Antifa would be running around burning down every single box.
lmao, you.
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Trump has the courts in his pocket, which means he has all kinds of sweeping powers that he can take advantage of, knowing the courts won't stop him. He doesn't need congressional approval to crack down on his political opponents.
It might seem so at first glance, but I don't think it's that simple.
The federal government continuing trickle-down economics and giving massive tax cuts to the rich is affecting people's day-to-day lives because of the inflation it causes. Or, in some cases, the program cuts that are made to balance the budget.
Climate change may not be seen as a day-to-day life thing... until it plays a part in mega storms, mega droughts, mega floods, mega heat waves, etc. I think one of the biggest mistakes we as humans make is get preoccupied with day-to-day life while ignoring longer term problems like wealth inequality and climate change.
And, with an extreme right-wing government permanently in place, and truth-telling media shut down, what hope is there for a better future?
More billionaires may be backing Harris, but there's more money coming from billionaires to Trump PACs than Harris PACs.
It really just doesn't look close at all right now. Trump is favored to win the election by a much wider margin than Harris is favored to win the popular vote.
Trump up to -200, Harris +177. Very hard to see her turning things around in a week.
Again this should be treated like a republican leaning poll. In general there has been about a 1% movement towards Trump and all the models and betting odds reflect that shift from their initial conditions. So the betting odds are one datapoint of many to be considered.
Also the implied odds of 2/3 means that without any change in sentiment she will win 1/3 times. Roll a dice if it comes up a 1 or a 2 she wins. I don’t think that follows the sentiment of very hard to see her turning it around.
It’s moved into a coin flip slightly favouring Trump from a coin flip slightly favouring Harris. With either side having a landslide victory about half the time.
The issue here is that Harris' only path to victory is by winning Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. A week ago all three were coin flips, but she needed to win all three.
Tonight in Michigan:
Trump -107, Harris -113
Pennsylvania
Trump -153, Harris +126
Wisconsin
Trump -131, Harris +108
Trump is definitely going to win in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina. The Liberals in Canada have a better chance of sweeping Calgary in the next federal election than Harris has of winning Florida or Texas next week.
Four minutes later: "There's a zillion polls each saying different things, and they change every day."
What's more accurate than Pinnacle? People seem to be forgetting how close the elections in 2004, 2016, and 2020 were. Yet Pinnacle had it right every time.
