[GT] US election - It's 2020, what could possibly go wrong?

[GirlySports]

Originally Posted by sureLoss

differential in Georgia dropped to 9,525 with 43k votes left to count

This really is a run chase.


I'm saying to make sureLoss feel like it's sports

[The Fonz]

Originally Posted by rubecube

Looooool.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1324461436224053251

Okay now you're just doing it on purpose!

[Poster]

Originally Posted by sureLoss

differential in Georgia dropped to 9,525 with 43k votes left to count

So Biden needs 75% of those remaining ballots. Is this possible?

[troutman]

https://twitter.com/user/status/1324472051873255429

[devo22]

Originally Posted by Poster

So Biden needs 75% of those remaining ballots. Is this possible?

he doesn't need 75%, he needs around 26.5k from the 43k, which is around 62%. And yeah, that's possible

[Senator Clay Davis]

Not Needle Nate thinks Biden will pull off Georgia

https://twitter.com/user/status/1324472736232673280

[MarchHare]

Originally Posted by MarchHare

Looking into this further, it really depends on where those votes are coming from and the raw number of votes in each block. For example, if Biden is getting 56.7% from a deep red rural district, that's really good! If he's getting 56.7% from deep blue Philadelphia, then that's not going to cut it. Unfortunately, I'm not sure if we can really draw many conclusions from this data without more info, but knowing that isn't stopping me from stress refreshing the page every five minutes.

On this note, here's the latest update from 538 re: PA:

GEOFFREY SKELLEY
NOV. 5, 5:15 PM
Over the past half hour or so, nearly 23,000 votes have come in from around Pennsylvania, and Biden has won about two-thirds of them. As a result, Trump’s lead has waned to about 90,500 votes, or about 1.4 percentage points (50.1 percent to 48.7 percent). A two-to-one ratio actually isn’t that great for Biden at this point, but that split had a lot to do with getting some votes from deeply Republican counties. Even then, though, Biden managed to break even in the latest batch from Tioga County (Trump has 75 percent overall there) and win around 63 percent of the latest from Crawford County (Trump’s at 71 percent overall). Bluer Lehigh County also came in with a sizable number of votes.

And critically, none of this involved votes from Philadelphia County. This is probably our final update on the numbers ahead of a press conference, scheduled for 5:15 p.m. Eastern, held by Pennsylvania Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar, who will be providing an update on where things stand with the count.

[Johnny Makarov]

Win this for us Atlanta and the NHL will give you another team to give to Canada a decade later!

[Flames0910]

Sounds like there's a chance but it will go right down to the wire. That said, flipping Georgia + Pennsylvania won't be necessary if Biden's lead holds in Nevada and Arizona.

[Scroopy Noopers]

Originally Posted by Flames0910

Sounds like it will go right down to the wire, but flipping Georgia + Pennsylvania won't even matter if Biden's lead holds in Nevada and Arizona.

I choose option E: all of the above.

Make it happen and maybe we don’t have to hear about recounts for the next few months.

[CorsiHockeyLeague]

Originally Posted by Johnny Makarov

Win this for us Atlanta and the NHL will give you another team to give to Canada a decade later!

Honestly would be fine just giving them the Jets back.

[Flames0910]

Originally Posted by Scroopy Noopers

I choose option E: all of the above.

Make it happen and maybe we don’t have to hear about recounts for the next few months.

Agreed. Important to have a clear winner when it's all said and done otherwise there will be (more) people in the streets.

[devo22]

Originally Posted by Flames0910

Sounds like it will go right down to the wire, but flipping Georgia + Pennsylvania won't even matter if Biden's lead holds in Nevada and Arizona.

true, but let's hope he can run up the score so that the predictable recounts and legal shenanigans don't matter that much.

[Bonded]

Originally Posted by rubecube

Looooool.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1324461436224053251

What was it?

[MarchHare]

I really hope Biden runs up the score a bit and has some EC padding when all is said and done. I'd hate for the entire election to hinge on one or two really close states (say PA alone or NV+GA) and we get a Florida 2000 redux.

[KootenayFlamesFan]

I'm a lot more optimistic at this time this today than I was yesterday. Seem like both parties know which way this is going.

Just need to make it official. It's 2020, I don't trust anything.

[CalgaryFan1988]

Why are MSNBC numbers of remaining votes for Georgia so much higher?

I know it's wrong, but it says 93278 votes left with the same ~9000 vote spread differential.

[CorsiHockeyLeague]

The host on Fox just went on a 30 second speech about how the election is being stolen by crooked vote counting in Philadelphia, because they have a history of handing out street money on election day and having black panthers with billy clubs outside polling stations and there's rampant voter fraud. Juan Williams is now rolling his eyes and telling him he's out to lunch as the guy talks over him.

I mean, I wish them luck in their march on Philly, because that will no doubt be hilarious, but Fox is really having no qualms about stirring up the mob.

[united]

Wow Georgia is tense.

If you prorate the remaining sub-98% counties you get 11,000 Biden versus 3,200 Trump leaving a Trump lead of 1,700 with 3,000 votes outstanding. Plus standard variance within.

Incredible the spread could be two or three figures from almost five million votes.

[Party Elephant]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

This really is a run chase.


I'm saying to make sureLoss feel like it's sports

New Zealand vs South Africa, 2015 world cup semi final!