New 2024 Degenerate Football gambling thread

[rubecube]

Hit on a 5-team teaser and SEA -5.5, but I think traditional spread betting is dead. With AI, etc., the lines are just way too sharp unless you have a really good data analysis and/or coding background.

[Sylvanfan]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

If you count the Chiefs game as under, unders are 9-6 this week.

vs Consensus closing lines I have them at 7-7-1.

Chiefs/Ravens push

Steelers/Falcons
Jags/Dolphins
Patriots/Bengals
Vikings/Giants
Titans/Bears
Raiders/Chargers
Rams/Lions

What's the other under? Closest game I have is Seattle and Denver with 46 vs a closing line of 42.5.

[GirlySports]

Originally Posted by Sylvanfan

vs Consensus closing lines I have them at 7-7-1.

Chiefs/Ravens push

Steelers/Falcons
Jags/Dolphins
Patriots/Bengals
Vikings/Giants
Titans/Bears
Raiders/Chargers
Rams/Lions

What's the other under? Closest game I have is Seattle and Denver with 46 vs a closing line of 42.5.

not sure, got it from here

https://twitter.com/user/status/1832987301557002579

[Sylvanfan]

What book is he using? Where was the pickem game? Only one that I can see would be the Vikings and Giants where it looks like a couple of fringe books had the Giants as a favorite.

[Junglist]

I won $635 over 3 tickets on Sports Select. I’ve had difficulty getting gas stations to pay me the money as all the tickets were $100+ winners.

Does anyone know a good place where I could cash these in, without having to risk mailing them.

[Sylvanfan]

Originally Posted by Junglist

I won $635 over 3 tickets on Sports Select. I’ve had difficulty getting gas stations to pay me the money as all the tickets were $100+ winners.

Does anyone know a good place where I could cash these in, without having to risk mailing them.

Have not played that in a long time...but I found Grocery stores like Superstore, Safeway, Obeys, Save On tended to have larger floats for paying out a $200 type win than some smallish gas station.

[Junglist]

Originally Posted by Sylvanfan

Have not played that in a long time...but I found Grocery stores like Superstore, Safeway, Obeys, Save On tended to have larger floats for paying out a $200 type win than some smallish gas station.

I ended up going to the Grey Eagle and they were able to do it for me.

I mentioned to the lady in the little store near the entrance where you can buy tickets that she likely didn’t have the $635 in her till to pay me, but she was able to scan them through and another lady came and escorted me to the cashier and I was able to paid out there.

I had the Rams, +5, but of course the Lions won by 6 in OT to ruin my 4th ticket.

Good start to the year though.

[Sylvanfan]

Sounds like a lot of Miami money on this game, and waiting for someone to offer the Bill's at +3.

Sharps also seem to like the over here too.

I like the Bill's as a dog, but only place if it gets to 3. I'm not as sure about the over because last week it seemed like point and yardage totals were out of sorts. Lots of teams with under 300 yards of offence or close getting over 24. I might need to study this longer to see how much more the 5 extra kickoff yards of field position is resulting in less needed yards, plus number of plays required to score points. So I'll stay off the total here too.

If you can work a two team 6 point teaser, I'd have Bill's +8.5 and tease the Ravens down to -2.5. I'd be okay with using Tampa +1.5 too. But don't know if I'd do a 3 team teaser here.

[Junglist]

Dont have a feel for tonights game, so just threw a $20 on the tie.

[GirlySports]

Originally Posted by Sylvanfan

Sounds like a lot of Miami money on this game, and waiting for someone to offer the Bill's at +3.

Sharps also seem to like the over here too.

I like the Bill's as a dog, but only place if it gets to 3. I'm not as sure about the over because last week it seemed like point and yardage totals were out of sorts. Lots of teams with under 300 yards of offence or close getting over 24. I might need to study this longer to see how much more the 5 extra kickoff yards of field position is resulting in less needed yards, plus number of plays required to score points. So I'll stay off the total here too.

If you can work a two team 6 point teaser, I'd have Bill's +8.5 and tease the Ravens down to -2.5. I'd be okay with using Tampa +1.5 too. But don't know if I'd do a 3 team teaser here.

Miami getting killed. The one thing you can never account for in betting is turnovers. Miami with 3 already.

[GirlySports]

Another killing for Vegas

[EldrickOnIce]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

Another killing for Vegas

I dont get why.
I will take Bills +115 money line against about 30 teams and make money more than 90% of the time

[rubecube]

Yeah, that was free money.

[Junglist]

Easy double up picking Winnipeg over Edmonton tonight.
Yea, it was tied at the start of the 4th, but Winnipeg was playing way better and proved it in the 4th.

[Sylvanfan]

I got San Jose plus the points against Washington State. Was damn close to getting the moneyline sprinkle to hit too. Not much on the go this weekend. Have Lions -3 at Arizona. The sucker 49'ers and Bengals moneyline parlay. Plus a 6 point teaser of Bengals -1.5, 49'ers -1.5 and Chargers +7.5. So if the Bengals or Niners lose not so good.

[EldrickOnIce]

I have over 45.5 on Bills/Jags tonight

[Sylvanfan]

I did play Ravens -1. But the 49'ers blew up my parlay and teaser as did the Herbert injury.

Bet my house on the Bengals moneyline tonight. If I have to be homeless the Bengals being 0-3 will be my consolation prize.

[GirlySports]

So for my big money Survivor league, there’s already a winner. One guy took the Jets. The other 16 of us still alive took either Tampa (6), Vegas (3 including me), Cleveland (3), 49ers (1), or Bengals (3).

The winner is going to get around $1500. The rest of us who were KO’d in Week 3 are getting resurrected for the 2nd and 3rd place slots. Crazy. I’ve never seen a Survivor pool finished in Week 3.

[Sylvanfan]

It does seem like just blindly betting dogs on the moneyline would have been the strategy for the early weeks.

[EldrickOnIce]

Not that I thought it was a safety, but it was almost a safety and might have been called a safety.
Had the call been safety and Houston cover that 5.5 I win a nics parlay at +1260
Instead I win nothing but Bears moneyline