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Old 04-06-2025, 06:36 PM   #341
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The Flames basically need to win out, and have the wild drop one of the remaining games.

We'll see how things stand when it comes time to actually play them.

Doubtful the game will be important by then.
We play them in five days.

Between now and then, the flames play the sharks and ducks. Wild play the Sharks. I have a hard time seeing CGY or MIN losing any of those three games.

The current six point gap could be a four point gap by Friday and it can 100 percent be important. Not sure how one could call it “doubtful” that the game on Friday has meaning.
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Old 04-06-2025, 06:40 PM   #342
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A couple years back the Bedard tanking Hawks beat the Pens in Pittsburg which ended up putting the Panthers in over the Pens.

We know the rest.

You never know
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Old 04-06-2025, 06:43 PM   #343
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It may be a longshot, but it is still impressive that at game 76 the Flames are still in the mix. That's a heck of an unexpected season.
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Old 04-06-2025, 07:04 PM   #344
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Dallas did not help.

Beat us when outshot 100-10

Lost to Minnesota who had lost 6 out of 7

Thanks a lot.
Back to back nights with a long flight in between, and an early start time. It was always going to be tough for the Stars to win this one.

Path to the playoffs is narrow and quickly narrowing. A win-out is probably needed now. 6 game playoff series where every game is an elimination game. Take it one at a time!
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Old 04-06-2025, 11:03 PM   #345
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I updated the OP. I was busy this weekend.

St. Louis and Vancouver do not matter any longer.

So it's down to the Flames vs the Wild.

Any combination of 3 Flames losses or Wild victories and the playoffs are out of reach.

Basically need everything to go perfectly from here on out. Honestly, I feel like it's likely that the Wild win the three against Vancouver, Anaheim, and San Jose.

However, the Flames have shown that they will throw everything at it to get there.


Interestingly the Flames would pick 17th right now, NJ's pick would be 18th and Florida's would be 21st. It could be possible that all three picks will be one after the other.
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Old 04-06-2025, 11:09 PM   #346
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It will be a miracle now for the Flames to make. After a few weeks where every break went against the Flames. Everything is going to have to go their way from here on out.
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Old 04-06-2025, 11:34 PM   #347
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Really they need the Wild to lose ONE game to have control. Maybe Anaheim can pull it off its not like the Wild are much better. IF the Flames take care of business the head to head is meaningful at least
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Old 04-06-2025, 11:37 PM   #348
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Really they need the Wild to lose ONE game to have control. Maybe Anaheim can pull it off its not like the Wild are much better. IF the Flames take care of business the head to head is meaningful at least
I am hoping that that game on Friday matters.
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Old 04-07-2025, 01:44 AM   #349
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Win both games in hand and the head to head in regulation and the Flames tie the Wild in points with three more games each to play. They have the tie breaker i think? So need to out point them in the remaining three games too.

Need a lot of things to go right and that's a tall order for us Flames fans.
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Old 04-07-2025, 02:54 AM   #350
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Win both games in hand and the head to head in regulation and the Flames tie the Wild in points with three more games each to play. They have the tie breaker i think? So need to out point them in the remaining three games too.

Need a lot of things to go right and that's a tall order for us Flames fans.
Actually:

They would tie the Wild only if Minny loses to San Jose and Calgary goes 3-0 including beating them.

If the Wild beat the Sharks and the Flames win their games in Cali then they'd go into their meeting with the Flames at 89pts and Wild at 93pts.

Flames beat Minny and now it's Flames 91/Wild 93

The Wild would then have two remaining (VAN, ANA) and the Flames three (SJ, VGK, LA)

We would need Vancouver (second of a b2b) or Anaheim to beat them in regulation, capping them at 95 points.

Flames would then need at least 5 of 6 points in their final three in order to finish ahead - 97 by winning out, or 96 with an OTL.

As Galadriel would say, the quest stands upon the edge of a knife..
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Old 04-07-2025, 04:25 AM   #351
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^ Pike made a chart, pretty much saying the same thing (because of course he would):
https://twitter.com/user/status/1909081559707345283
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Old 04-07-2025, 04:51 AM   #352
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A couple years back the Bedard tanking Hawks beat the Pens in Pittsburg which ended up putting the Panthers in over the Pens.

We know the rest.

You never know
And knocked the Bedard tanking Hawks back to third, from which they won the lottery. In fact, they knocked the Flames out of the playoffs beating them the day before. So, even bad tanking teams can beat you.

Sharks shouldn't put up much of a fight, but that doesn't mean they won't, against both the Flames and the Wild. And Anaheim is not a bad team.
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Old 04-07-2025, 07:29 AM   #353
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I have Calgary needed to go 6-0-0 though that gives them a 1.3 point "win". 5-0-1 might do it.

Draft spots 11-15 basically eliminated.

Florida gap at 5.
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Old 04-07-2025, 07:40 AM   #354
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St. Louis and Vancouver do not matter any longer.

So it's down to the Flames vs the Wild.

Any combination of 3 Flames losses or Wild victories and the playoffs are out of reach.

Basically need everything to go perfectly from here on out. Honestly, I feel like it's likely that the Wild win the three against Vancouver, Anaheim, and San Jose.

However, the Flames have shown that they will throw everything at it to get there.
The Oilers matter. They will get one win in their last 6 games and the Flames run the table! Don't stop believing.
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Old 04-07-2025, 07:41 AM   #355
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I have Calgary needed to go 6-0-0 though that gives them a 1.3 point "win". 5-0-1 might do it.
Assuming Calagry beats Minny in the head to head game, and Minny beats SJ, and Minny goes 1-1 in their final 2 games, Calgary needs to go 4-0-1 in their other 4 games.

Calagry needs to start by beating SJ and Anaheim.
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Old 04-07-2025, 08:46 AM   #356
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The Athletic daily. The Wild completely dominate the Stars and pull out an overtime win.

- The Flames are at 7% (-4%) to make playoffs.
- The Flames' median finish is 92 points (-), 5 points (+1) out of the playoffs assuming the Wild hold the tie-breaker.
- The Flames are most likely to pick 16th overall (-).
- The Flames are projected to finish 9 points out of the top 10 (illustrative only as cannot finish top 10 at this point).
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Old 04-07-2025, 09:15 AM   #357
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13 games ago when the Blues lost to Pittsburgh, if someone would have told the team to sell their souls for 12 wins in their last 16 games they would have said yes.

So now they can lose their last 4…….

Wishful thinking!
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Old 04-07-2025, 09:33 AM   #358
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They're not going to make it ... odds are pretty tough.

But just keep it interesting as long as possible.

Win your two Cali games and the game on Friday matters, and that's fun.
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Old 04-07-2025, 09:42 AM   #359
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At this point I am hoping the Devils and Panthers lose as many games as possible.
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Old 04-07-2025, 10:11 AM   #360
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I am hoping that that game on Friday matters.
Friday night do or die Flames game where I could have a few pops and enjoy playoff implications sounds like a great way to start the weekend.
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