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Old 12-28-2022, 01:07 AM   #161
Strange Brew
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lucky for the Flames the Oilers aren't the only team they are chasing
True. Which team would you suggest looking at?

Here is the math assuming even number of games and not factoring home/away.

Oilers: 0.83 points
Seattle: 0.64 points
LA: 1.56 points
Colorado: 0.28 points

That’s the remaining SOS advantage Flames have on these teams.It’s nothing. Actually beating these teams would make a way bigger difference.
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Old 12-28-2022, 03:18 AM   #162
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True. Which team would you suggest looking at?

Here is the math assuming even number of games and not factoring home/away.

Oilers: 0.83 points
Seattle: 0.64 points
LA: 1.56 points
Colorado: 0.28 points

That’s the remaining SOS advantage Flames have on these teams.It’s nothing. Actually beating these teams would make a way bigger difference.
Flames have beat 3 of those teams... hopefully they notch #4 tomorrow

Flames are 10-5-2 against the west so considering their remaining schedule is mostly western games that is probably a good sign
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Old 01-06-2023, 11:03 AM   #163
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Strength of Schedule Update ...

Flames back to easiest (were 2nd to Dallas)

Easiest home
3rd easiest road

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Old 01-06-2023, 11:06 AM   #164
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Strength of Schedule Update ...

Flames back to easiest (were 2nd to Dallas)

Easiest home
3rd easiest road

Not looking good for the Panthers and that 1st round pick they traded to the Habs

Montreal loving that trade right now!
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Old 01-06-2023, 11:14 AM   #165
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Also, yikes to the Flyers, Jackets and Sharks.
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Old 01-06-2023, 11:15 AM   #166
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Strength of Schedule Update ...

Flames back to easiest (were 2nd to Dallas)

Easiest home
3rd easiest road

Damn, things are not looking good for Panthers. 8pts out of the last WC spot. Pacific is going to be tight till the end
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Old 01-06-2023, 11:32 AM   #167
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How does the Sharks have the 2nd easiest schedule when most of our division is near the hardest?

A ton of different road trips?
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Old 01-06-2023, 11:33 AM   #168
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Damn, things are not looking good for Panthers. 8pts out of the last WC spot. Pacific is going to be tight till the end
The amount of teams involved is as bad as the points back for them...one team could totally tank but they all won't
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Old 01-06-2023, 11:40 AM   #169
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Still not a huge difference between Flames and teams they are chasing. But anything helps at this point.
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Old 01-18-2023, 08:58 AM   #170
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Update ...

Flames no longer in top spot but on that three team ledge that's below the rest of the teams.

For playoff race purposes, don't look for much help in schedule against Seattle, Edmonton and Los Angeles.
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Old 01-18-2023, 09:07 AM   #171
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Update ...

Flames no longer in top spot but on that three team ledge that's below the rest of the teams.

For playoff race purposes, don't look for much help in schedule against Seattle, Edmonton and Los Angeles.
Bye Nashville
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Old 01-18-2023, 09:43 AM   #172
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Golden Nights with the Stone injury is sort of interesting potentially.
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Old 01-18-2023, 09:54 AM   #173
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Flames will blow by the Knights and Kracking by the end of the season.

I think we will be fighting the Oil for top spot.
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Old 01-25-2023, 09:31 AM   #174
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No longer any real advantage for the Flames in strength of schedule.

They're still near the top when it comes to easiest road home, but they have Seattle ahead of them and Edmonton and LA too close to call it a huge boost.

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Old 01-25-2023, 09:40 AM   #175
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There are no easy games this season. It depends on who shows up prepared and ready to play more than anything. Anyone can beat anyone.
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Old 01-25-2023, 10:12 AM   #176
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yeah for sure. schedule is starting to flatten (with all the caveats anyways about you still have to win the games etc), if anything maybe Vegas and Minny are the ones with a big of a tougher road but they have cushions I think


LA is about to head out on a pretty challenging trip, that will be interesting
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Old 01-25-2023, 10:18 AM   #177
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yeah for sure. schedule is starting to flatten (with all the caveats anyways about you still have to win the games etc), if anything maybe Vegas and Minny are the ones with a big of a tougher road but they have cushions I think


LA is about to head out on a pretty challenging trip, that will be interesting
To make the playoffs, the Wild are easily the most likely team to beat right now.

To get in the top 3 it's looking like Vegas. We do play Seattle this week. That's a big game. Would be very nice if we can win that one.
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Old 01-25-2023, 10:31 AM   #178
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There are no easy games this season. It depends on who shows up prepared and ready to play more than anything. Anyone can beat anyone.
Nobody has ever debated that.

But honestly that's just a cliche isn't it?

If you show up with a shade less than your best game you have a better chance to beat a lesser team than a world class outfit. On average having a slightly lesser opponent than your peers can never be a bad thing.
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Old 01-25-2023, 11:06 AM   #179
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Nobody has ever debated that.

But honestly that's just a cliche isn't it?

If you show up with a shade less than your best game you have a better chance to beat a lesser team than a world class outfit. On average having a slightly lesser opponent than your peers can never be a bad thing.
The problem is people look at individual games and think that will be the trend. We lost to Chicago so we can lose any given night.

The Flames have 13 games left against the 9 worst teams. Bottom 9 seem to be where the gap is for the next tier. Philly could be included but they are right there with Detroit and St Louis.

Nobody is suggesting the Flames go 13 - 0. But it is likely they go 10 - 3.

What are the odds the Flames go 10-3 against the top 9 teams? You can play great hockey and not go 10 - 3 against the best teams in the NHL.

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Old 01-25-2023, 11:33 AM   #180
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The problem is people look at individual games and think that will be the trend. We lost to Chicago so we can lose any given night.

The Flames have 13 games left against the 9 worst teams. Bottom 9 seem to be where the gap is for the next tier. Philly could be included but they are right there with Detroit and St Louis.

Nobody is suggesting the Flames go 13 - 0. But it is likely they go 10 - 3.

What are the odds the Flames go 10-3 against the top 9 teams? You can play great hockey and not go 10 - 3 against the best teams in the NHL.
What our record vs top 9 and bottom 9 to date?

It feels like we always play better against better teams, but maybe that's just because I notice the losses to bottom feeders more.
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