Did everyone forget about the delays counting mail in ballots or are we just pretending the sky is falling because we’re used to it?
Look at every major election since 2016. Trump gets repudiated at every turn. He lost a senate seat in Alabama, and the House in 2018. He’s on track to lose the Senate and House again.
He’s going to do all this losing and still win the White House?
I dunno. Seems dubious.
__________________ ”All you have to decide is what to do with the time that is given to you.”
Rowan Roy W-M - February 15, 2024
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Everyone relax. Did people miss the discussion about the red mirage early on? This was expected. The mail-in won’t be counted for a while more. Yes, this is discouraging, but the numbers are closer than expected with the red mirage.
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For a mod you sure come across hostile sometimes. If you didn’t like his post you could of ignored it. You were literally the only person in the the thread to comment it.
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So the hispanic result in Florida does not bode well for Arizona. Hopefully Nevada is out of reach but I think we can pretty much write AZ off.
Gotta hope for that midwest run.
I wouldn't be so sure of that. Hispanic voters in Miami-Dade are largely from Cuba and Venezuela and are far more likely to respond to Trump's "Biden = SOCIALISM" messaging. Hispanic voters in Arizona are largely from Mexico and Central America where Trump is absolutely loathed.
For a mod you sure come across hostile sometimes. If you didn’t like his post you could of ignored it. You were literally the only person in the the thread to comment it.
I find it offensive when there are really important things at stake and someone cares about being “right”.
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Florida Hispanics are dominated by Cuban descent. Not at all related to each other.
There are fewer Cubans in FLA than there were four years ago, and yet his share of latino vote got better.
Last time the entire campaign was about immigration and the border, and this time he's barely mentioned it. I think that has an effect.
__________________ "The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
Everyone relax. Did people miss the discussion about the red mirage early on? This was expected. The mail-in won’t be counted for a while more. Yes, this is discouraging, but the numbers are closer than expected with the red mirage.
What are your thoughts on Florida Georgia and NC in relation to polls based on the upshot forecast
It's appearing like the polls in swing states we're off by about 5%
If so, Trump wins with a margin basically the same as last time.
__________________ "The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
