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View Poll Results: Who would you vote for?
Biden 6 66.67%
Trump 3 33.33%
Kanye/other/Independent 0 0%
Would not vote 0 0%
Voters: 9. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 11-03-2020, 09:36 PM   #1021
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Nate Silver needs to #### off.
What if his do you disagree with.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:36 PM   #1022
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Was glad to see my state go for Biden, by a huge margin.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:36 PM   #1023
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Michigan and Wisconsin are looking pretty iffy for Biden though. Still a little too early there though as they are only 44% and 54% counted.
I'm just going to respond to every one of these I see: no, it's not looking iffy. It's not looking like anything. There's simply no way to know what those oustanding mail-in ballots look like. It wouldn't be surprising to see Biden at well over 60% in those outstanding votes, and if so he would win the state handily.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:36 PM   #1024
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BOOOMMMM. Even odds for Biden now!!

Sportsbooks prob just figured out the mail in votes for PA.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:37 PM   #1025
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BOOOMMMM. Even odds for Biden now!!
Time to hedge the odds were always close to even though Arizona gives Biden better odds
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:37 PM   #1026
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Thanks. Now I'm yearning for some BBQ. Damn.
Totally unrelated and probably better suited for the BBQ thread however I've managed to snag a wagyu brisket that should be in tomorrow or thursday
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:37 PM   #1027
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Man, I think Pennsylvania is going for Biden. Look at all those votes still to come in Philadelphia (33% reporting) and Pittsburgh (17% reporting), which are both around 80% for Biden right now.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:38 PM   #1028
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Haha congrats to everyone who took the smart gamble at long odds for Biden. That was Trumpster money to be stolen from people that didn't understand the process. People seem to forget how fragmented and messed up this process is every 4 years.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:38 PM   #1029
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If things keep on this trajectory, Biden will need Pennsylvania and one of Wisconsin or Michigan (assuming Minnesota, Hawaii and Nevada are in the bag).

Or all of Iowa, Wisconsin and Michigan if he loses Pennsylvania.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:38 PM   #1030
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Haha congrats to everyone who took the smart gamble at long odds for Biden. That was Trumpster money to be stolen from people that didn't understand the process.
It is still way, way too early to be taking a victory lap on that.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:39 PM   #1031
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Haha congrats to everyone who took the smart gamble at long odds for Biden. That was Trumpster money to be stolen from people that didn't understand the process.
Well, let's wait and see. What stuns me, more than anything, is how close this is and that is the real story - no matter who wins.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:39 PM   #1032
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Again like Florida, if you look at the county by county maps its the bluest places that are under reported. and the redists places are sitting at 99%.

probably not enough to close the gap, but the Blue shift is still a real thing to expect.
Also if I were to pick any state that would engage in shenanigans it would be Florida. I expect a court challenge to stop the counting soon.

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Old 11-03-2020, 09:39 PM   #1033
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He's 8 points ahead with 88% reported in.
That's not 88% of the vote, its 88% of poles.

Again, the poles that are not in often contain the most votes and are in the bluest places, it will tighten. And I did say it may not be enough to overcome the lead.

Plus in most places these poles are reported by a simple phone call, mistakes happen things get counted a again and change over the following days. If the people who have all the information say its too close to call, that there are lots of reasons to believe them.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:39 PM   #1034
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If things keep on this trajectory, Biden will need Pennsylvania and one of Wisconsin or Michigan (assuming Minnesota, Hawaii and Nevada are in the bag).

Or all of Iowa, Wisconsin and Michigan if he loses Pennsylvania.
Cant he win with Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin and Omaha 2?
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:39 PM   #1035
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I put $40 on Biden getting Arizona at +247 a couple hours ago.

Biiiiing-o. Add a $58 profit to my pocket.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:40 PM   #1036
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That's not 88% of the vote, its 88% of poles.

Again, the poles that are not in often contain the most votes and are in the bluest places, it will tighten. And I did say it may not be enough to overcome the lead.

Plus in most places these poles are reported by a simple phone call, mistakes happen things get counted a again and change over the following days. If the people who have all the information say its too close to call, that there are lots of reasons to believe them.
Ah okay. I asked earlier what it meant.

EDIT: I dunno. When I click on a state it says '% expected vote in.' Doesn't that mean those votes have been counted?

Obviously they don't know exactly how many people will vote.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:40 PM   #1037
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I put $40 on Biden getting Arizona at +247 a couple hours ago.

Biiiiing-o. Add a $58 profit to my pocket.
But you didn't get take the chance to call people names on a message board!
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:42 PM   #1038
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You people are degenerate gamblers
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:43 PM   #1039
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John McCain giving the middle finger to Trump from the grave.

Of the thousands of terrible things Trump has said and done, his treatment of McCain is near the top of the list.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:43 PM   #1040
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I'm just going to respond to every one of these I see: no, it's not looking iffy. It's not looking like anything. There's simply no way to know what those oustanding mail-in ballots look like. It wouldn't be surprising to see Biden at well over 60% in those outstanding votes, and if so he would win the state handily.
It's a good point.

Wayne County (Detroit) is also only 28% counted at the moment. That could make a huge difference.
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