[GT] Canada Election 2025

[chedder]

Originally Posted by Cecil Terwilliger

CTV appears to be calling it as a minority?

Worst outcome? Either bend to Quebec or election in less than a year.

[TrentCrimmIndependent]

Originally Posted by Looch City

I also wonder what Jordan Peterson's take is on this. Love me some of his tears.

I saw a short reel from JRE (he was on there last week I guess) saying that Trump's actions likely flipped Canada to the Liberals.

Appears he was anticipating this.

I'll gladly take a video of him crying though to top off the night.

[PugnaciousIntern]

Originally Posted by #-3

my takes form tonight so far,

New York Time has a better setup for the Canadian election than almost every single Canadian news entity, all people want to do is look at a map, click riding to riding and see the status. F'in hard to find. Embarrassing Canada

All the conservative #### posters here are less informed than I thought, "Super Majority", "Electoral College", "Called before the polls closed in Alberta" (when the Alberta polls had been closed for 45 minutes and several Alberta ridings had already been reported).

I actually think 3 parties have a legitimate case at claiming success here. The Bloc looking at a fairly high seat total in a pretty bi-polar election. The Conns out preforming most polls, and the liberals probably maintaining status quo at worst. NDP and Greens, sorry you have to admit loss.

CTV map looks pretty user friendly

https://calgary.citynews.ca/2025/04/...onton-alberta/

[Samonadreau]

Originally Posted by chedder

Worst outcome? Either bend to Quebec or election in less than a year.

Yes, worst outcome is a Liberal/BQ Coalition.

Thats nightmare fuel.

[Manhattanboy]

Looking more like a LIB minority.

[MegaErtz]

We're almost certainly looking at a Liberal minority now. The NDP will again hold the balance of power despite being almost completely wiped out.

[heep223]

Welp, I just hope that Carney punts Butts and cleans up cabinet (Wilkinson and Guilbeault) and moves more towards center now.

Otherwise we are in for another looooong four years in the West….well more of the same really.

[GGG]

Originally Posted by MegaErtz

We're almost certainly looking at a Liberal minority now. The NDP will again hold the balance of power despite being almost completely wiped out.

I don’t think we have the detail yet. The intriguing point is what is happening in the maratimes with the advanced vote coming in strongly red. If that’s a Canada trend rather than a regional one there is still a path.

[Wormius]

Originally Posted by bluejays

PP had it in the bag a few months ago. All he really had to do was show some empathy as a human. Instead he came across as a hardass and further deepened stereotypes of what a "conservative" person is like. Carney certainly seems more centred than Trudeau too. For PP to double down and be a hardass and not stand for anything in particular aside from pointing out obvious Liberal mistakes, was just a bad move. The guy should be ousted.

Failing to read the room as badly as he did basically did him in. He is such a dumbass. Maybe 4th times the charm and CPC figures it out.

[Samonadreau]

Originally Posted by MegaErtz

We're almost certainly looking at a Liberal minority now. The NDP will again hold the balance of power despite being almost completely wiped out.

Not so fast. Decent chance of BQ holding that power.

[#-3]

Originally Posted by PugnaciousIntern

CTV map looks pretty user friendly

https://calgary.citynews.ca/2025/04/...onton-alberta/

Thanks, I check CTV, but this appears to be a link to City TV and it is a little better.

edit, I still have some issues though, no indication leading vs called, pretty hard to move the map around. I feel like we had better online maps for elections in the 2000s

[Ashartus]

Still early (only 2/266 polls) but Pollievre trailing in his riding (645 votes for the Liberal vs 472 for Pollievre)

[Manhattanboy]

Originally Posted by MegaErtz

We're almost certainly looking at a Liberal minority now. The NDP will again hold the balance of power despite being almost completely wiped out.

Oh and they will claim that they speak for all Canadians, act as though they are the party with the most seats, and present the LIBS with a list of demands that runs on for pages. What a country.

[MegaErtz]

Yeah, the Bloc could hold the balance of power, but I think the Liberal and NDP seat total will be very close to 172.

[MegaErtz]

Originally Posted by Manhattanboy

Oh and they will claim that they speak for all Canadians, act as though they are the party with the most seats, and present the LIBS with a list of demands that runs on for pages. What a country.

That's democracy, baby.

[Johnny Makarov]

It still depends on the advanced vote which went mostly towards the libs. That flipped a few of the maritime seats.

[getbak]

The Liberals aren't leading any ridings in Edmonton (they're not really even close), which I find surprising.

[nik-]

BQ being in a coalition would basically 100% kill any chance of oil infrastructure going east. In a vacuum it sucks that after the last 10 years the Liberals get to form government again, but we're not in a vacuum and PP is potentially one of the worst politicians I've ever seen at being able to see public sentiment.

I hope that this dramatic swing to a loss kills culture war politics as a path going forward, but I'm not optimistic.

[The Big Chill]

This seems really close still

[Manhattanboy]

Originally Posted by The Big Chill

This seems really close still

How so?