Quote:
Originally Posted by Samonadreau
It's crazy to think but he has a shot at passing Gretzky at 894.
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A shot, sure, but think of it this way.
He's got 270 to go to beat Gretzky. Let's be generous and say he keeps up his current pace and scores ~60 goals this year to bring that total down to around 230. If he plays until...
35 years old (the end of his current contract), he would need to average 115 goals per season over the remaining two seasons. Clearly not happening.
36 years old... 77 goals per season. Again, probably not.
37 years old... 58 goals per season. So basically assuming he is immune to aging or having any kind of poor/injured/lockout-shortened season.
38 years old... 46 goals per season.
39 years old... 39 goals per season.
FORTY YEARS OLD... 33 goals per season.
Is he really going to average 30+ goals per season over the next seven years in even this scenario? The way Ovi plays I just can't see him having a Gordie Howe/Jaromir Jagr type of career that stretches into his 40s. And if he does and he's still scoring between 40 and 60 goals a year doing it then he deserves whatever accolades he's due, because that would be unheard of in the history of the sport.
Possible, but highly unlikely, I'd reckon.