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Old 02-24-2022, 08:02 AM   #161
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Invading Ukraine will not make his legacy any "great", but the opposite. Everyone in Russia is shocked at this.
How can they be shocked? This has been talked about for months, I can only imagine it's been an even more urgent topic of conversation in Russia unless it's been very effectively suppressed.
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After this, we will most definitely try to get the ability to choose leadership back
Good luck with that.

Hey, look, I managed to be sarcastic and earnest at the same time.
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:06 AM   #162
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Unless Putin was in a weaker position domestically than he was letting on at home and now is going to use to the war as an excuse to round up and purge remaining dissenting opposition elements.

Revolutions usually coalesce around existing politic leaders and elements. I'd expect any Navalny sympathizers to get rounded up and arrested shortly. After that, who do anti-Putin Russians rally around? Then maybe further Russian constitutional and government restructuring.
He didn't need a war, let alone such a major one to purge. He's been doing it for years without any wars. The reason why Russians were fine with having no politics was because of a fairly good life they had. Now we are afraid he's https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Captain_Ahab who is pursuing his own mad goals, which are not at all aligned with goals of people. Putin no longer provides any predictability and quality of life is likely to go down as well. Not to mention our sons dying. Bombing Kyiv is beyond comprehension. It's like if UK would bomb Dublin.
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:07 AM   #163
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Why wasn't this in place already?
ie. You do x. y will automatically be the consequences.
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:08 AM   #164
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Why not take them off Bloomberg proper instead of some rando unaccredited entrepreneur account then?
$30k annual subscription cost
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:08 AM   #165
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How can they be shocked? This has been talked about for months, I can only imagine it's been an even more urgent topic of conversation in Russia unless it's been very effectively suppressed.

Good luck with that.

Hey, look, I managed to be sarcastic and earnest at the same time.
It's been talked about for months, but few actually believed he would go for this. Most thought it's going to be Crimea 2.0
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:09 AM   #166
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This war absolutely destroys his domestic position. Russians are absolutely shocked at this. Russians basically gave up their rights to vote and such in return for stability and fairly rich life. Like it's ok to not be able to chose a president as long, as you can spend honeymoon on Maldives (like I did). After this, we will most definitely try to get the ability to choose leadership back
Jesus…
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:12 AM   #167
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It'll never happen because we're (the west) spineless but we need to restrict Russia's SWIFT access and start seizing property and assets of Russian oligarchs
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:13 AM   #168
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He didn't need a war, let alone such a major one to purge. He's been doing it for years without any wars. The reason why Russians were fine with having no politics was because of a fairly good life they had. Now we are afraid he's https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Captain_Ahab who is pursuing his own mad goals, which are not at all aligned with goals of people. Putin no longer provides any predictability and quality of life is likely to go down as well. Not to mention our sons dying. Bombing Kyiv is beyond comprehension. It's like if UK would bomb Dublin.
Well if it's not domestic at all I guess we wait for him to declare himself the Supreme Soviet. The Russian people are gonna suffer for this I guess, senility?

His entire inner circle has gotta be just yes-men at this point if it ended up at this. I can't see what the goals are at all other than ego or satiating some kind of perceived slight in a paranoid mind.
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:15 AM   #169
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Russian celebreties are condemning the war in Twitter. This won't help much of course, but it does take courage to do it

https://mobile.twitter.com/maxseddon...543a7e22ff%2F0
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:20 AM   #170
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So uh, why does Putin want Chernobyl?
https://twitter.com/user/status/1496862540957114370
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:24 AM   #171
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So uh, why does Putin want Chernobyl?
https://twitter.com/user/status/1496862540957114370

Dirty bombs? Scorched earth?
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:30 AM   #172
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https://twitter.com/user/status/1496812748059160583
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:31 AM   #173
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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...ssia-Kiev.html

Excerpt:
Ukraine has sent troops to guard against any Russian incursion on the Chernobyl exclusion zone, with the highly radioactive site believed to be a potential entry point for Kremlin aggressors.

Despite the site in northern Ukraine still being radioactive and mainly harbouring ghost towns and fallow fields, the Chernobyl exclusion zone is believed to be at risk of being conquered, reports The New York Times.

This is because the shortest path from Russia to Kiev would take Putin's troops through the isolated zone.
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:34 AM   #174
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Question for people with more knowledge about the equipment involved: given the rate at which this is all taking place, is it possible for the Ukrainian defence forces to effectively cede most of their territory and try to just protect a couple of smaller areas (or even just Kiev) and make this a lengthier and more painful process?
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:35 AM   #175
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Meet the new sanctions just as effective as the old ones.
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:42 AM   #176
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This will be a short and limited war. Analysts say it could take up to 700k troops to fully occupy and pacify a hostile Ukraine. And Putin isn’t as secure at home as we might think - if polls are to be believed only 32 per cent of Russians trust him, and the biggest fear of tyrants is always a domestic revolt.

Short-term objective (weeks): The destruction of conventional Ukraine forces and occupation of Eastern Ukraine territory.

Mid-term objective (months): Firm control of the Black Sea corridor connecting Russia to the Crimea, and the establishment of a client regime in the territory. This achieves the strategic objectives of 1) connecting the Crimea to Russia by land, and 2) creating a buffer between Ukraine / the West and Russia’s vital resources in the Caucasus.

Long-term objective (years): Establish client provinces within Ukraine and then force a new constitution on the country giving those provinces a veto on key decisions like joining NATO.
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:44 AM   #177
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You really think Putin could be ousted in an election?
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Old 02-24-2022, 08:51 AM   #180
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague View Post
Question for people with more knowledge about the equipment involved: given the rate at which this is all taking place, is it possible for the Ukrainian defence forces to effectively cede most of their territory and try to just protect a couple of smaller areas (or even just Kiev) and make this a lengthier and more painful process?
It really depends on the end goal in my opinion. If Russia indeed controls, or will control the air, you probably don't want to concentrate all your forces in one region. Then you end up with a bunch of sitting ducks, and uncertain supply lines.

Usually when two uneven forces like that clash, the side without the air support prefers short skirmishes and mobile troops. Eventually if most of the heavier equipment is destroyed the war slides into guerilla war within the urban regions.

So long story short, it would seem counter productive to just consolidate all the defensive resources on Kiev.
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