2021 Magic Number

[Goriders]

Flames magic number 8

Habs magic number 14

10 games left

[Patek23]

If the Flames somehow win the next 2 against the Habs. And the rest of the games were decided by a coin toss, my paper napkin math has us with a 45 percent chance to make the playoffs is that accurate?

[BrownDrake]

Habs have Toronto 4x, Oilers 2x, jets 1x and the sens 2x.
Tough schedule and oil and jets should be playing hard jockeying for position.

We gotta win our 2 against them and probably win 5-6 of the other 8 and hope Montreal only wins 3-4 of last 9

[Macman]

Originally Posted by Goriders

Flames magic number 8

Habs magic number 14

10 games left

Is this points, games? I'm trying to follow what you're doing here but it's not making sense.

[Patek23]

Originally Posted by Macman

Is this points, games? I'm trying to follow what you're doing here but it's not making sense.

Games

[Macman]

But the Habs only have 1 game in hand with 11 games left, what's the 14?

[Goriders]

Combo of flames wins and mtl losses for their number

Mtl wins and flames losses for flames elimination number.

Basically if we win the next 2 we’re essentially even. Lose 1 or 2 and we’re done.

[topfiverecords]

Originally Posted by Goriders

Combo of flames wins and mtl losses for their number

Mtl wins and flames losses for flames elimination number.

Basically if we win the next 2 we’re essentially even. Lose 1 or 2 and we’re done.

One overtime game and your numbers are out the window aren’t they?

If we win the next two, we just need two more points than the Habs get over the remaining games, and no worse than tied with them in regulation wins.

Quite doable.

[Mathgod]

Originally Posted by topfiverecords

One overtime game and your numbers are out the window aren’t they?

If we win the next two, we just need two more points than the Habs get over the remaining games, and no worse than tied with them in regulation wins.

Quite doable.

But there's also the Canucks to worry about, who have a boatload of games in hand. The Flames will have to win minimum 3 of the 4 head to head meetings with them, maybe all 4.

[topfiverecords]

Originally Posted by Mathgod

But there's also the Canucks to worry about, who have a boatload of games in hand. The Flames will have to win minimum 3 of the 4 head to head meetings with them, maybe all 4.

Indeed, my post assumes taking most or all of the Vancouver games keeping them out of the mix. I think it would take an epic losing streak by Montreal for us to be close and then Van coming over the top.

[Goriders]

Canucks have a better chance than the flames

Overtime games will change things.

Bottom line is flames have no chance if they don’t win these two games against the habs unless the habs fall off a cliff

[Poe969]

Flames magic number is 15 because that's where they always seem to draft!

[troutman]

The Habs have 9 frickin' loser points.

[dino7c]

Originally Posted by Poe969

Flames magic number is 15 because that's where they always seem to draft!

Flames haven't drafted 15th since 1981

one time in franchise history 40 years ago and they drafted Al MacInnis....this is not the joke you are looking for

[Poe969]

Too lazy to look it up, where have they drafter or where has their original pick been?

[Goriders]

Flames number to be eliminated 8

Habs number 12

9 games left. Next game is for all the marbles.

[Reggie28]

I’ve been drinking so maybe my logic is a little skewed, but this is how I see things.

The NHL insists on three point games, so the magic number should be in points, not in win/losses.

The Habs have 10 games left and have the possibility of earning 69 points. The flames currently have 45 points and own the tie breaker. That would make the Flames magic (points) number 24. A flames win brings the number down by 2, a Habs loss brings the number down by 2. 6 flames wins and 6 Habs losses, would put the flames tied in points with the Habs and eliminate them from contention. This is entirely possible.

The Canucks have the possibility of earning 71 points, making the flames magic (points) number 26 (assuming we have the tie breaker). So 6 flames wins and 7 Canucks losses puts us in the playoffs.

The flames need 6 or 7 wins and a little help to make the playoffs. Then stun the leafs and lap up the salty tears of the CBC/Sportsnet producers.

[Goriders]

I think the canucks will pass both the flames and habs. I will add them into the mix.

[Reggie28]

Also, all respect to Goriders (puke) for starting this thread. Lol. Go Stamps. Eventually.

[Reggie28]

Originally Posted by Goriders

Flames number to be eliminated 8

Habs number 12

9 games left. Next game is for all the marbles.

The Flames last 4 games are against the Canucks, those could be huge games if the Flames are still in the mix.