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Old 11-05-2024, 08:22 PM   #221
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The only hope is the Democratic vote is late to trickle in.

She’s getting pounded with the popular vote.
I mean... yeah. It's called California.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:22 PM   #222
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I was certain Trump would win the election, which looks extremely likely right now. I did not see Harris losing the popular vote, which also looks likely.
You are extremely wrong. All the rural non educated votes always get counted first. It's the red mirage all over again, Harris is going to win both the election and the popular vote. it is now starting to break that way as the big cities votes start to come in. This looks very very good for Harris.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:22 PM   #223
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She is underperforming Biden in almost every rust belt county.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:23 PM   #224
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Big dump of votes coming soon in GA that Harris absolutely needs to win...
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:24 PM   #225
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You are extremely wrong. All the rural non educated votes always get counted first. It's the red mirage all over again, Harris is going to win both the election and the popular vote. it is now starting to break that way as the big cities votes start to come in. This looks very very good for Harris.
I really hope you're right.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:24 PM   #226
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I mean... yeah. It's called California.
The County votes.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:25 PM   #227
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I really hope you're right.
Lol
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:26 PM   #228
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She is underperforming Biden in almost every rust belt county.
And Trump slightly overperforming everywhere 'rural'.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:26 PM   #229
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I'm a far left Democrat, and I voted for Harris. That doesn't cloud my judgement when it comes to picking a winner. We all love the Flames, but does anyone who knows anything about hockey think we're going to win the Stanley Cup this season? This is the same kind of thing.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:26 PM   #230
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These MAGA lunatics they were just interviewing on CBC are embarrassing. Christ almighty, that country is in trouble.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:27 PM   #231
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You are extremely wrong. All the rural non educated votes always get counted first. It's the red mirage all over again, Harris is going to win both the election and the popular vote. it is now starting to break that way as the big cities votes start to come in. This looks very very good for Harris.
Think I might throw some money on her losing California now.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:27 PM   #232
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You are extremely wrong. All the rural non educated votes always get counted first. It's the red mirage all over again, Harris is going to win both the election and the popular vote. it is now starting to break that way as the big cities votes start to come in. This looks very very good for Harris.
It looks like a lot of things . Very good for Harris is a statement you may be the only person saying on the planet right now
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:27 PM   #233
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Originally Posted by MegaErtz View Post
I'm a far left Democrat, and I voted for Harris. That doesn't cloud my judgement when it comes to picking a winner. We all love the Flames, but does anyone who knows anything about hockey think we're going to win the Stanley Cup this season? This is the same kind of thing.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:28 PM   #234
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It's difficult not to feel like America is getting the president they deserve...
Not all of us....
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:28 PM   #235
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Originally Posted by dissentowner View Post
You are extremely wrong. All the rural non educated votes always get counted first. It's the red mirage all over again, Harris is going to win both the election and the popular vote. it is now starting to break that way as the big cities votes start to come in. This looks very very good for Harris.
The statisticians consider that unlikely. Less unlikely then the betting markets but it’s definitely an uphill battle.

It really depends on whether mail in ballots can be processed before election day. In Wisconsin they can so you saw the blue start.

Pensylvania they start counting mail in votes at the start of election day so they get the big blue wave to start then probably a blue wave to end when the rest come over night. The models like the needle are supposed to account for this but like in 2020 there can be herding with it.

So Trump is a favourite with the data we have. Probably not the 90% favourite polymaret has him at.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:29 PM   #236
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I have to admit I don't know a ton about US politics but I was really surprised Trump was even allowed to run again after all that happened his last term and his charges and convictions, etc. Not that blackface wearing, kokanee groping, corrupt Trudeau is any better I guess.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:29 PM   #237
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She’s doing worse than Biden would have.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:29 PM   #238
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Well, if he wins, I am curious what some of the Americans on this board think about their next four years. What say you, CP Yanks?
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:29 PM   #239
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lol so much for that Iowa poll.
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Old 11-05-2024, 08:30 PM   #240
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The thing that is finally convincing me this actually is going to end up going the wrong way is how close Virginia appears to be. That is... bad.
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