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Old 04-17-2019, 10:54 AM   #3521
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Rural BC will go conservative and lower mainland and island NDP.
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Old 04-17-2019, 10:56 AM   #3522
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A bunch of the island is moving more towards the green side of things. Murray Rankin's seat (not running again) is leaning green. The GPC might end up with 3-4.
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Old 04-17-2019, 11:06 AM   #3523
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FPTP still showing it's shortcomings, but the 17% disparity between popular votes and seats is the lowest this century

2019: 55% popular = 72% of the seats.
2015: 40% pop = 62% seats.
2012: 44% pop = 70% seats
2008: 53% pop = 87% seats
2004: 47% pop = 75% seats
2001: 62% pop = 89% seats

Funny that AP gained over 7% popular vote from last time (from 2.3% to 10%), but lost their only seat.

UCP 55% isn't a huge increase compared to 52% PC/WRP last time (74% in 2012).
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Old 04-17-2019, 11:11 AM   #3524
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Do candidates have some say in what riding they run in (presumably they must live in the riding?)

It seems like the AP candidates who had a hope of winning their seats were running in ridings with very strong contenders from other parties.

I don't mind the FPTP system, even though it often screws us Federally I think it makes the most sense.
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Old 04-17-2019, 11:14 AM   #3525
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Anyone know when the transition day is? I know it usually happens pretty quickly.
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Old 04-17-2019, 11:31 AM   #3526
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Anyone know when the transition day is? I know it usually happens pretty quickly.
They gotta burn all the documents first!
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Old 04-17-2019, 11:34 AM   #3527
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I will at least expect him to put together a budget to start.

Something Notley couldn't even bother to do as part of her election platform while in government.
A government budget has pretty little to do with the economy, unless there's some sort of stimulus package (or I suppose if you believe in trickle down - a massive corporate tax cut).

The decisions affecting Alberta's economy are mostly made outside Alberta. heck, often outside Canada, and many times outside North America.
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Old 04-17-2019, 11:36 AM   #3528
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We might not see a constitutional challenge for pipeline purposes, but that’s not to say we won’t see one at all. Six of the 10 provinces have Conservative governments, and Newfoundland could make seven in May - if Scheer gets a majority, all the pieces will be in place for constitutional amendments.
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Old 04-17-2019, 11:37 AM   #3529
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Rural BC will go conservative and lower mainland and island NDP.
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A bunch of the island is moving more towards the green side of things. Murray Rankin's seat (not running again) is leaning green. The GPC might end up with 3-4.
It's honestly going to come down to whether the Liberals can successfully paint the Conservatives as alt+righters and social dinosaurs (which the CPC have been doing to themselves to some degree). The island is pretty much locked in for the Greens and NDP but the lower mainland could panic and go Liberal if they think the CPC have a shot at winning.
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Old 04-17-2019, 11:46 AM   #3530
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I think it will come down to the Mark Norman trial and Lavscam. Curious how well those sit with people in Vancouver. Marie Henein is going to dredge up a lot of dirt on the government before November.
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Old 04-17-2019, 12:08 PM   #3531
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Kind of embarrassing for City to allow people on air to call the province racist while suggesting that their life is somehow in danger under a UCP government. Nice job feeding ammo to the right.
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What overheated garbage.

The suicide rate in Alberta spiked in 2015, despite the current rules surrounding GSA's. It has increased every year except 2016 post spike.

You know who are huge part of the people choosing to end their life? People without jobs and seeing their families fall apart. People without a place to sleep because they can't pay rent. People turning to substances to try and overcome the pain of a lack of income and loss of self-worth. The economy touches all of us.

We can support minorities and have a strong economy. Overall, the utility of a UCP government is clearly more overreaching than the NDP.
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Yeah, it was over the top.



Also, don't chew fracking gum in an interview, its one of my pet peeves.
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That panel was terrible, two leftist ideologues who don't have a clue about the economy. Keep running on your wedge issues and you'll keep losing.
Finally got a chance to fully listen to that. Surprised by the huff and raspberry (3:25) by the panelist when they were called out for identity politics.

I assume that the gum was launched out at the point?
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Old 04-17-2019, 12:17 PM   #3532
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Interesting Twitter thread read about the results compared to 2015:

https://twitter.com/user/status/1118511643762159616
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Old 04-17-2019, 12:29 PM   #3533
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Originally Posted by puckedoff View Post
Do candidates have some say in what riding they run in (presumably they must live in the riding?)

It seems like the AP candidates who had a hope of winning their seats were running in ridings with very strong contenders from other parties.

I don't mind the FPTP system, even though it often screws us Federally I think it makes the most sense.
Yup, you can run in any riding you want, there's no requirement for a candidate to live in their riding, that's how parachute candidates work.

That being said, it make sense to run in the riding you live in, as people are less likely to vote for someone who doesn't live there.
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Old 04-17-2019, 12:32 PM   #3534
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Pretty emphatic turnout, from both the NDP and the UPC. That's good for democracy. Glad to see people took this election seriously.
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Old 04-17-2019, 12:39 PM   #3535
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FCP with less than 9000 total votes, hopefully Fildebrandt takes the hint.
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Old 04-17-2019, 12:47 PM   #3536
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Quote:
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Yup, you can run in any riding you want, there's no requirement for a candidate to live in their riding, that's how parachute candidates work.
Parachuting Len Rhodes into Edmonton-Meadows was a hilariously bad move.
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Old 04-17-2019, 01:02 PM   #3537
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Anyone know what we're supposed to do with lawn signs? Do the parties usually come by to pick them up or we just toss them?
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Old 04-17-2019, 01:13 PM   #3538
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Most likely your problem.
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Old 04-17-2019, 01:14 PM   #3539
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Anyone know what we're supposed to do with lawn signs? Do the parties usually come by to pick them up or we just toss them?
Metal wire ones, who knows? Wooden ones you toss into your neighbour's windshield.
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Old 04-17-2019, 01:24 PM   #3540
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I'm just waiting until the taps to BC get turned off.
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