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Old 12-17-2020, 03:05 PM   #601
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Ken Campbell
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Replying to @reporterchris
I was told today the league is running into some opposition from the Canada Public Health Agency and other levels of government, making a Canadian bubble or games in the U.S. a very real possibility.
This is ridiculous, the case load is much worse in the US
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Old 12-17-2020, 03:12 PM   #602
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Well the Canadian health authorities have been wrong about pretty much everything on this so far so this is no surprise.
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Old 12-17-2020, 03:13 PM   #603
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Someone needs to stab this year in the face so we can be done with it all.
A well-timed cough to the face might get it done.
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Old 12-17-2020, 03:28 PM   #604
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Chris Johnston reporting that NHL is preparing for the possibility that all Canadian teams will play in the US this upcoming season if local health authorities don't allow a Canadian division to play in Canada.

https://www.sportsnet.ca/nhl/article...ion-cant-work/
Man I would love to see the Flames play at Chase Center in San Francisco.
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Old 12-17-2020, 03:36 PM   #605
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A well-timed cough to the face might get it done.
With our luck 2020 will be given immediate regeneron injections and survive. we need something more absolute.
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Old 12-17-2020, 03:37 PM   #606
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Wonder what canadian teams players would rather have? Most players didn’t want to go back into bubble. My guess they are going down south. Hopefully flames land some where warm. Better for minor injuries like aches and pain.
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Old 12-17-2020, 03:46 PM   #607
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Wow, that's pretty wild if they have to play in the US.

All 7 Canadian teams in the US and San Jose would have to play in most likely Vegas. Nutty.
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Old 12-17-2020, 04:26 PM   #608
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It would make it easier for the NHL to buy vaccines for its teams. Probably a lot less backlash if it all happened in the States then up here is Canada.
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Old 12-17-2020, 05:29 PM   #609
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Moving across you get roughly $105 for an average ticket price in order to have 30% of the tickets given away. I put the average ticket price in the league somewhere north of $100 but it's hard to pin down.
If that’s the case it’s very odd that earlier in this thread you were arguing that on average only $1.7M-$1.8M in revenue was generated per home game based on an average attendance of 17,380. You made it clear that those figures included all merchandising, food, beers etc sold at the games so I’m sure you can understand how this does not add up at all.

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So no I think it demonstrates that you'd have to give away 1/3 of the tickets to make the 36% valid, which I don't see as likely.
Again you’re the only one suggesting the league is giving away 1/3 of their tickets. I think you also need to stop referencing the 36% figure when I’ve made it pretty clear that number was only the low end of what has been reported.

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Well its 16 words ... you may want to take on longer books if that seemed daunting.
Uh oh, someone better call the burn unit.

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Did I cut you off on Deerfoot last month? Seems oddly personal to me.
No that’d be more of a thing to bring up in the gear grinder thread if that were the case.

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Do you think you're feeding me my lunch?
No to be honest I think the inconsistencies in your posts are doing a better of that than I ever could.

All joking and snarkness aside, I want to make it very clear that I’m not arguing with you for the sake of arguing, I honestly think your numbers do not add up, and while my numbers probably aren’t perfect either I think the actual numbers probably land closer to mine than yours.

Using your previous attendance figures and applying your $100/ticket price the league would be generating over $2.4B in ticket revenue alone. Just shy of 50% of all HRR. Add to that the money from the national and regional tv broadcast rights deals which is around $2B(40% of HRR) and by your logic all in game merchandise, food/beer concessions sales and all other revenue generated by the league’s apparel, video game licensing agreements and all other remaining revenue streams only makes up about $500M or 10% of HRR. That seems extraordinarily unlikely. To save you time, $500M is the equivalent of each fan spending around $20 at a game.

Using your $1.7M-$1.8M in total gate revenues generated per game, around $2.4B-$2.5B, would mean that the league would be earning around $500M annually from all non game day merchandise, videogame and other licensing deals/sales. While that is much more plausible than the $100/average ticket price scenario above, it still seems like a pretty small amount of revenue considering the amount of merchandise the league is able to sell.

None of this explains the sudden shift in regards to how much revenue you believe the league earns in gate receipts. Earlier in this thread you posted this:

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Originally Posted by Bingo View Post

Did some digging on revenues and roughly the following seems to be true.

Total Revenue - $5B USD
Tickets & Concession 44% or $2.2B
TV 49% or $2.4B
Other 7% or $0.4B
For some reason, almost as soon as I put out the gate revenue figure of 36% of HRR(which I later clarified as 36-39%) you started arguing that gate revenues were much higher(~50% rather than 44%) than what you were previously claiming. The 5% difference in HRR between your 44% figure and my 39% figure is roughly $250M or around $10/fan in attendance according to your attendance figures.

Based on how far off I believe your average ticket price estimation seems to be(I can go into more detail on that if you’d like but something tells me that me posting anymore than necessary would not be your preference ) I hope you’re able to at least see how our numbers aren’t as far apart as you or others may have originally thought, which isn’t to say that I’m right or you’re wrong, just that I think you may have dug your heels in a little deep for no reason and now your new arguments are contradictory to your old ones which isn’t a great look.
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Old 12-17-2020, 06:42 PM   #610
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Originally Posted by dissentowner View Post
This is ridiculous, the case load is much worse in the US
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Well the Canadian health authorities have been wrong about pretty much everything on this so far so this is no surprise.
Statements like these crack me up...

Statement 1: The US has managed the pandemic way worse, it is ridiculous that Canada doesn't follow their management practices

Statement 2: I agree...Canada has really bungled their response to the pandemic in contrast to the States


Have you ever thought that maybe there is a correlation between how Canadian authorities have managed the pandemic and our relatively low numbers in contrast to the US?

Public health > sports/entertainment...always
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Old 12-17-2020, 06:44 PM   #611
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If flames have to relocate to states , I like the sound of the Hawaiian Flames.
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Old 12-17-2020, 06:49 PM   #612
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If flames have to relocate to states , I like the sound of the Hawaiian Flames.
Yay for midnight game time starts on tv!
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Old 12-17-2020, 07:21 PM   #613
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Statements like these crack me up...
Was being somewhat facetious. But recall Canadian Health authorities initially advised closing borders and masks were not required.
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Old 12-17-2020, 07:57 PM   #614
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If flames have to relocate to states , I like the sound of the Hawaiian Flames.
Honest question, is there an ice rink somewhere there?
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Old 12-17-2020, 08:10 PM   #615
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They can just skate on the obsidian near one of the volcanoes

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Old 12-17-2020, 08:53 PM   #616
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Ughhhhh....

Clearly jan13 is outta the question. Heck, the logistics for all this makes feb1 difficult.
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Old 12-17-2020, 08:58 PM   #617
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If flames have to relocate to states , I like the sound of the Hawaiian Flames.
Or the Atlanta Flames! Wait...
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Old 12-17-2020, 09:52 PM   #618
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Makes no difference to me watching from my couch
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Old 12-17-2020, 09:52 PM   #619
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If flames have to relocate to states , I like the sound of the Hawaiian Flames.
I don't.
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Old 12-18-2020, 06:02 AM   #620
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In Canada, public health measures are managed at the provincial level. In the U.S., at the state level. So are the measures in every province around sports activities really stricter than in every state? The NHL is dealing with something like 26 different health authorities, and every one of the Canadian ones is balking and every one of the American ones is a green light? That seems highly improbable.
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