[GT] 2024 US Election

[ZedMan]

Originally Posted by Ozy_Flame

Can someone muzzle this goblin's hot air hole

https://forum.calgarypuck.com/profil...ignore&u=21574

[Jason14h]

So because you guys don’t like what Mega”s saying (which is all factually / statistically correct at the moment ) he should be muzzled .

Sounds about right for this board.

[Ozy_Flame]

Originally Posted by ZedMan

https://forum.calgarypuck.com/profil...ignore&u=21574

I keep him un-ignored because he actually believes he's left wing, providing hours of entertainment on any other night.

[direwolf]

Looks like Trump just took the lead in PA. Yikes.

[Strange Brew]

PA slipping away from Harris. And with it the White House it would seem.

Mind you it didn’t look great for Biden at this time of night four years ago.

[activeStick]

What in the hell?! Trump caught all the way up in PA and is now leading?! He was down by like 15% 20 min ago. Wow. Not good.

[Muta]

Don't urban/young votes usually come in last? They typically vote later in the election day? Kinda like how Nenshi won in 2010 in Calgary... I would assume there's more Dem votes to be counted

[GGG]

Originally Posted by MegaErtz

Trump now favoured to win the popular vote. I'm stunned. Didn't see this going this badly for Harris.

Your positions make no sense.

You’ve stated with certainty repeatedly that Trump with win yet you also didn’t think polls would be biased more than 1%.

If you were as certain as you have been in the past weeks you had to have been thinking of a +3 or 4 polling bias which would have given Trump the popular vote win.

The interesting thing of this election is the likelihood of a blowout by either side was like 60%. So a Trump win in the swing states isn’t that surprising of an outcome. It’s well within normal polling error.

[MegaErtz]

Trump up to 94% on the betting markets. You can bet $1 on Harris to return $16.

[Senator Clay Davis]

I mean you can keep praying for a miracle, but it looks quite over. Michigan is actually now considered the tipping point even more than Pennsylvania.

[Yamer]

As nervous as I am for the result, it is kind of funny to read people react like vote counting is akin to a hockey score in the third period.

[calgarygeologist]

Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis

Doing worse than Hillary would really be something.

The Dems and Harris potentially underperforming tonight will really create an interesting dialogue going forward. How do the right the ship?

[GGG]

Originally Posted by Strange Brew

PA slipping away from Harris. And with it the White House it would seem.

Mind you it didn’t look great for Biden at this time of night four years ago.

I was trying to find a graph of the 2020 needle but couldn’t find anything.

[MegaErtz]

Originally Posted by GGG

Your positions make no sense.

You’ve stated with certainty repeatedly that Trump with win yet you also didn’t think polls would be biased more than 1%.

If you were as certain as you have been in the past weeks you had to have been thinking of a +3 or 4 polling bias which would have given Trump the popular vote win.

The interesting thing of this election is the likelihood of a blowout by either side was like 60%. So a Trump win in the swing states isn’t that surprising of an outcome. It’s well within normal polling error.

I was certain Trump would win the election, which looks extremely likely right now. I did not see Harris losing the popular vote, which also looks likely.

[MRCboicgy]

Originally Posted by Jason14h

So because you guys don’t like what Mega”s saying (which is all factually / statistically correct at the moment ) he should be muzzled .

Sounds about right for this board.

Actually it's not.
For example, more than half of Michigan’s 83 counties had not reported any votes two hours after polls closed in much of the state.


WI is tied, but urban centres haven't widely reported yet, and even in NC, the AP won't call it because many of the state’s most populous counties haven’t reported significant numbers of votes cast in person on or before Election Day.


We won't really know until tomorrow, so any bloviating on either side is just threadcrap.

[woob]

Originally Posted by Muta

Don't urban/young votes usually come in last? They typically vote later in the election day? Kinda like how Nenshi won in 2010 in Calgary... I would assume there's more Dem votes to be counted

No the young slackers skip work early to vote, so they can go to watch parties, get hammered, and call in sick. Don't ya know?

[burn_this_city]

Still think we have red mirage in a bunch of places.

[PepsiFree]

Originally Posted by Muta

Don't urban/young votes usually come in last? They typically vote later in the election day? Kinda like how Nenshi won in 2010 in Calgary... I would assume there's more Dem votes to be counted

In some places it’s the mail-in votes that creates the biggest change, and generally Dems favour mail-in. It’s unlikely we’ll know who actually won until tomorrow at the earliest I’d guess, but maybe days after that.

[jg13]

losing the election is one thing but losing the popular vote to trump is so embarrassing for not just Harris but that entire party.

[activeStick]

Yeah I think this is done. Though people are right that in 2020 around this time, Trump also led in PA.