the relationship with Russia or the sanctions. To much of the world, the phrase "international rules-based world order" pretty much sounds like the world according to the West's rules, especially the US, and ordered such that the West is on top. It definitely isn't universally accepted as just, fair and benevolent in the way it is made out to be here.

I don't agree with everything Vijay Prashad has to say in this video, and he's speaking to climate issues here, but I think this is a short talk that captures a sentiment that resonates with a lot of the Global South.



If you were to watch Biden's speech in Poland again from the perspective of someone who has seen a history of interacting with the West from the other side and feels like Vijay Prashad, it would come across quite differently. Try to think how things like 'democracy vs. autocracy', using the financial systems as a weapon, uniting the NATO countries more closely than ever, removing Putin from power, and even Biden opening his talk with a quote from a Pope, may not come across as just, fair or benevolent to people who have interacted with centuries of colonial and imperial Western powers.

There's a lot more cynicism and skepticism in the Global South about the Western rhetoric and about why this war is being treated so differently than other wars and humanitarian crises around the world. Even if the world agrees that Putin's actions make him a war criminal, things like the US pushing to have Putin tried as a war criminal at the ICC when the US doesn't even recognize the validity of the ICC and claims immunity for itself from the ICC under normal circumstances seem like just more of that "rules based world order" where the rules are our rules as and when we feel like applying them.

Of course nearly all the countries around the world condemned Russia's actions in the war against Ukraine, but the united world against Russia that seems to be talked about a lot in politics and in media here, where Russia becomes a global pariah, doesn't seem as likely as it's made out to be imo. Most of the Global South won't be particularly optimistic about a situation with a united and more militarized West while the world is more divided either.
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Old 04-25-2022, 08:32 PM   #5798
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I'm not entirely clear on what you're asking.

If you're asking why I think that's the case, it's basically because people in the Global South generally have been historically, and continue to be currently, more substantially impacted by the policies, politics, culture, and institutions of the Global North than the reverse has been.

If you're asking what people in the Global South think, well that's most of the world's population and pretty diverse. It's definitely relevant to the situation with Russia and Ukraine though. The narrative in the American and Canadian media is very often about the "international community" being united and the phrase "international rules-based world order" has been getting pushed really hard since Biden got into office, but the world outside the West isn't all aligned with the West on the relationship with Russia or the sanctions. To much of the world, the phrase "international rules-based world order" pretty much sounds like the world according to the West's rules, especially the US, and ordered such that the West is on top. It definitely isn't universally accepted as just, fair and benevolent in the way it is made out to be here.

I don't agree with everything Vijay Prashad has to say in this video, and he's speaking to climate issues here, but I think this is a short talk that captures a sentiment that resonates with a lot of the Global South.



If you were to watch Biden's speech in Poland again from the perspective of someone who has seen a history of interacting with the West from the other side and feels like Vijay Prashad, it would come across quite differently. Try to think how things like 'democracy vs. autocracy', using the financial systems as a weapon, uniting the NATO countries more closely than ever, removing Putin from power, and even Biden opening his talk with a quote from a Pope, may not come across as just, fair or benevolent to people who have interacted with centuries of colonial and imperial Western powers.

There's a lot more cynicism and skepticism in the Global South about the Western rhetoric and about why this war is being treated so differently than other wars and humanitarian crises around the world. Even if the world agrees that Putin's actions make him a war criminal, things like the US pushing to have Putin tried as a war criminal at the ICC when the US doesn't even recognize the validity of the ICC and claims immunity for itself from the ICC under normal circumstances seem like just more of that "rules based world order" where the rules are our rules as and when we feel like applying them.

Of course nearly all the countries around the world condemned Russia's actions in the war against Ukraine, but the united world against Russia that seems to be talked about a lot in politics and in media here, where Russia becomes a global pariah, doesn't seem as likely as it's made out to be imo. Most of the Global South won't be particularly optimistic about a situation with a united and more militarized West while the world is more divided either.


I don't want to derail this thread and I don't even know who this guy is but what he said about lecturing and policy regarding climate change and everything is 100% accurate. This is a powerful statement and it goes to show you how far we really are in this issue.

He said it better than almost anybody else I ever heard on it. We love to lecture but the truth of the matter is, until your average, progressive leaning voter who counts climate change as their #1/2 issue legitimately makes due with a fraction of what they do, nobody else is going to step in line.

As for how this all relates to the war with Ukraine and Russia, I have had it with the lecturing from the elites when it comes to things like refugee's, pollution, famine, inflation, the poor etc when it's their policies that cause the same issues of war and it's associated destruction.
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Old 04-25-2022, 08:47 PM   #5799
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Bryansk fires potentially from TB-2 Drone strikes

Pretty ballsy if the Ukrainians did it. That is like 200 km into Russia.
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Old 04-25-2022, 08:53 PM   #5800
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And here comes the casus belli to invade Moldova. Bellingcat quotes Russian reports of an "attack" on state security buildings in Transnistria.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1518613012684460041
That would be a very hard war for them to fight. Transnistria is essentially isolated on all sides by either neutral powers with the shortest distance spanning an active war zone where they are losing.

Maybe its an impetus for incursions from Transnistrian separatists into western Ukraine? but there is honestly no way to supply them.
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