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View Poll Results: Who would you vote for?
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Biden
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6 |
66.67% |
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Trump
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3 |
33.33% |
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Kanye/other/Independent
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0% |
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Would not vote
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0% |
01-05-2021, 07:02 PM
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#8261
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Vancouver
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Seriously though, this is kind of the opposite of the presidential election where election day votes were often counted first, followed by mail in votes.
In this case, many of the mail in votes were counted first, so head start by Warnock and Orsoff was a little misleading.
__________________
"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
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01-05-2021, 07:03 PM
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#8263
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Franchise Player
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Virginia
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It's pretty obvious how this is going to go. Warnock will get called tonight. Ossoff/Perdue will be in a virtual tie that will leave the Senate in majority in limbo while re-counts/audits/court challenges play out.
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01-05-2021, 07:04 PM
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#8264
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Vancouver
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Oh no, the Dem leads are really shrinking now.
STOP THE COUNT! STOP THE COUNT!
They're stealing the election!
__________________
"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
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01-05-2021, 07:05 PM
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#8265
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Lifetime Suspension
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Looks fishy. That most recent batch was, like, 99% republican. Did they just happen to "find" votes under their desk?
Ryan??
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01-05-2021, 07:12 PM
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#8266
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Franchise Player
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Virginia
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Quote:
Originally Posted by djsFlames
Looks fishy. That most recent batch was, like, 99% republican. Did they just happen to "find" votes under their desk?
Ryan??
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You have to say Dump.. not batch!
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01-05-2021, 07:12 PM
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#8267
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
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Biggest takeaway from the numbers is that it appears Dems are overperfoming November margins while the GOP is underperforming turnout slightly. And the GOP underperforming is of course hilarious since there's virtually a 99.9% chance Trump depressed turnout with the everything is rigged talk. At least the orange pig####er was good for something.
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
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01-05-2021, 07:18 PM
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#8268
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Lifetime Suspension
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Calgary, Alberta
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Perdue now up barley.
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01-05-2021, 07:21 PM
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#8269
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
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Joe Manchin has got to be feeling about 11 feet tall right now. About to become one of the most powerful people in the country with no effort.
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
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01-05-2021, 07:22 PM
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#8270
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Lifetime Suspension
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So Trump may succeed in losing them the Senate by discouraging voters, guzzling millions in funding from his supporters to waste the courts time with frivolous and baseless lawsuits, and will flee the country on the 19th, likely to live off of some portion of said charity to be stored in his chinese bank account.
What a ####ing patriot.
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01-05-2021, 07:24 PM
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#8271
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Franchise Player
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Let's maybe not count those chickens quite yet.
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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01-05-2021, 07:25 PM
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#8272
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Vancouver
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
Let's maybe not count those chickens quite yet.
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Yep. Both Republican with small leads now with 2/3rds of the votes counted and mail ins no longer being a big factor.
__________________
"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
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01-05-2021, 07:26 PM
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#8273
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: Ontario
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_only_turek_fan
Perdue now up barley.
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This is where you separate the wheat from the chaff.
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01-05-2021, 07:28 PM
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#8274
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
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Is anyone actually following the needle or are you all just watching the raw vote totals? Warnock and Ossoff's odds have increased in the last 30 minutes on the needle.
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
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01-05-2021, 07:29 PM
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#8275
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Franchise Player
Join Date: May 2004
Location: YSJ (1979-2002) -> YYC (2002-2022) -> YVR (2022-present)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FlamesAddiction
Yep. Both Republican with small leads now with 2/3rds of the votes counted and mail ins no longer being a big factor.
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FWIW, Nate Cohn on Twitter is saying there are lots of metro Atlanta (i.e. Dem) votes remaining, and both Dem candidates are outperforming Biden -- who won the state -- in almost every county. He seems pretty bullish on this being a 2-0 sweep for the blue team.
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01-05-2021, 07:30 PM
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#8276
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: not lurking
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Massive amount of the vote remaining is still Atlanta area early votes. Might not skew as blue as mail-ins, but still should be pretty reliably blue.
As Nate Cohn recently pointed out, the NYT needle isn't getting surprised at all tonight. Basically every chunk of votes that comes in almost exactly matches what their model is predicting for that chunk. And when it does miss, the actual votes are usually slightly benefiting Democrats. So that makes me slightly more confident about their prediction than I otherwise would be.
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01-05-2021, 07:31 PM
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#8277
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Franchise Player
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Large centers being large and all take longer to count and come in later (go figure)
Dems are both doing better than expected so far and in a coin flip race that might be enough
__________________
GFG
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01-05-2021, 07:33 PM
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#8278
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
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And Needle Nate has said his model underestimates the Dems. The underlying numbers right now all suggest a 2-0 Dem victory, but I think nfotiu nailed it earlier in that Warnock will be declared tonight and Ossoff/Perdue will drag out a bit.
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
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01-05-2021, 07:33 PM
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#8279
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Vancouver
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
Is anyone actually following the needle or are you all just watching the raw vote totals? Warnock and Ossoff's odds have increased in the last 30 minutes on the needle.
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Which website has the needle?
__________________
"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
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01-05-2021, 07:34 PM
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#8280
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Vancouver
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MarchHare
FWIW, Nate Cohn on Twitter is saying there are lots of metro Atlanta (i.e. Dem) votes remaining, and both Dem candidates are outperforming Biden -- who won the state -- in almost every county. He seems pretty bullish on this being a 2-0 sweep for the blue team.
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Well, in that case...
COUNT THE VOTES! COUNT THE VOTES!
__________________
"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
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