Russia invades Ukraine

[Cheese]

News is coming in from Kupyansk, which Gerasimov and Putin completely captured four months ago.

Z-blogger Romanov reports that all Russian troops who established one of the last strongholds in the city's Central District Hospital have been eliminated.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2034971144168587266

Dark days for Russians at the front, as one of Russia's most popular military bloggers says they are getting slaughtered at the front

https://twitter.com/user/status/2034922945995304982

Delusional. The lion's share of military supply to Ukraine had nothing to do with the weapons used in this new Gulf war.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2035030371314626661

Russian “elites” have had enough of Putin. 😏🔽

“They all view the current center of power as already a toxic figure — not even an active force, but a toxic passive one.”

https://twitter.com/user/status/2034739138193166627

Putin has issued an ultimatum to the US: Moscow is ready to stop sharing intelligence with Iran if Washington, in return, halts intelligence support to Ukraine, - Politico

https://twitter.com/user/status/2035022902836269078

Over the past three days, the Russian Armed Forces have seen a significant increase in casualties.

Every day — more than 1,500 killed and wounded.

March 17–18 — minus 1,710;
March 18–19 — minus 1,520;
March 19–20 — minus 1,610.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2034959651456876649

[calumniate]

I heard somewhere that the casualty ratio is also very bad for Russians. For example 1800 casualties might have the distribution of 2 deaths for every 1 injured (1200 and 600)

[afc wimbledon]

Originally Posted by calumniate

I heard somewhere that the casualty ratio is also very bad for Russians. For example 1800 casualties might have the distribution of 2 deaths for every 1 injured (1200 and 600)

Yes the war is something of a throwback to the 19th century that way, modern wars have tended to see way way more wounded to way way less dead, Russia's complete lack of concern for it's troops is pretty much a throw back to the first world war, I suspect from Putin's point of view a dead conscript is less of a long term cost to the state than a wounded one, it's not just a lack of ability to help their own troops, I suspect they actively don't want to

[Cheese]

Russians launched a large-scale offensive in seven directions, - Biletsky Russian troops simultaneously attacked in seven directions in the Lyman direction in the area of ​​responsibility of the Third Army Corps. The enemy threw into battle more than 500 infantrymen, 28 units of armored vehicles and more than 100 units of motorized vehicles - motorcycles, buggies and ATVs. The operation involved forces from two armies - the 1st Tank and the 20th Combined Arms. Ukrainian fighters showed a video of the repulse of the attack.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2035314535414763525


Looks like leaving the country is the only answer!

https://twitter.com/user/status/2035413182378901520


Donald Trump on how Ukraine "helped" in the fight against Iran: "Ukraine did nothing. Everything Zelenskyy says—that Ukraine supposedly did something to help us—is purely for political and PR purposes."

https://twitter.com/user/status/2035035294794166727


Belarusian dictator Lukashenko said Ukraine and NATO should stay away from Belarus if they want to avoid what he called a “Belarusian Oreshnik.”

https://twitter.com/user/status/2032473943009800470


Ukraine about to take a big bite out of the Russian army in the Zaporozhzhia direction.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2034488218368770256


Europe told Trump and Vance, clearly and seriously, that Russia’s war against Ukraine and its hybrid warfare campaign across the continent represents the greatest security threat Europe has faced since 1945. Europe said this as a NATO ally. As a partner of seven decades. As a bloc that has housed American bases, funded American adventures, and sent its sons to die in American wars without much complaint. Trump and Vance looked at this and said: not our problem.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2034569687552393565


Orban, the Kremlin lackey, came to the European summit and reiterated that he would not release any loans to Ukraine. The incompetent Ursula von der Leyen has done nothing for four years against this pro-Russian scum.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2034564582237176033


The cascading effects that the Ukrainian counterattacks in the Oleksandrivka, Hulyaipole, and Zaporizhia directions have generated in other sectors of the front show how constrained the Russian force structure in Ukraine really is. ⬇️

ISW has previously observed reports that Russian forces have already had to deploy forces from their operational reserve simply to support ongoing combat operations — likely including in Kupyansk where Ukraine has conducted a series of successful counterattacks.

ISW also assessed on March 7 that the Russian command likely laterally redeployed elite VDV and naval infantry units from Donetsk Oblast to the southern frontline, likely in order to respond to recent Ukrainian gains in the Oleksandrivka and Hulyaipole directions.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2031429880764633260


"I told Trump that Europe will be at the table in negotiations regarding security guarantees for Ukraine," — German Chancellor Friedrich Merz Merz called it "unacceptable" for the US and Russia to decide Ukraine's future "over the heads of Ukrainians and Europeans":

https://twitter.com/user/status/2034369790069154187

[Itse]

It's a little early to call definitively, but after less than a week, it's already looking like Russias spring offensive is doomed to fail. Russian losses have been huge with little to no ground gained in most areas.

Meanwhile Ukraine has lately been able to repeatedly hit Russian air defenses deep in the occupied areas, opening the way to increased air strikes. Just as importantly, they're increasingly doing it with domestically built missiles and drones.

[Huntingwhale]

Yeah, good to see the pendulum very slowly but effectively beginning to swing the other direction. It can't be stated just how detrimental the disconnection from Starlink is for the russians. Not out of the woods yet and still no light at the end of the tunnel, but a positive shift nonetheless.

