Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community

Go Back   Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community > Main Forums > The Off Topic Forum
Register Forum Rules FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Old 06-24-2025, 06:40 PM   #461
Fuzz
Franchise Player
 
Fuzz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Pickle Jar Lake
Exp:
Default

Unfortunately those are rational conditions, and rationality isn't really a strong point of existential religious warmongers. If you promised them success in death, they'd ask where to sign.
Fuzz is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-24-2025, 07:45 PM   #462
FlamesAddiction
Franchise Player
 
FlamesAddiction's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Vancouver
Exp:
Default

This is probably a pretty balanced report on Iran and their nuclear ambitions.

__________________
"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
FlamesAddiction is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-24-2025, 08:57 PM   #463
chemgear
Franchise Player
 
Join Date: Feb 2010
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by FlamesAddiction View Post
This is probably a pretty balanced report on Iran and their nuclear ambitions.

So Occam's razor has them going for a bomb?
chemgear is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-24-2025, 09:11 PM   #464
Paulie Walnuts
Franchise Player
 
Paulie Walnuts's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2022
Exp:
Default

https://twitter.com/user/status/1937520430660681970
Paulie Walnuts is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to Paulie Walnuts For This Useful Post:
Old 06-25-2025, 01:12 AM   #465
Itse
Franchise Player
 
Itse's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Helsinki, Finland
Exp:
Default

So...

President Netanyahu declared the war a historic victory for Israel. President Pezeshkian declared it a great victory for Iran.

Around 1000 Iranians and a couple of dozen Israelis died. More than 6000 people were injured (split fairly evenly). Around 150 people arrested in Iran as suspected Mossad agents, at least 2 have already been executed and more likely to come

Billions of Israeli, Iranian and US taxpayer money was spent in the form of spent or destroyed military materiel, not to mention all the collateral damage especially in Iran.

Experts estimate Irans ability to produce nuclear weapons was maybe slowed down by some months.

It remains unclear how actively Iran was ever pursuing a nuclear weapon, and it's even more unclear whether these attacks are more likely to increase or decrease their desire to nuke up.

Profit?

Last edited by Itse; 06-25-2025 at 01:32 AM.
Itse is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following 4 Users Say Thank You to Itse For This Useful Post:
Old 06-25-2025, 01:56 AM   #466
FlamesAddiction
Franchise Player
 
FlamesAddiction's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Vancouver
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Itse View Post
So...

President Netanyahu declared the war a historic victory for Israel. President Pezeshkian declared it a great victory for Iran.

Around 1000 Iranians and a couple of dozen Israelis died. More than 6000 people were injured (split fairly evenly). Around 150 people arrested in Iran as suspected Mossad agents, at least 2 have already been executed and more likely to come

Billions of Israeli, Iranian and US taxpayer money was spent in the form of spent or destroyed military materiel, not to mention all the collateral damage especially in Iran.

Experts estimate Irans ability to produce nuclear weapons was maybe slowed down by some months.

It remains unclear how actively Iran was ever pursuing a nuclear weapon, and it's even more unclear whether these attacks are more likely to increase or decrease their desire to nuke up.

Profit?
Iran executed 975 people in last year, an average of 2.67 people per day. Not that adding more people on top of that isn't bad. Murdering their citizens is just a daily fact of life for the Iranian regime.
__________________
"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
FlamesAddiction is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-25-2025, 03:16 AM   #467
Itse
Franchise Player
 
Itse's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Helsinki, Finland
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by FlamesAddiction View Post
Iran executed 975 people in last year, an average of 2.67 people per day. Not that adding more people on top of that isn't bad. Murdering their citizens is just a daily fact of life for the Iranian regime.
Okay, how is this relevant? Is the regime better now?

Does it make the captured Mossad agents and the falsely accused feel better that they are not alone?
Itse is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-25-2025, 07:04 AM   #468
Looch City
Looooooooooooooch
 
Looch City's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Itse View Post
So...

President Netanyahu declared the war a historic victory for Israel. President Pezeshkian declared it a great victory for Iran.

