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Old 01-30-2026, 04:35 PM   #29141
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Not sure what happens here if there’s no election.

Congressmen/women only have a 2 year term. If there’s no election, the majority of them will cease to hold office because their terms are up. That means there’s really no House anymore outside of off year elected officials.

In the Senate, there are more Republican seats up for grabs than Dems. So if there’s no election, all seats up for grabs are gone. Which places the Senate in control of the dems.
Chaos and dictatorship.

If there are no midterm elections it is likely because Trump uses all of the protests against ICE to impose martial law. I assume he would do one of two things with Congress and the Senate:

1) He pauses all seat changes so that he can keep both houses under republican control
2) He tries to justify dissolving congress because he is already bypassing them on big issues like attacking other nations or imposing tariffs

Alternatively, Trump's demands from Minnesota to get ICE out of their state is all of their voting records. This is likely so they can plan to rig the election in their state.

Whichever way he goes it will be a dangerous time around the world as the US will go absolutely insane. Canada and Mexico in particular would need to buckle up and prepare for anything.

From Carney's perspective, "buckling up" means avoiding a Canadian election for as long as possible. He would need to try and lock down Alberta and Quebec separatist threats and he would need to think hard about eliminating American influence on the Canadian people. I've posted a number times about how Americans own a lot of our corporate media but the CBC did a piece on how American AI companies are now setting up to be a massive source of disinformation for Canadians.



I highly recommend everyone watch the video and think on it.
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Old 01-30-2026, 04:53 PM   #29142
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During the early invasion of Ukraine, I started taking in DW News (English language news in Germany). I find it very unbiased, particularly when discussing North American stuff, which they do frequently.

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Old 01-30-2026, 05:33 PM   #29143
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I don't think Ontario has the same number as deplorables as Alberta, but I could be wrong.

Rural Ontario has a huge number of deplorables; just last weekend a white supremacist group in small town Ontario held a demonstration outside a Tim Horton's and made Nazi salutes.


Look at the elections in Ontario and its not hard to see which ridings always vote blue.
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Old 01-30-2026, 05:40 PM   #29144
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Rural Ontario has a huge number of deplorables; just last weekend a white supremacist group in small town Ontario held a demonstration outside a Tim Horton's and made Nazi salutes.


Look at the elections in Ontario and its not hard to see which ridings always vote blue.
Yeah, this attitude always surprises me. Have people even been to other areas of BC, Ontario and Quebec?

The only real difference is the amount of voting power rural Albertan areas have in comparison.

In BC the rest of the Province essentially doesnt matter, however go Vancouver and Victoria so goes BC. Ontario and Quebec are not much different.
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Old 01-30-2026, 05:47 PM   #29145
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Yeah, you don't even need to get that "rural" to start seeing that attitude pretty much anywhere outside of a major city including suburban communities like Airdrie or Okotoks or Abbotsford or Chilliwack etc. I was in St. Catherines for Christmas visiting my brother and you gotta bite your tongue through most conversations with the people that are from there.

Even within the cities, you can pretty easily see the lines of who has money vs who doesn't. And those who do are voting blue.
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Old 01-30-2026, 05:49 PM   #29146
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There are waaaaaayyyyy more deplorables in Ontario than Alberta. They are the exact same place, just with significantly more people and towns.
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Old 01-30-2026, 06:10 PM   #29147
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Yeah, you don't even need to get that "rural" to start seeing that attitude pretty much anywhere outside of a major city including suburban communities like Airdrie or Okotoks or Abbotsford or Chilliwack etc. I was in St. Catherines for Christmas visiting my brother and you gotta bite your tongue through most conversations with the people that are from there.

Even within the cities, you can pretty easily see the lines of who has money vs who doesn't. And those who do are voting blue.

