10-22-2024, 10:49 PM
|
#22661
|
|
Franchise Player
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by DownInFlames
|
lol worry about one thing at a time
you really think the MAJORITY is really gonna sit back and allow this?
__________________
GFG
|
|
|
|
10-22-2024, 11:00 PM
|
#22662
|
|
Looooooooooooooch
|
Best case scenario is Harris wins and Trump has a heart attack on stage and dies like a dog.
|
|
|
|
|
The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Looch City For This Useful Post:
|
|
|
10-22-2024, 11:21 PM
|
#22663
|
|
Franchise Player
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Looch City
Best case scenario is Harris wins and Trump has a heart attack on stage and dies like a dog.
|
yeah Trump needs to live long enough to lose to a Black women and then he can be done
__________________
GFG
|
|
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 06:33 AM
|
#22664
|
|
First Line Centre
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cappy
|
They really shouldn't let people in soiled diapers be handing out the food.
|
|
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 06:54 AM
|
#22665
|
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Pickle Jar Lake
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by SutterBrother
They really shouldn't let people in soiled diapers be handing out the food.
|
It's OK, they are used to eating ####. They are Trump supporters.
|
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to Fuzz For This Useful Post:
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 08:22 AM
|
#22666
|
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: wearing raccoons for boots
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to puffnstuff For This Useful Post:
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 08:30 AM
|
#22667
|
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Pickle Jar Lake
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by puffnstuff
|
This is all about framing the election being stolen, because the "polls" showed Trump was going to win. Between Theil's betting site, Musk's Xitter "polls" and antics, and all these red run polls, it starts to become pretty obvious what their game is here.
|
|
|
|
|
The Following 11 Users Say Thank You to Fuzz For This Useful Post:
|
BeltlineFan,
burn_this_city,
Cappy,
direwolf,
dissentowner,
Duruss,
HOOT,
KootenayFlamesFan,
Mathgod,
MrButtons,
Scroopy Noopers
|
|
10-23-2024, 08:31 AM
|
#22668
|
|
Franchise Player
|
538 does a great job of weighting the various polls for quality.
Good news for the Dems I suppose is that two recent national polls give Harris a 2 point lead.
Bad news is that a recent high quality poll in PA gives Trump a 3 point lead. Without PA, Harris would need GA or NC and must have NV.
|
|
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 08:38 AM
|
#22669
|
|
Lifetime In Suspension
|
Georgia’s deep dive into the rampant voter fraud the last election has yielded fruit
Quote:
An audit uncovered 20 noncitizens out of 8.2 million registered voters in Georgia, according to findings announced by Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger on Wednesday.
Nine of those 20 noncitizens cast ballots years ago, before ID verification checks were in place, while the other 11 were registered but never actually voted, the audit showed. Election officials canceled their voter registrations and reported them to law enforcement agencies.
|
Money well spent if you ask me.
https://www.ajc.com/politics/electio...MQ3QDLVEARPSY/
|
|
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to ResAlien For This Useful Post:
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 08:47 AM
|
#22670
|
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
|
Well I'm convinced, earmark $10 trillion for the complete federal audit.
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
|
|
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 08:54 AM
|
#22671
|
|
Powerplay Quarterback
|
Trump is now -187 to win, Harris +159.
|
|
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 09:02 AM
|
#22672
|
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
|
We have a degenerate gambler thread, probably better to post in there.
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
|
|
|
|
|
The Following 9 Users Say Thank You to Senator Clay Davis For This Useful Post:
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 09:08 AM
|
#22673
|
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: California
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by MegaErtz
Trump is now -187 to win, Harris +159.
|
538 is 52% Trump now so if you go back to October first it was 55% Harris. So a 7 point swing. Polymarket on October 1st was 50/50 and is now a 64-36.
Both show moves in the Trump direction.
|
|
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 09:19 AM
|
#22674
|
|
Franchise Player
|
Honestly considering betting some money on Harris at this point. She's basically back to where Biden was when he dropped out in terms of odds, and I just have difficulty believing that that's a bad buy. It still seems like a coin flip, albeit a slightly weighted one in favour of Trump.
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
|
|
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to CorsiHockeyLeague For This Useful Post:
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 09:47 AM
|
#22675
|
|
Powerplay Quarterback
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
Honestly considering betting some money on Harris at this point. She's basically back to where Biden was when he dropped out in terms of odds, and I just have difficulty believing that that's a bad buy. It still seems like a coin flip, albeit a slightly weighted one in favour of Trump.
|
No, Biden was +400 when he dropped out.
|
|
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 09:49 AM
|
#22676
|
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
|
So serious question since we're on the degenerate gambling train: Can you parlay in politics gambling? Like parlay a Harris win + Dem senate + GOP house + Schumer Majority Leader + Johnson Majority Leader?
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
|
|
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 09:57 AM
|
#22677
|
|
THE Chuck Storm
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Calgary
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Strange Brew
538 does a great job of weighting the various polls for quality.
Good news for the Dems I suppose is that two recent national polls give Harris a 2 point lead.
Bad news is that a recent high quality poll in PA gives Trump a 3 point lead. Without PA, Harris would need GA or NC and must have NV.
|
Maybe not anymore...Nate Silver left 538 in 2023 and took with him his forecasting model.
538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States.[2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin.[3][4][5] 538's new owner Disney hired G. Elliott Morris to develop a new model.[3][4] On September 18, 2023, the original website domain at fivethirtyeight.com was closed, and web traffic became redirected to ABC News pages.[2] The logo was replaced, with the name 538 now used instead of FiveThirtyEight.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight
|
|
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 09:59 AM
|
#22678
|
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Vancouver
|
According to Mark Cuban, it's illegal to bet on the US election as a US citizen and Polymarket doesn't allow it.
AKA. The entire Polymarket for the US Election is foreign betters and thus even less than completely useless as a metric for who will win.
__________________
|
|
|
|
|
The Following 5 Users Say Thank You to Coach For This Useful Post:
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 10:01 AM
|
#22679
|
|
Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
|
As if there aren't work arounds to it being illegal in the US. Especially since its crypto based.
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
|
|
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to Senator Clay Davis For This Useful Post:
|
|
|
10-23-2024, 10:01 AM
|
#22680
|
|
THE Chuck Storm
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Calgary
|
Listened to this Freakonomics episode a while back and it has some interesting stuff about polls and the betting market.
https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcas...=1000672608194
|
|
|
|
|
The Following User Says Thank You to La Flames Fan For This Useful Post:
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
All times are GMT -6. The time now is 05:22 PM.
|
|