Around 1000 Iranians and a couple of dozen Israelis died. More than 6000 people were injured (split fairly evenly). Around 150 people arrested in Iran as suspected Mossad agents, at least 2 have already been executed and more likely to come

Billions of Israeli, Iranian and US taxpayer money was spent in the form of spent or destroyed military materiel, not to mention all the collateral damage especially in Iran.

Experts estimate Irans ability to produce nuclear weapons was maybe slowed down by some months.

It remains unclear how actively Iran was ever pursuing a nuclear weapon, and it's even more unclear whether these attacks are more likely to increase or decrease their desire to nuke up.

Profit?
Lol where's all the folks saying how big of a win this was for the whole region and now we can achieve peace and all live happy and forever and sing kumbaya??
Looch City is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-25-2025, 07:08 AM   #469
Fuzz
Franchise Player
 
Fuzz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Pickle Jar Lake
Exp:
Default




Are they selling these things in 10 packs now?
Fuzz is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Fuzz For This Useful Post:
Old 06-25-2025, 08:09 AM   #470
5abi
Backup Goalie
 
Join Date: Feb 2025
Exp:
Default

I'm just shocked, USA had an easy opportunity here. Israel started the last war with Iran in a long ass time and USA had the chance to end it.

Unless the USA likes the counter balance, this doesn't compute but then again it's Trump.
5abi is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-25-2025, 11:04 AM   #471
bizaro86
Franchise Player
 
bizaro86's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Itse View Post
Okay, how is this relevant? Is the regime better now?

Does it make the captured Mossad agents and the falsely accused feel better that they are not alone?
I mean, fixing any of those issues requires replacing the regime in Iran, which almost certainly requires a full-scale ground invasion. Iran has a population of like 90MM and is industrialized - it would be like Afghanistan times 10.

It's possible to think the Iranian regime is heinous without believing the west should invade.
bizaro86 is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to bizaro86 For This Useful Post:
Old 06-25-2025, 12:19 PM   #472
FlamesAddiction
Franchise Player
 
FlamesAddiction's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Vancouver
Exp:
Default

I guess my point was that the Iranian regime does what they do because of who they are. They still accuse people of practicing black magic in the 21st century. You can't really equate recent events with their willingness to execute people over false accusations. It can't be blamed on anyone else but the regime because they will find any excuse to pin stuff on dissidents. I wouldn't put it past them if some or most of the "mossad agents" are just some of those Gen Zers who were celebrating the Israeli attacks on social media.
__________________
"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."

Last edited by FlamesAddiction; 06-25-2025 at 02:27 PM.
FlamesAddiction is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-25-2025, 12:47 PM   #473
Cappy
#1 Goaltender
 
Cappy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 5abi View Post
I'm just shocked, USA had an easy opportunity here. Israel started the last war with Iran in a long ass time and USA had the chance to end it.

Unless the USA likes the counter balance, this doesn't compute but then again it's Trump.
End it how? occupation?
Cappy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-25-2025, 02:27 PM   #474
Itse
Franchise Player
 
Itse's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Helsinki, Finland
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bizaro86 View Post
I mean, fixing any of those issues requires replacing the regime in Iran, which almost certainly requires a full-scale ground invasion. Iran has a population of like 90MM and is industrialized - it would be like Afghanistan times 10.

It's possible to think the Iranian regime is heinous without believing the west should invade.
I feel like you've mixed up who said what or something, this doesn't seem relevant to my post.
Itse is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-25-2025, 03:42 PM   #475
afc wimbledon
Franchise Player
 
afc wimbledon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: east van
Exp:
Default

Intervening in a country, regime change if you will, is roughly the same dynamic you get when you step in to stop some POS raising his hand to his wife or girlfriend, there's a damn good chance you end up trying to fight both of them.

Nothing has strengthened the Shia leadership of Iran more than US intervention in the region, the Iranians may not like there leadership but they are just as proud as Americans or Canadians and don't want some corrupt supine regime inflicted on them by the US
afc wimbledon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-25-2025, 03:47 PM   #476
5abi
Backup Goalie
 
Join Date: Feb 2025
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cappy View Post
End it how? occupation?
continue weakening the ayatollah which should shift power to the people.
5abi is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-25-2025, 11:11 PM   #477
Pointman
#1 Goaltender
 
Pointman's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Haifa, Israel
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Itse View Post
So...