Grew up just outside of St. Catharines - its a mostly white town built on the GM plants and with a high proportion of older white retirees. They will vote in Liberals or NDP (more rarely), but you're right, a lot of the population is still that demographic.
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Old 01-30-2026, 06:13 PM   #29148
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Grew up just outside of St. Catharines - its a mostly white town built on the GM plants and with a high proportion of older white retirees. They will vote in Liberals or NDP (more rarely), but you're right, a lot of the population is still that demographic.
They voted in a Conservative from 2006-2015.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Ca...toral_district)
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Old 01-30-2026, 06:24 PM   #29149
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They voted in a Conservative from 2006-2015.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Ca...toral_district)

I'm aware. They've also had the riding change several times in boundaries which have affected the vote.
I didn't mean to say they always vote Liberal, but they will through some cycles.
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Old 01-30-2026, 06:36 PM   #29150
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Yeah, I also noticed my riding change this time around. It used to be the riding of Wilson-Raybould and I enjoyed sitting in an independent area. Now the southern part of that riding (where I live) is in the same riding as most of Richmond, which isn't even the same city and are separated by a river and airport. It's really weird.

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Spoiler!


Feeling kind of gerrymandered.
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Old 01-30-2026, 06:42 PM   #29151
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Yes. Gerrymandered by... the independent body that literally just goes by population.

I've been in Seymour/Burnaby pretty much my whole life and you cannot get to one part of the riding to the other without going through another riding. The two sides of the inlet have almost nothing in common. It's just like that sometime.
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Old 01-30-2026, 06:46 PM   #29152
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Yeah, I also noticed my riding change this time around. It used to be the riding of Wilson-Raybould and I enjoyed sitting in an independent area. Now the southern part of that riding (where I live) is in the same riding as most of Richmond, which isn't even the same city and are separated by a river and airport. It's really weird.

Large images:

Spoiler!


Feeling kind of gerrymandered.
Wouldn't it be nice if we had a mixed member proportional representation system where your vote would count no matter what?
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Old 01-30-2026, 06:47 PM   #29153
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I would bet that the desire for separation is stronger in some regions of the U.S. than in Alberta. The main difference is that Canada allows it within the democratic framework and the U.S. will take advantage of that. In the U.S., there is no mechanism for it and it's simply not allowed. The only way to achieve it would be through force.

Still, I think the U.S. starts to splinter before Canada as long as MAGA is running the country.
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Old 01-30-2026, 06:51 PM   #29154
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Yes. Gerrymandered by... the independent body that literally just goes by population.

I've been in Seymour/Burnaby pretty much my whole life and you cannot get to one part of the riding to the other without going through another riding. The two sides of the inlet have almost nothing in common. It's just like that sometime.
Oh yeah that is also a very weird split. Not really implying there's wrongdoing, just seems like a strange way to fit the population together, I'm sure there's a better way along proper demographics. For mine, they could have easily taken the same chunk of population from Richmond itself, just like yours could probably eat up Coquitlam and the North Shore could be its own thing. But yeah I'm sure it's a tough puzzle.

I do worry stuff like this will give way more and more to AI modelling vs actual human knowledge of areas and these types of things will happen more frequently. Same with AI customer service where there is/will be literally no nuance or human element left to find in "policy".
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Old 01-31-2026, 06:50 AM   #29155
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Great news! Poilievre remains leader with 87.4% of the vote!
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Old 01-31-2026, 07:25 AM   #29156
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Great news! Poilievre remains leader with 87.4% of the vote!
Well, how could he not after such an amazing rally cry to party members in his address where he *checks notes*….blamed the Liberals for everything and presented absolutely no firm policy objectives of his own.

Just more pablum for the party faithful, doubling down on campaign speeches from an election where he someone managed to lose when was seen as an unloseable advantage. Will he ever figure out that his opponent in no longer Trudeau?

I doubt we’ll see an election soon. Carney would wipe the floor with him. It’s about being qualified to manage the current economic climate…and not. Having a vision for Canada’s future…and not. Carney is a heavyweight and Pierre is a yapp little dog nipping at his heels. (With a nod to the West Wing)

All Pierre will do is keep updating his same tired party lines. In 2027 it will be “after twelve years of Liberal rule” instead of ten.
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