Survivor 30 - Lost World; Pool and Discussion

[killer_carlson]

I think Mike has to win immunity the rest of the way or toss in an immunity idol as well. He is 100% gone if he is able to be voted for.

I'm glad Dan is gone, i don't know if I would have bothered watching a final three of Will, Rodney and Dan.

[GreenLantern]

Originally Posted by Jacks

If anything she might have gained some respect for sniffing out the vote and playing her idol at the perfect time.

I never commented on her playing the idol. To assume she would gain anything but respect for playing the idol at the perfect time is very foolish.

What I mentioned was her celebration while the votes were being read. Everyone is assuming that I mean the jury, but what about the future jury members sitting beside her? You think Rodney, Will, etc.. all like having it rubbed in their faces like that?

The common factor you can find between most if not all winners is that they managed to do a good job of either not pissing people off, or pissing off less people than the person(s) sitting beside them.

Right now I would say Mamma C has played a mediocre game and should be focusing more on not pissing people off than her dance moves.

[CaptainCrunch]

Right now Mike and Cas' game is going to be focused on the same thing, getting the remaining players to vote against the other.

the power in this game has shifted to the three most useless players in the game.

Rodney, Will and Sierra could literally be the final three if they find a way to prevent Cas and Mike from winning immunity.

Rodney for all of his bumbling still controls the voter block and really has to be the next one to go if Mike or Cas win immunity.

[CaptainCrunch]

Well this is it, the season finale of while it hasn't been the best season, has been the most angsty personality flaw driven season in the time that I've watched this show.

I have a feeling that Cas or Mike will win at least one immunity idol, and then fail to win the final one and we will have a worthless final three of Will, Sierra and Rodney.

And then the jury will potentially destroy all of them.

The way I see it, if Cas or Mike wins immunity, the other is gone.

Then if the survivor of Mike and Cas fail to win immunity in the final challenge then the alliance of the worthless will get rid of the biggest threat to the million dollars.

IF we get a final three of Sierra, Will and Rodney then Sierra wins easily because while she didn't do anything at all, Rodney and Will are universally hated by the Jury and didn't play great games.

[Weitz]

I am actually impressed with this season. I haven't watched one in a few years and I am really enjoying this one.

[CaptainCrunch]

strategically there have only been a couple of good players. Mike has made some really nice moves, but he's still in it because frankly he's just head and shoulders above the others in the physical department and that wins challenges.

Cas has played an ok game, but she might have hung onto her alliance for too long. But she's the other challenge threat.

Rodney is a bone head, and he can't win a challenge to save his life, most of the jury despise him.

Will is just lazy, he's done nothing in this game, he hasn't made a move, and he's un impressive challenge wise, the jury hates him because they sent Shirim to the Jury box.

Sierra is riding the coat tails there's no other way to describe it, she's just there, and its laughable in her interviews. I could make a big move, but I'm going to stick with my alliance instead.

I'm betting that she wins the whole damn thing because Mike and Cas are in the Jury by the time this is said and done. I doubt there's another Idol out there to save them.

[mile]

This season was good and not great, and I think it was a little over-hyped before it started. Cagayan (28) is still the best season I've watched.

I think one of Mike or Carolyn wins (learning towards Mike), based off the edit. Mike's has been overwhelmingly positive, Carolyn was noticeable in the premiere, then was invisible but has gotten momentum in the last two episodes. I'm guessing Mike continues his immunity run and wins the rest of them.

Sierra is a long, long shot to win. She's been mostly invisible - not a positive or negative edit and she only wins if the final three is her, Rodney, and Will like CC said.

Looking forward to the jury speeches, especially if Will or Rodney are in the final three. Dan will probably ask a stupid, delusional question. Shirin or Jenn would rip Will to shreds.

Just as exciting as the finale itself is the how the season 31 vote plays out. I have a feeling recency bias will come into play and we'll see some very shocking names make it in and be left out, and some fans won't be very happy.

The worst part about the May finale is that there's no Survivor for four months.

[GreenLantern]

Are they revealing the winners for the next season tonight?

[Parallex]

Originally Posted by mile

Just as exciting as the finale itself is the how the season 31 vote plays out. I have a feeling recency bias will come into play and we'll see some very shocking names make it in and be left out, and some fans won't be very happy.

I think the folk from the "middle seasons" will suffer. Fishbach will get in based on his profile but I wouldn't put money on many of the others from those years.

Varner & Wiglesworth will get in based on nostalgia... and probably T-Bird. Fishbach will be back as well... but I wouldn't be comfortable putting anything on any of the others from pre-Blood v. Water 1. That's not to say none will, I just wouldn't bet the farm on it.

For the record I think you can basically end each era of Survivor with an All-Star season...

Era 1 (Classic Survivor) - Seasons 1-8
Era 2 (The Middle Years) Season 9 - 20
Era 3 (The Modern Era) Season 21 - Present

[WhiteTiger]

Well, I think that Mike made an interesting choice. Though, had he gone to the Final 3 with Carolyn and Sierra, he'd have had a much tougher time of it, to be sure. But Will flat out told him that while they said "Final 3" (of Mike, Will and Rodney) that if Mike doesn't win the next one, he's gone. And Mike still went with them.

Either way though, whoever survives the next vote between Mike and Carolyn is likely to walk with the jury.

[WhiteTiger]

Man, watching the faces Dan's making on the jury is hilarious. It's like he's sat on something sharp while swallowing lemons.

[WhiteTiger]

If Carolyn wins that tie-breaker...Mike's made a million dollar mistake. He should have voted Carolyn there.

[WhiteTiger]

Wow, almost an hour with flint to make fire. Painful. Guess we'll see if Mike's made a big mistake or not. I think he has. But...we'll have to see. I'm not sure Carolyn's as popular as she thinks with the jury.

Dan's still funny watching in the jury. He's gonna be a bitter one.

[WhiteTiger]

Wow, some sour grapes there from Dan, surprise, surprise.

Look, Shirin doesn't like Will, surprise, surprise.

I'm thinking Carolyn with 4 (Dan, Shirin, Sierra, Tyler,) Mike with 3 (Joe, Haley, Jenn), Will with 1 (Rodney)

[WhiteTiger]

Well then, congrats Mike, jkflames, and KootenayFlamesFan. Half a virtual mill to you both!

[Parallex]

Heh, Loved Jeff pulling out the raw footage.

[WhiteTiger]

The raw footage was good. Rodney's birthday cake (and Jeff's sarcasm) were both excellent.

I like the look of the Season 31 cast, with the exception of Shirin. >.<

[Parallex]

No Shane Powers... Merika why no long like fun?

[JohnnySkittles]

Pretty good season. #### Dan, god that guy is pathetic. Nice to see the deserving guy win it. Season 31 should be a good one too, really looking forward to seeing Stephen Fishbach on it again. However slightly disappointed Stephanie Valencia isn't on it, she's a babe.

[Parallex]

Originally Posted by JohnnySkittles

However slightly disappointed Stephanie Valencia isn't on it, she's a babe.

Monica/Stephanie/Mikaela were all chasing the same nickle (hot brunette vote) as far as eye candy goes you're lucky you got Monica and Wentworth. Weak field for attractive women.

Kind of surprised that Monica pulled through, I figured that Nat 10 had the best odds of the younger women.