The big question:
How many electoral votes will each candidate win (overall, not necessarily called on election night)
Biden: 353, Trump: 185
A couple tools you can use to calculate this are: 270towin.com and fivethirtyeight.com Note that the 538 one is a little odd because it's giving you average outcomes based on the states you select, so may give you actual vote numbers that are impossible.
Recent polls are here:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ident-general/
Bonus questions:
Which party controls the House?
Democrats, quite easily.
which party wins each of these senate races:
Colorado: Hickenlooper (D), the former governor should take this race easily. Gardner hasn't done much other than kiss Trump's butt.
Michigan: Peters (D), part of the blue wave in Michigan, Peters picks up the downballot energy from Biden.
Maine**: Gideon (D), Maine is a swing state politically, but Susan Collins has been viewed as a bit of a two-faced person. Talking about doing something that the electorate wants, and then following party lines. Her time is pretty much over.
North Carolina: Cal Cunningham (D), seems like he's primed to take over from Trump sycophant Thom Tillis. Also getting downballot help from Biden it seems.
Arizona: Kelly (D), former astronaut Mark Kelly is a strong public figure, and he's riding that pretty strong to a seat over McSally, who hasn't been particularly effective in office.
Iowa: Ernst (R), isn't overly beloved in the state these days, but her challenger isn't decidedly impressive enough to unseat an incumbent.
Alabama: Tuberville (R), it's Alabama, 'nuff said.
South Carolina: Harrison (D), South Carolina is a very red state, and will vote for Trump unequivocally, but Graham has been there long enough to alienate a good chunk of the population. The comments about senate confirmation show that he will say anything that he pleases as long as it's politically advantageous, and that was possibly the final straw for moderates. Harrison has a bright future ahead of him, whether he wins this race or not. However, I think he eeks out a narrow victory because Graham is despicable.
Montana: Daines (R), the incumbent, hasn't done anything particularly egregious in office, and while Bullock is a quality candidate, Montana is still pretty conservative overall.
Kansas: Marshall (R), two particularly bland candidates where the Republican incumbent is running a clean campaign in a pretty red state. Should be an easy win for the right.
Georgia*: Perdue (R), the incumbent has really been put to the test by young Ossof (who also seems to have a future in politics beyond this race), but it's hard to unseat an incumbent in most races. I think this one will be a narrow victory for the Republicans, as will the presidential race, but of all the races, I think this one could go either way. Ossof could very well win this race and the state could easily go for Biden.
Goergia (special)*: No idea, but will be interested to see the fallout from the special election race.
*These elections will go to a runoff in January if no candidate has 50%.
**This election will go to an instant ranked-choice vote runoff later in the week if no candidate has 50%.
Extra Bonus Questions:
What will be the biggest surprise of election night?
I have two:
Florida goes for Biden by a significant margin, meaning no recount is necessary.
Lindsey Graham loses his seat to up and comer Jaime Harrison. Jaime's political future is quite bright.
When (day/hour) will the election winner first be declared by major news networks?
A few key swing states waiting on mail-in ballots will be too close to call (Pennsylvania especially). Most states' results will be definitive within 48 hours. Calls will be made by Wednesday evening with a pretty strong degree of certainty. Confirmation of the results will be done by Friday. It won't be close, Biden will win in a landslide.
