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View Poll Results: Who would you vote for?
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Biden
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6 |
66.67% |
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Trump
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3 |
33.33% |
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Kanye/other/Independent
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0 |
0% |
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Would not vote
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0 |
0% |
11-03-2020, 08:05 PM
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#761
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First round-bust
Join Date: Feb 2015
Location: speculating about AHL players
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Hhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh.
That's all I can say at this hour. Still very early.
__________________
Need a great deal on a new or pre-owned car? Come see me at Platinum Mitsubishi — 2720 Barlow Trail NE
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11-03-2020, 08:06 PM
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#762
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MarchHare
Is there a reason I should treat this with suspicion?
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It's ####ing Fox News?
Honestly I think the reason is that they haven't updated their projections as the vote has come in.
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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11-03-2020, 08:06 PM
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#763
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12
How many different groups can you call idiots for supporting Trump before realizing you aren't doing what is necessary to win their votes?
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I still think the Democrats needed someone who could shout back at Trump. Should have just went all in on Sanders to show the progressives they tried haha.
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11-03-2020, 08:06 PM
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#764
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Lifetime Suspension
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Calgary, Alberta
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher
How are pollsters going to recover from this? They said they corrected their errors from 2016. Clearly their models and methodologies are still deeply flawed.
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LOL. It is not done yet.
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11-03-2020, 08:06 PM
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#765
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: California
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher
How are pollsters going to recover from this? They said they corrected their errors from 2016. Clearly their models and methodologies are deeply flawed.
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Depends on the outcome
If Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Iowa, North Carolina are all within 3% and Biden wins then you would say it’s fine.
We don’t know how far out the polls were except in Florida which had a polling error that was identified as a risk before the election.
But it could be that polling error is 5% and therefore not that predictive in US politics.
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11-03-2020, 08:06 PM
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#766
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Had an idea!
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher
How are pollsters going to recover from this? They said they corrected their errors from 2016. Clearly their models and methodologies are still deeply flawed.
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Who knows. Some were right, especially on Florida.
Maybe we put too much stock on what those polls say.
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11-03-2020, 08:06 PM
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#767
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First Line Centre
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MarchHare
Against my better judgement, I checked the probability dials on the Fox News website. As of this writing, they have Biden at 80% to win Georgia, 89% to win Ohio, and 95% to win North Carolina.
Is there a reason I should treat this with suspicion, or has Biden closed this out?
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Trump currently has a 12 point lead in GA, 3 point lead in OH and is virtually tied in NC (<3k votes)... I don't get it 
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11-03-2020, 08:06 PM
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#768
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Had an idea!
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Why is Iowa not reporting any results but all the states around them are, even if only 20% reporting?
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11-03-2020, 08:07 PM
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#769
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Franchise Player
Join Date: May 2004
Location: YSJ (1979-2002) -> YYC (2002-2022) -> YVR (2022-present)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_only_turek_fan
128k vote lead for Trump in OH.
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Zoom in on the county level. Most of the red areas have nearly finished reporting. The blue areas (big cities like Cleveland, Cincinnati, etc.) where Biden has huge leads are only around ~55% reporting. I'm actually feeling kind of bullish on Ohio now, but I'm probably going to be Charlie Brown trying to kick the football before the night is over.
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The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to MarchHare For This Useful Post:
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11-03-2020, 08:07 PM
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#770
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MarchHare
Against my better judgement, I checked the probability dials on the Fox News website. As of this writing, they have Biden at 80% to win Georgia, 89% to win Ohio, and 95% to win North Carolina.
Is there a reason I should treat this with suspicion, or has Biden closed this out?
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I feel like they are just putting that out to make Democrats sad when Trump wins them.
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11-03-2020, 08:07 PM
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#771
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Basement Chicken Choker
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: In a land without pants, or war, or want. But mostly we care about the pants.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12
Remember when I got #### on for saying Trump was smart?
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No, it's hard to keep track of all the ridiculous assertions you make.
__________________
Better educated sadness than oblivious joy.
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The Following 12 Users Say Thank You to jammies For This Useful Post:
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Bagor,
CMPunk,
flamingreen,
flizzenflozz,
Fuzz,
Hockeyguy15,
Johnny Makarov,
Rhettzky,
Scroopy Noopers,
united,
V,
wwkayaker
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11-03-2020, 08:08 PM
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#772
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Franchise Player
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Trump has officially taken the lead in North Carolina. Academic, but there it is.
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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11-03-2020, 08:08 PM
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#773
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Franchise Player
Join Date: May 2004
Location: YSJ (1979-2002) -> YYC (2002-2022) -> YVR (2022-present)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by you&me
Trump currently has a 12 point lead in GA, 3 point lead in OH and is virtually tied in NC (<3k votes)... I don't get it |
You have to look at what areas have reported their votes and what areas are still outstanding. In all three cases, it appears that the votes from blue strongholds are still to be counted while the red vote is almost entirely in.
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11-03-2020, 08:08 PM
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#774
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Franchise Player
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AZ for Biden?
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11-03-2020, 08:08 PM
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#775
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Lifetime Suspension
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheScorpion
Hhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh.
That's all I can say at this hour. Still very early.
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Thats why I don't sit down to watch until 9-10.
Why put yourself through those early hours sitting around, no need and just puts extra tension on yourself getting worked up over the first quarter of the results.
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The Following User Says Thank You to djsFlames For This Useful Post:
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11-03-2020, 08:08 PM
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#776
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bonded
I still think the Democrats needed someone who could shout back at Trump. Should have just went all in on Sanders to show the progressives they tried haha.
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Or maybe not go so all in on certain aspects of progressive policy?
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The Following User Says Thank You to peter12 For This Useful Post:
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11-03-2020, 08:08 PM
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#777
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Referee
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Over the hill
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MarchHare
Zoom in on the county level. Most of the red areas have nearly finished reporting. The blue areas (big cities like Cleveland, Cincinnati, etc.) where Biden has huge leads are only around ~55% reporting. I'm actually feeling kind of bullish on Ohio now, but I'm probably going to be Charlie Brown trying to kick the football before the night is over.
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The other thing to keep in mind is that if Biden is at all close in Ohio, Trump isn’t winning Pennsylvania.
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The Following User Says Thank You to Iowa_Flames_Fan For This Useful Post:
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11-03-2020, 08:08 PM
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#778
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#1 Goaltender
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The Calgary tower is lit red. Hilarious
__________________
No, no…I’m not sloppy, or lazy. This is a sign of the boredom.
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11-03-2020, 08:09 PM
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#779
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Calgary
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Biggest losers, maybe even more than 4 years ago because they have had 4 years to fix it? The polling industry. The networks are looking stupid yet again.
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11-03-2020, 08:09 PM
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#780
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bonded
AZ for Biden?
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The Latino vote doesn't appear to be going very well for him, I'm starting to doubt.
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