Canadian Federal Politics Thread v5

[Roughneck]

Originally Posted by getbak

338 is projecting 7 Liberal seats in Alberta and 1 NDP. I believe the all-time high is 5 Liberals.

Some interesting ones up in Edmonton


Edmonton-Griesbach (36% CPC, 33% NDP*, 26% Lib)
Edmonton-Riverbend (46% CPC*, 45% Lib, 7% NDP)
Edmonton-West (44% CPC*, 44% Lib, 8% NDP)
Edmonton-Northwest (45% CPC*, 43% Lib, 10% NDP)


Could easily turn 4 'light blue tossups' into 3 new Liberal seats and 1 NDP retained seat if Liberal and NDP supporters vote strategically against the CPC.

[Paulie Walnuts]

https://twitter.com/user/status/1911189384835076234

[Monahammer]

St. Albert got a little gentleman's gerry... I see the riding now includes a massive amount of parkland county out to the lakes an hour west of town. So Michael Cooper will likely keep the seat in spite of being exceedingly unpopular.

[blender]

There is a lot of discussion here about the cost of housing, which is good to see, but I think there are some misunderstandings and misconceptions as well.
First, the term "housing" is a big bucket. You have subsidized low-income rental, market-rate rental, apartment/condominium/townhouse homes, detached homes built on speculation (built without a homeowner), and custom homes (homeowner involved from the beginning). All of these market niches have their own different drivers that effect cost and market prices, but there are also some similarities. As a home builder myself (primarily custom, with the odd foray into spec building), I can say that the single biggest cost driver is the actual cost of goods sold, which is materials and labour. Our margins have been static or have shrunk year over year since before the pandemic. I built a custom home in 2020 for 750k for a client. 2 months ago I priced virtually the identical plan with the same levelmof finihes and it was 1m.
During the past 5 years, materials and labour have gone up, just like all other things (fuel, etc). But, there has also been a push by local and provincial governments to mandated higher standards of energy efficiency (something I support), and as of this spring, code requires all new residential construction be designed by a structural engineer against seismic forces. All of these things cost real dollars.

Another thing that was mentioned earlier in the thread was Development Cost Charges levied by municipalities as a means of generating income to support growing infrastructure costs. DCCs on an average sized new home in Kamloops are 12-15k.

I'm not complaining about anything, as my business is profitable, but we are not printing money. We are working hard to provide a quality product and service, and we make a reasonable income like a lot of other small businesses in this country.

I'm as interested as anyone about housing affordability, so I will be watching keenly to see what happens moving forward.

[Mathgod]

Originally Posted by FLAMESRULE

Wow Calgary Confed is starting to look like it might actually go to Hogan/LPC. Nixon is such a god awful pick to replace Webber for the PC's. I do see alot of NDP signs in W Hillhurst.

https://338canada.com/48005e.htm

https://smartvoting.ca/ridings/feder...ions-container

Now if only the rest of the stubborn NDP & Green voters would get on board!

There's an unfortunate vote split happening in Calgary Crowfoot.

https://smartvoting.ca/ridings/federal-2025/48006

Other close races in our city are Calgary Centre & Calgary Skyview.

[Kidder]

Voted early today at an elections office.

Just a shout out to the process and the election Canada workers. Smooth, efficient, friendly, professional.

Really appreciate our Democracy these days, and all those that contribute to maintain our land of the free.

[GioforPM]

Originally Posted by CliffFletcher

It’s clearly part of the issue. If over the next decade Canada had A) 200k immigrants a year B) 500k immigrants a years, or C) 1 million immigrants a year, you wouldn’t expect to see different home prices in Canada in 2035 depending on which scenario we went with?

It’s no surprise that the regions of the country that have seen the most immigration have the highest housing costs. We simply don’t have the capacity to build housing at the rate of population growth under today’s regulatory and material environment.

Cities have more housing costs than rural areas? Shocker.

Your analysis is lacking and is contradicted by actual studies.

[Johnny Makarov]

Holy eff. I'm watching this live on CTV News right now... Pierre deplorable has a twin sister in the house of commons. Melissa Lantsman. She is an exact carbon copy of PP straight down to her moronic talking points and smirk! lol

The Manning Institute test tube babies are killing it!

[Looch City]

Why can't these people just smile NORMALLY?

Be genuine for God's sake.

[GioforPM]

Lantsman is a despicable person. Imagine being gay and supporting the things she does.

[Johnny Makarov]

Originally Posted by Looch City

Why can't these people just smile NORMALLY?

Be genuine for God's sake.

They were made in a lab with Preston Manning's sperm. Can't really blame them.

[Paulie Walnuts]

LOL they have the same hairstyle.

[Roughneck]

Originally Posted by Paulie Walnuts

Spoiler!

https://twitter.com/user/status/1911189384835076234

‘Boots Not Suits’ and Pierre trying to appeal more to women voters is going well, I see.

[Cecil Terwilliger]

Originally Posted by Kidder

Voted early today at an elections office.

Just a shout out to the process and the election Canada workers. Smooth, efficient, friendly, professional.

Really appreciate our Democracy these days, and all those that contribute to maintain our land of the free.

Me too! It was quick and easy.

[puffnstuff]

Nanaimo Ladysmith is a riding that needs to vote strategically as well. To stop the CPC candidate sitting at 29% in the polls and leading.
Greens at 28
Lib at 23
NDP at 18

https://338canada.com/59019e.htm

[rubecube]

Originally Posted by puffnstuff

Nanaimo Ladysmith is a riding that needs to vote strategically as well. To stop the CPC candidate sitting at 29% in the polls and leading.
Greens at 28
Lib at 23
NDP at 18

https://338canada.com/59019e.htm

Paul Manly is an incredibly popular guy in Nanaimo. That's one where they should be lining up behind the Green candidate.

[Drak]

My riding is Esquimalt Saanich. Will be voting Stephanie McLean, Liberal.

[calgarygeologist]

Originally Posted by Drak

My riding is Esquimalt Saanich. Will be voting Stephanie McLean, Liberal.

Stephanie McLean was my MLA previously. She was kind of useless and she told Notley and the Alberta NDP that she wouldn't run for re-election. A few months later she left her MLA position early saying that she wanted to go back to being a lawyer. It is interesting that she ended up on the island and is now running for the Liberals federally.

[TorqueDog]

Originally Posted by rubecube

Paul Manly is an incredibly popular guy in Nanaimo. That's one where they should be lining up behind the Green candidate.

There's a joke in here somewhere about being Manly in Ladysmith.

[Drak]

Originally Posted by calgarygeologist

Stephanie McLean was my MLA previously. She was kind of useless and she told Notley and the Alberta NDP that she wouldn't run for re-election. A few months later she left her MLA position early saying that she wanted to go back to being a lawyer. It is interesting that she ended up on the island and is now running for the Liberals federally.

That’s nice but I’m voting liberal and she’s currently in the lead - I don’t need advice from PP/Smith supporters.