12-07-2021, 10:35 AM
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#101
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Calgary, AB
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Roof-Daddy
Lol they got charts for everything these days
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Honestly though Byron Bader's NHL Prospect models are quite fantastic, and gives you a pretty good idea of how a prospect is trending.
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12-07-2021, 10:40 AM
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#102
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Franchise Player
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it's likely that not all these prospects will make it but it's nice to see multiple irons in the fire
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12-07-2021, 10:44 AM
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#103
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Acerbic Cyberbully
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: back in Chilliwack
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tkachukwagon
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Does anyone one have any insight on why Kerins's NHLer probability went up, while his star probability slipped?
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12-07-2021, 10:46 AM
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#104
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Powerplay Quarterback
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I was just excited he was the next incarnation of Jamie Lundmark (the savior).
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12-07-2021, 11:02 AM
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#105
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Crash and Bang Winger
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: home away from home
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Textcritic
Does anyone one have any insight on why Kerins's NHLer probability went up, while his star probability slipped?
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I would guess that in the model there is more uncertainty in the draft year (having less information and many future paths), but as time goes on it becomes clear which path the player is taking. You'd need to know more about how variance and uncertainty is built into the models to be sure.
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12-07-2021, 11:04 AM
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#106
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#1 Goaltender
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: the middle
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So the closest comparables range from journeymen who never played a full season to a regular top six player to a 1000GP, 1000 Point player who will likely get HHOF consideration because of it.
Really covering their bases
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12-07-2021, 11:28 AM
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#107
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Owner
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GoFlamesGo89
I would guess that in the model there is more uncertainty in the draft year (having less information and many future paths), but as time goes on it becomes clear which path the player is taking. You'd need to know more about how variance and uncertainty is built into the models to be sure.
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My guess ... failure to take another step would reduce star potential, holding where you are and not going backwards would increase NHL potential.
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12-09-2021, 09:09 PM
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#109
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Calgary
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Kerins was third star in that game with 3 assists (2 of them primary). He's tied with Petrov (EDM,2021) for second in OHL scoring with 24gp/13g/29a/42pts.
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12-10-2021, 06:22 AM
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#110
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Powerplay Quarterback
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Better than okay Kerins.
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12-11-2021, 04:33 AM
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#111
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Calgary
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Kerins D+2 year (2021-22): 24gp/13g/29a/42pts
Krebs D+2 year (2020-21): 24gp/13g/30a/43pts
Both are 5'11" centers. Krebs was "the annointed one" for Buffalo in the Eichel trade. Just thought it was kinda interesting.
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12-11-2021, 06:05 AM
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#112
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Calgary
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Buffalo was willing to give us Eichel but Treliving didn't want to give up Kerins.
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12-29-2021, 09:22 PM
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#115
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All I can get
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Rory Kerins!
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01-02-2022, 02:53 PM
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#116
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Powerplay Quarterback
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Last edited by Tkachukwagon; 01-02-2022 at 03:03 PM.
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01-02-2022, 04:09 PM
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#117
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All I can get
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Maybe he won't sign with the Flames. Should we start getting worried?
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01-02-2022, 06:02 PM
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#118
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Reggie Dunlop
Maybe he won't sign with the Flames. Should we start getting worried?
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What? He's a CHL prospect? Why wouldn't he?
__________________
"Everybody's so desperate to look smart that nobody is having fun anymore" -Jackie Redmond
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01-02-2022, 06:18 PM
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#119
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Thunder Bay Ontario
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That release...wow.
__________________
Fan of the Flames, where being OK has become OK.
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01-02-2022, 06:26 PM
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#120
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Calgary
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Kerins was first star with both the game-winning, and insurance goal, plus an assist. 29gp/18g/33a/51pts,+4, 10 PIM. He is currently in 4th in the OHL scoring race.
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