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Old 09-03-2024, 01:20 PM   #20181
Maritime Q-Scout
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So, someone who shares my name is a big Replublican. That person also isn't smart enough realize he's using my email address for some correspondence.

Today, I received the following email:

Spoiler!


That email is so far out to lunch it's unfathomable. If we let people decide on issues they are about, they won't let our minority do whatever we please!
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Old 09-03-2024, 01:22 PM   #20182
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If you know their real email address you should totally sign them up for things like Pride events
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Old 09-03-2024, 01:23 PM   #20183
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ThisIsAnOutrage View Post
If three posts is a lot of time, then, okay, a lot of time.

Obviously,.I can only speak for me on this one, plus I am not living in the US, so I wouldn't extrapolate from this to others

I want to know what I'm getting, from any candidate. Trump, right now is the devil we know. We also know that a lot of the old guard members of his previous administration are gone, fired or retired. There won't be as much to hold him back this time. His personal whims will dictate a lot of things. I can do the math when it comes to him, maybe a Dem. controlles house or senate can keep him in check until he hits his lame duck period. Heck, fractured republican party might even do that.

I don't know what I get with Harris. Former DA, Attourney General, low profile/sidelined as a VP. (contrast to Cheney, there was a VP who let you know what you were getting).

So, what does possibly 8 years of a Harris administration look like? That's what I'm waiting to find. That's why I don't like her mushy/evasive interview, why I think ahe is a bad candidate .

You know the saying, when someone tells you who they are believe them? There should.be another when, when someone won't tell you who they are, don't believe them.

I appreciate your relatively insult-free inquiry on the topic. It's rare in this thread.
You know exactly what you will get with Harris, it will be roughly the same as every other Dem President since JFK, the US will get a bit richer or poorer depending on world events but not much will really change and at the end she will step down, the richest most powerful country in the world that has rebounded from Covid and Ukraine better than any other country in the world, has economically defeated China and Russia under Biden/Harris will continue to kick the **** out of its economic enemies, the world will remain stable.

Under Trump you get no guarantee of anything other than chaos, the loss of US's prestige and a vast amount of war and turmoil in the world, we may not like the US as a big brother telling the world what to do but the world with no big brother looks like the 1850's to 1945, endless endless war and death only this time with nukes, enjoy!!
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Old 09-03-2024, 06:05 PM   #20184
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Not very well thought out...

https://twitter.com/user/status/1830829538118381574

Whoops, I meant to post the tweet that Elon replied to.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1830695425956852061

Last edited by activeStick; 09-03-2024 at 06:57 PM.
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Old 09-03-2024, 07:15 PM   #20185
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Trump lost another attempt to delay his sentencing for his 34 convictions in NY state court.
He tried, again, to move it to federal court, and got the same answer, No.
Currently sentencing is still acheduled for Sept 18
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Old 09-03-2024, 07:23 PM   #20186
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It is very difficult to tell where this is going to go.

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Old 09-03-2024, 08:23 PM   #20187
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I should probably say that though I do not find Harris an inspiring leader, at all, I expect she will be a very good president.
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Old 09-03-2024, 09:14 PM   #20188
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Nate Silver's forecast has Trump now with his highest chance of winning the EC since Harris picked her VP, at 55.8% compared to Harris' chances of 44.0%.

He explains why Trump is winning in their model's forecast yet Harris is ahead in the polling averages.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/theres-...-this-election
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Old 09-03-2024, 10:07 PM   #20189
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So the J6 defendants' fund raiser was called off, most likely due to this:

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-w...quor-licenses/
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Old 09-03-2024, 10:10 PM   #20190
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Quote:
Originally Posted by activeStick View Post
Nate Silver's forecast has Trump now with his highest chance of winning the EC since Harris picked her VP, at 55.8% compared to Harris' chances of 44.0%.

He explains why Trump is winning in their model's forecast yet Harris is ahead in the polling averages.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/theres-...-this-election
I do think one key point is the if the election was held today or if the polling averages today ware the same on election day Harris would be the favourite.
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Old 09-04-2024, 08:21 AM   #20191
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Mark Robinson, the Republican candidate for governor in North Carolina, reportedly watched porn in private booths up to five days a week in the ’90s. He strenuously denies that as well as the Holocaust.
Him and wife also reportedly stole $3000 worth of Girl Guide cookies.
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Old 09-04-2024, 08:27 AM   #20192
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Quote:
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Mark Robinson, the Republican candidate for governor in North Carolina, reportedly watched porn in private booths up to five days a week in the ’90s. He strenuously denies that as well as the Holocaust.
Him and wife also reportedly stole $3000 worth of Girl Guide cookies.
In fairness the early 90's were ####ing wild!

Also Girl Guide cookies are tasty!
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Old 09-04-2024, 08:28 AM   #20193
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If youve seen him youd know that guy needs to step away from the cookies...
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Old 09-04-2024, 08:31 AM   #20194
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Have to refuel some how after all of that whacking off. 5 days a week? Damn, maybe I need more Girl Guide cookies.
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Old 09-04-2024, 09:14 AM   #20195
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I dunno, those sound like rookie numbers to me
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Old 09-04-2024, 10:25 AM   #20196
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Quote:
Originally Posted by activeStick View Post
Nate Silver's forecast has Trump now with his highest chance of winning the EC since Harris picked her VP, at 55.8% compared to Harris' chances of 44.0%.

He explains why Trump is winning in their model's forecast yet Harris is ahead in the polling averages.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/theres-...-this-election

And Allan Lichtman is calling Nate out on this.
https://www.fox5dc.com/news/who-will...-kamala-harris
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Old 09-04-2024, 12:28 PM   #20197
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Quote:
Originally Posted by activeStick View Post
Nate Silver's forecast has Trump now with his highest chance of winning the EC since Harris picked her VP, at 55.8% compared to Harris' chances of 44.0%.

He explains why Trump is winning in their model's forecast yet Harris is ahead in the polling averages.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/theres-...-this-election
538 still wiith Harris in lead - last update:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
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Old 09-04-2024, 12:33 PM   #20198
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I’m giving the Dems a 75% chance. I don’t believe polls.
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Old 09-04-2024, 12:36 PM   #20199
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Honestly at this point I'm all for giving MAGA their own little corner of the country and letting them secede. Go nuts.
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Old 09-04-2024, 12:41 PM   #20200
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Originally Posted by Ped View Post
Honestly at this point I'm all for giving MAGA their own little corner of the country and letting them secede. Go nuts.
Just take away any of the nukes that are in that corner and I'm on board.
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