View Poll Results: Who would you vote for?
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Biden
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6 |
66.67% |
Trump
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3 |
33.33% |
Kanye/other/Independent
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0 |
0% |
Would not vote
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0 |
0% |
11-04-2020, 09:46 PM
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#2681
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Lifetime Suspension
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
Alright I did some quick math. This would mean that there are about 7500 votes outstanding in the Trump-dominated counties, and...
~17,000 votes outstanding in Clayton;
~11,000 votes outstanding in Bibb;
~1800 votes outstanding in Sumter;
~14000 votes outstandingin Richmond; and
~16,000 votes outstanding in Chatham.
Obviously the Biden margin varies significantly in those counties but they all would narrow the lead and might be just enough to get it to Biden's side (though as noted earlier it's in recount territory either way).
Fingers crossed, knock on wood, etc etc.
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Thanks for doing the math, I was way too lazy to.
Recounts have never flipped a state before, so I think if he gets even a 3-5k cushion it would be a done deal.
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11-04-2020, 09:47 PM
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#2682
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Calgary
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A reminder that a Biden victory in PA means it's game over regardless of anything, and I believe a Biden win in GA is best case EV tie for Trump.
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The Following User Says Thank You to Acey For This Useful Post:
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11-04-2020, 09:47 PM
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#2683
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
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I think I'm feeling more confident about PA because of Dave. He's not named Nate, but it's only two letters off.
https://twitter.com/user/status/1324211037558743040
__________________
"Think I'm gonna be the scapegoat for the whole damn machine? Sheeee......."
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11-04-2020, 09:47 PM
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#2684
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Franchise Player
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correct
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11-04-2020, 09:49 PM
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#2685
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Voted for Kodos
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
Georgia is going to be REALLY close.
I am starting to agree with the Nates, have been tracking PA for a while and if Biden can continue at anything close to the pace he has been on for the last couple hours, he will win by 100,000 to 150,000 votes.
I'll believe it when I see it, but that is the current trend
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You mean 10,000 to 15,000 I think?
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11-04-2020, 09:50 PM
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#2686
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Lifetime Suspension
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Yeah, place your bets.
I think he wins it by 5-10k.
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11-04-2020, 09:51 PM
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#2687
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by You Need a Thneed
You mean 10,000 to 15,000 I think?
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no, 100 to 150k
that is the current pace (with a little more than 700k votes yet to go)
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11-04-2020, 09:51 PM
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#2688
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Lifetime Suspension
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
no, 100 to 150k
that is the current pace (with a little more than 700k votes yet to go
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There's about 70k to go, not 700. If I'm not mistaken. Yes, it's that razor thin.
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11-04-2020, 09:52 PM
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#2689
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Franchise Player
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70k is Georgia, I am talking PA
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The Following User Says Thank You to Enoch Root For This Useful Post:
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11-04-2020, 09:53 PM
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#2690
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by djsFlames
There's about 70k to go, not 700. If I'm not mistaken. Yes, it's that razor thin.
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PA vs GA
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11-04-2020, 09:56 PM
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#2691
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Franchise Player
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That Atlanta reporter Brendan Keefe is claiming it's about a 15-16k gap based on his last tweet but none of the vote trackers are showing that kind of update
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The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Matty81 For This Useful Post:
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11-04-2020, 09:57 PM
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#2692
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Lifetime Suspension
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The Following 8 Users Say Thank You to djsFlames For This Useful Post:
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11-04-2020, 09:57 PM
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#2693
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Now world wide!
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This is kind of an interesting window into Pennsylvania (or maybe it's not, I can't tell anymore).
Still the data are presented in pretty raw form, which makes me think they're pretty reliable. 760k mail-in votes remaining to count there if those numbers are current.
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11-04-2020, 09:58 PM
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#2694
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Voted for Kodos
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
70k is Georgia, I am talking PA
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Sorry, thought you were taking GA
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The Following User Says Thank You to You Need a Thneed For This Useful Post:
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11-04-2020, 09:59 PM
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#2695
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Locked in the Trunk of a Car
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Matty81
That Atlanta reporter Brendan Keefe is claiming it's about a 15-16k gap based on his last tweet but none of the vote trackers are showing that kind of update
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I don’t see that, he does say that Biden closed the gap by 16,000+ votes
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11-04-2020, 09:59 PM
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#2696
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Franchise Player
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Hopefully with a sane president they can figure out a better way to count mail ballots...this could have been over early
__________________
GFG
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11-04-2020, 10:01 PM
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#2698
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by flylock shox
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So, that dashboard is where I was getting my concerns about the outcome in PA. If you look at where the vote is outstanding and the numbers by county, it paints a pretty unfortunate picture for Biden. However, it hasn't been updated in almost 3 hours, so I'm not sure what to make of that.
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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11-04-2020, 10:01 PM
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#2699
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Vancouver
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dion
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I don't think she knows what post marked means.
__________________
"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
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11-04-2020, 10:02 PM
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#2700
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Matty81
That Atlanta reporter Brendan Keefe is claiming it's about a 15-16k gap based on his last tweet but none of the vote trackers are showing that kind of update
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Yeah, Fulton county's own site still shows the previous numbers and 100% of precincts reporting (though maybe everything left is absentee). Hard to know what's going on.
https://results.enr.clarityelections...4614/#/summary
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