President Netanyahu declared the war a historic victory for Israel. President Pezeshkian declared it a great victory for Iran.

Around 1000 Iranians and a couple of dozen Israelis died. More than 6000 people were injured (split fairly evenly). Around 150 people arrested in Iran as suspected Mossad agents, at least 2 have already been executed and more likely to come

Billions of Israeli, Iranian and US taxpayer money was spent in the form of spent or destroyed military materiel, not to mention all the collateral damage especially in Iran.

Experts estimate Irans ability to produce nuclear weapons was maybe slowed down by some months.

It remains unclear how actively Iran was ever pursuing a nuclear weapon, and it's even more unclear whether these attacks are more likely to increase or decrease their desire to nuke up.

Profit?
Doesn't look convincing at all.

Nobody has a clue about real damage at Fordo. The site is deep underground and there's no way to figure out except for excavate the centrifuges and see. All those estimates, both positive and negative, are just people making things up. This includes "US intelligence assessment", unless they have a credible explaination on how exactly did they assess the state of centrifuges 100 meters underground under a bombed out entrance.

And when people say that Iran's ability to produce nukes is slowed down for merely months, they mean that it would take some months to rebuild what was bombed out. They miss that nobody will let them do it. If Iranians would try to excavate centrifuges from Fordo, they will be bombed on the spot. Hence, it doesn't even matter if centrifuges are destroyed or not.

Last edited by Pointman; 06-25-2025 at 11:17 PM.
Pointman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-25-2025, 11:25 PM   #478
Looch City
Looooooooooooooch
 
Looch City's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Exp:
Default

Haha what? It's actually by design that they weren't destroyed?

Where's the goal post being moved to next? The moon?
Looch City is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-25-2025, 11:27 PM   #479
Pointman
#1 Goaltender
 
Pointman's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Haifa, Israel
Exp:
Default

Here's a fact, that gives you a better clue than all those expert assessments.

Iran's air defences were taken out by Israelis last October. By June they obviously were not rebuilt yet.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Octo...trikes_on_Iran
Pointman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-25-2025, 11:29 PM   #480
Itse
Franchise Player
 
Itse's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Helsinki, Finland
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pointman View Post
Doesn't look convincing at all.

Nobody has a clue about real damage at Fordo. The site is deep underground and there's no way to figure out except for excavate the centrifuges and see. All those estimates, both positive and negative, are just people making things up. This includes "US intelligence assessment", unless they have a credible explaination on how exactly did they assess the state of centrifuges 100 meters underground under a bombed out entrance.
That's why I put a "maybe" in there. It is in any case the best estimate we have, and centrifuges are hardly peak scifi tech to begin with.

If I start that entence with "it's unclear what effect the bombing campaign had, but experts estimate...", do you feel like that makes a significant difference?

Also, we really should begin with the fact that we don't even know wtf Fordo was all about. It seems extremely convenient that the western public is given the name of exactly one place we're told is Very Special but needs the US to get involved, then That One Place is hit and it's now "mission accomplished". Extremely basic media literacy should tell you that if the narrative is that clean and simple, it's probably covered in at least some amount of BS.

Not that any of that really changes anything.

"It is unclear whether the campaign made it more likely that Iran will eventually nuke up, or less" is really the factually accurate summary that matters.

Edit:

Pointman, I sympathize with you, I really do. I don't think k you're a bad person or dumb. What little I know about you makes it very easy to understand why you can't think straight when it comes to any of this.

But it's still very obvious that you can't think straight about any of this, and you clearly consume more than a healthy amount of propaganda. Which again is very understandable.

But still, there is clearly no point in debating with you.

Last edited by Itse; 06-25-2025 at 11:53 PM.
Itse is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to Itse For This Useful Post:
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 03:13 AM.

Calgary Flames
2024-25




Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright Calgarypuck 2021 | See Our Privacy Policy