[Itse]

Originally Posted by Huntingwhale

Yeah, good to see the pendulum very slowly but effectively beginning to swing the other direction. It can't be stated just how detrimental the disconnection from Starlink is for the russians. Not out of the woods yet and still no light at the end of the tunnel, but a positive shift nonetheless.

It also looks like Russian drone attacks are down after the crapfest around Iran started.

It might be unrelated, and it might simply be that Russia is stockpiling for future waves, but there's alaoa good chance that Russia was either still relying on Iran for some of its drone production (in fact this would seem likely to me), or Russia is currently sending some of it's drones to help Iran.

[Cheese]

Primorsk, Russia’s largest western oil exporting hub, turns out won’t be benefiting much from Donald Trump’s lifting of sanctions on Russian oil, on the grounds that it was blown to bits this morning by Ukraine.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2036005171700908079

https://twitter.com/user/status/2035957195234537739

It feels to me like the gloves are off. Although we will not know what was going on behind the scenes, I suspect Ukraine had moderated their attacks on Russia in response to pressure from Trump.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2035983650278298033

Netanyahu, collaborating with Russia and the US, endorses Hungarian autocrat and Zionist Viktor Orban, Russia and Israel's top asset in the EU.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2035970460111057024

🔥 FSB chief Bortnikov: Ukraine & British "puppet masters" are actually running Russia

https://twitter.com/user/status/2035887961963631025

‼️ Ukraine’s Fire Point company says it is moving to the next stage of testing its new FP-7 ballistic missile, including test strikes against targets in Russia.

Chief designer of Fire Point company Denys Shtilierman
@DenShtilierman
on the FP-7 ballistic missile:

▪️ FP-7 is an analog of the American ATACMS missile, but costs about half as much;

▪️ Range: up to 300 km, depending on the weight of the warhead;

https://twitter.com/user/status/2033645730615996653

March 2026: Ukraine reaches deep-strike parity with Russia for the first time.

Long-range drone launches surge as Russian strikes drop to 90–110/day.
Range now exceeds 1,500 km

https://twitter.com/user/status/2035881618716397643

Wierd how Trump's Iran "plan" is just a time compressed version of Putin's invasion of Ukraine, with all catastrophic mistakes included.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2035606638673948690

President Zelensky says that Russia's large Winter and Spring offensives were never able to happen because Ukraine's drones have dominated Russian forces in a new 150km kill zone. Zelensky has agreed to allow the EU to fix the damaged pipeline to Hungary if Ukraine's EU loan is no longer blocked.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2034057384193364165

Ukraine will win the war: the number of Russians willing to meet a Ukrainian drone is decreasing.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2035110059303223297

A fuel depot caught fire in Krym, Rostov region.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2036079617451176329

A drone strike hit the Akimivka electrical substation in occupied Zaporizhzhia region on March 22. The attack ignited a transformer, triggering a fire at the facility.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2036070368784289968

SBU exposed a Hungarian intelligence officer who led the Budapest spy network in Transcarpathia in 2025

Activities of the foreign agent were led by a staff member of the Hungarian military intelligence - Zoltan Andre.

As the investigation found, from 2016 to 2020, Andre was in Georgia, where he conducted intelligence activities “under the cover” of a representative of the Hungarian diplomatic mission.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2036070360941015159

🔥 SBU in Donetsk and Luhansk regions is destroying enemy targets on the eastern front.

Destroyed and damaged:
• 2S9 “Nona-S” self-propelled guns;
• 3 D-20 howitzers;
• 23-mm ZU-23-2 twin anti-aircraft gun;
• the location of the personnel of the 14th Kalmius artillery brigade;
• 4 Groza electronic warfare systems;
• 2 KOP-2 electronic warfare systems;
• 2 Silok electronic warfare systems;
• 1L122M Harmon radar;
• SkyHunter4PC/FPV electronic warfare system;
• 2 Pole-21M electronic warfare systems;
• Electronic warfare complex "Peroed";
• 2 radar stations "Enot";
• 3 radar stations ORP Airspace Control System.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2036065440259027004

Information appeared in Russian media about an assassination attempt on Shoigu.

The Russian FSB reported that it prevented the attempt and other assassination attempts on Russian high-ranking officials - as always, blaming Ukraine but giving no proof or confirmation of their theories.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1990498638959948244

[Cheese]

Ukraine is already "depleting" the Russian army faster than it can replenish it, says Magyar in an interview with The Economist

▪️Since the beginning of winter, Ukrainian drones have killed or disabled at least 8,776 more soldiers than Russia has replaced.
▪️ SBS has an ecosystem of 15 interconnected functions – from jamming to surveillance, mining, and explosives production – that NATO generals have yet to comprehend.
▪️Thanks to Magyar's strict security protocols, the cumulative casualty rate in SBS does not exceed 1%.
▪️Enemy losses: 400 Russians for every Ukrainian; the cost of killing one Russian is $878.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2036102355117109725

Russian forces have suffered a major defeat near Lyman, with the loss of numerous men and armoured vehicles. The survivors complain that the Ukrainians "####ed us up like pigs at the slaughterhouse" and accuse a Russian general of a reckless gamble.

https://twitter.com/user/status/2036048649914925167