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Old 03-07-2024, 02:10 PM   #13341
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Originally Posted by Monahammer View Post
The only time Nukes were ever used in a battle scenario was to induce the surrender of a foreign combatant, though. I suppose that's sort of a "deterrent to continue war" but it wasn't defensive at all.

MAD might make that less pertinent in these times, but I don't think it's valid to say they're only useful as a deterrent. There's a whole category of low-yield nukes envisioned for tactical no defensive purposes, too. They're non-practical in todays world because of international law and image... but not useless for these purposes.
Thats fair, although that whole scenario doesn't happen without US first having the traditional military power necessary to occupy Japan.
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Old 03-07-2024, 03:04 PM   #13342
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Flying Russians
https://twitter.com/user/status/1765569372045680688


Russian air defense
https://twitter.com/user/status/1765846851226419211


Ukrainian drones flew about 850 km deep into Russia to hit Severstal facilities
https://twitter.com/user/status/1765826742529253650


Russian servicemen received "humanitarian" aid from Moscow
https://twitter.com/user/status/1765511460422132011


Zaluzhnyi
https://twitter.com/user/status/1765801910613807231


The series of “accidents” in Russian controlled territory is continuing.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1765362298359525462
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Old 03-07-2024, 03:04 PM   #13343
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I think the threat of nuclear war is real. It won't be a volley of massive strikes between two countries like the common scenario portrayed though. it will be a more gradual escalation when some country starts to use low-yield tactical nukes to take out military staging areas and other targets. The line is constantly getting pushed and there has already been talk in both the West and Russia about tactical nukes not being a red line that triggers full scale intercontinental nuclear war.
In wargames and strategic analysis, this is typically how two powers start climbing the nuclear ladder. One side suffers a serious loss or setback in conventional battle, and deploys a small tactical nuke to cover a retreat or take out enemy staging areas. Then the opponent is confronted with the decision whether to respond in kind or (as the power that used the nuke hopes) back the #### off. If the response is escalation, then you’re climbing the nuclear ladder. And the higher up that ladder the opponents climb, the greater the risk of escalation to full nuclear exchange.
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Old 03-08-2024, 11:22 AM   #13344
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In this intercepted call, Russian serviceman in the Lyman direction complains how the officials boasted about the capture of Avdiivka as if they took half of Ukraine
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766080332984467841


Fierce battles are taking place in the Robotyne area, the Defense Forces of Ukraine are inflicting huge losses on the enemy.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766085699093073960


France, Germany and Italy are negotiating the return of weapons previously sold to Qatar, UAE and Saudi Arabia for Ukraine, — Macron

https://twitter.com/user/status/1766165571886870776


Ukrainian FPV munition flies into the rear of a Russian BMP
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766108479939354992


the idea of a light-duty utility vehicle (similar to a golf cart) performing the functions of an armoured personnel carrier would have been ridiculous
https://twitter.com/user/status/1765873150619787641


South Korea, Canada, Sweden urged citizens to urgently leave #Russia because of possible terrorist attacks
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766121406511682027


A major human trafficking network has been exposed in India for sending people to the war in Ukraine on the Russian side
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766138442981790092
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Old 03-08-2024, 11:39 AM   #13345
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South Korea, Canada, Sweden urged citizens to urgently leave #Russia because of possible terrorist attacks
What about the ones that went to Glorious Russia for farming because the gays scared them away? Can we tell them to stay?
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Old 03-08-2024, 01:17 PM   #13346
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South Korea, Canada, Sweden urged citizens to urgently leave #Russia because of possible terrorist attacks
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766121406511682027
When the US first reported that an invasion of Ukraine was imminent imminent imminent and even had lots of details on when and how, it was not taken very seriously, even by Ukraine. It was clearly obvious that they had major intelligence deep within the Kremlin.

If the US is coming out to expect extremist terrorist attacks in Moscow, it's because Putin is likely orchestrating a terrorist attack ala Chechnya for an escalation of hostilities against Ukraine. Will this be a precursor to justify full mandatory conscription including Moscow and St. Petersburg? Or will it be to eliminate any remaining opposing factions and blame it on radical Navalny supporters ahead of the election?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1999_R...tment_bombings
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Old 03-09-2024, 07:00 AM   #13348
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"We cannot talk about certain things, taking into account the agreement with our partners, but believe me, planes will continue to fall
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766387373623935165


Interesting details about the UAVs that attacked Taganrog in the Russian part of the special military operation zone last night.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766380179155296281


France handed over RALEC F3 non-contact fuzes to Ukraine for Caesar SPG
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766443906521088043


Crazy night attacks in Russia by Ukrainian drones
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766333140224672091


And this is Kursk - the Ministry of Murder of the Russian Federation reports on a mass UAV attack on the Rostov, Belgorod, Kursk and Volgograd regions
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766334376202133560


An absolute Z-massacre in the vicinity of Klishchiivka.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766171709671866444


AZOV drone in action
[TWEET1766485261121187990][/TWEET]


a pair of Ukrainian Mi-24 Hind gunships make a rocket attack run from just behind the front.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766483565347234112

Last edited by Cheese; 03-09-2024 at 08:29 AM.
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Old 03-09-2024, 11:08 AM   #13349
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Chatter on Russian Telegram channels is that an A-50 AWACS was burned at the aerodrome in Taganrog, Rostov Oblast, Russian Federation.


(Part of the boom last night!)



https://twitter.com/user/status/1766484514371506373
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766473377445814358


Euro boots on the ground soon
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766522054352720114
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Old 03-09-2024, 11:33 AM   #13350
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In wargames and strategic analysis, this is typically how two powers start climbing the nuclear ladder. One side suffers a serious loss or setback in conventional battle, and deploys a small tactical nuke to cover a retreat or take out enemy staging areas. Then the opponent is confronted with the decision whether to respond in kind or (as the power that used the nuke hopes) back the #### off. If the response is escalation, then you’re climbing the nuclear ladder. And the higher up that ladder the opponents climb, the greater the risk of escalation to full nuclear exchange.
Personally I think nuclear war is inevitable, judging by the actions of all major powers involved.
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Old 03-09-2024, 11:39 AM   #13351
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Man losing AWACS is a big deal for air superiority. Especially if Ukraine is about to have some jets enter the game.

I was lucky enough to get a tour of a NATO base in Germany where they maintained an AWACS and got to tour the plane too. Very cool piece of equipment. I can't imagine there are a lot of them and that losing even a couple would be a pretty hard blow.
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Old 03-09-2024, 12:13 PM   #13352
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Man losing AWACS is a big deal for air superiority. Especially if Ukraine is about to have some jets enter the game.

I was lucky enough to get a tour of a NATO base in Germany where they maintained an AWACS and got to tour the plane too. Very cool piece of equipment. I can't imagine there are a lot of them and that losing even a couple would be a pretty hard blow.
It also speaks to the degradation of Russian abilities that they can't protect them
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Old 03-09-2024, 12:29 PM   #13353
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach View Post
Man losing AWACS is a big deal for air superiority. Especially if Ukraine is about to have some jets enter the game.

I was lucky enough to get a tour of a NATO base in Germany where they maintained an AWACS and got to tour the plane too. Very cool piece of equipment. I can't imagine there are a lot of them and that losing even a couple would be a pretty hard blow.
According to this article from February, Ukraine's head of Defence Intelligence says Russia only had 6 A-50s left (I guess now 5) and that 6 was the minimum number to keep around the clock AWACS operation.

So if true, Russia will now have a significant gap in AWACS coverage.

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/02/25/7443616/
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Old 03-09-2024, 12:32 PM   #13354
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According to this article from February, Ukraine's head of Defence Intelligence says Russia only had 6 A-50s left (I guess now 5) and that 6 was the minimum number to keep around the clock AWACS operation.

So if true, Russia will now have a significant gap in AWACS coverage.

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/02/25/7443616/
It also makes sense that Ukraine would target the AWACS ahead of deploying jets. Until now they wouldn't have mattered that much.
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Old 03-09-2024, 01:55 PM   #13355
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the target of the attack was the Beriev A-50 airborne early warning and control platform. He added that the aircraft was successfully struck and destroyed during the operation.


https://twitter.com/user/status/1766561016173699527
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Old 03-09-2024, 02:00 PM   #13356
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https://twitter.com/user/status/1766224274715529536
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Old 03-10-2024, 10:35 AM   #13357
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More careless smoking in Russia
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766841517283348892
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766855969860882670


and more..
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766631093535461765


Russian cities experienced a heavy attack by UAVs last night.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766360973386936512


Failed mechanized assault by the Russians

https://twitter.com/user/status/1766779917411205604


In temporarily occupied Dokuchaevsk, Donetsk region, a traitor who went over to the side of the enemy, an employee of the so-called MGB, Igor Tsiferov, was blown up
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766818603611914264


Russian traditional value also on the frontlines
https://twitter.com/user/status/1766814733745659972
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Old 03-10-2024, 10:59 AM   #13358
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May not be a popular take in here, but I agree with the former PM of France's comments here about the irresponsible comments from Macron a number of weeks ago when he suggested that France will send their troops on the ground into Ukraine. It was quickly countered by Germany and other countries saying they disagreed and will not send troops on the ground, but it still made Macron look amateur, making hubris claims without thinking, and isolated them on the world stage.

The war needs to end now. The only people benefitting from it are the players involved in the war machine of the west, while Ukrainians suffer and have their country destroyed. Like always, it's war hawks in the west who sit in their homes far away and cheer for the fighting to continue until "all Russians are dead" knowing full well that brave Ukrainians continue to die.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1766689428121297314
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Old 03-10-2024, 11:31 AM   #13359
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Or the russians could just turn around and go home.

Then the war machine of the west won't have to benefit.
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Old 03-10-2024, 12:16 PM   #13360
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May not be a popular take in here, but I agree with the former PM of France's comments here about the irresponsible comments from Macron a number of weeks ago when he suggested that France will send their troops on the ground into Ukraine. It was quickly countered by Germany and other countries saying they disagreed and will not send troops on the ground, but it still made Macron look amateur, making hubris claims without thinking, and isolated them on the world stage.

The war needs to end now. The only people benefitting from it are the players involved in the war machine of the west, while Ukrainians suffer and have their country destroyed. Like always, it's war hawks in the west who sit in their homes far away and cheer for the fighting to continue until "all Russians are dead" knowing full well that brave Ukrainians continue to die.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1766689428121297314

so, first off, there ARE other countries willing to put boots on the ground regardless of what the FORMER French PM said. All of the Baltic countries, Poland, etc are willing. I also agree with Macron, it is time to quit worrying about fear of escalation, Russia can be beat if the west gets off their ass and either provides the weapons or boots, or both. The alternative is a Europe frozen in fear while RW bootlickers typical to Hungary and Belarus continue their takeover in the west.
Second, and once again, what is your war ending premise? Waive the white flag like the Pope suggested? Is that what you would expect of Canada under the same duress?

I think the east benefits from this war as well, by taking over countries the west is to scared to protect.
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