This team to me is already a 100 point team even before the Hamonic and Smith acquisitions. That disastrous first month was an adjustment period that to me, is not indicative of the potential that this team has. This was a 103 point pace team once they figured out the system and the first pair defense and 3M line came together.
Adding Hamonic and Smith could easily improve upon those numbers. Especially if the officials decide to not call every penalty possible now that Dennis Wideman is off the team.
This team to me is already a 100 point team even before the Hamonic and Smith acquisitions. That disastrous first month was an adjustment period that to me, is not indicative of the potential that this team has. This was a 103 point pace team once they figured out the system and the first pair defense and 3M line came together.
Adding Hamonic and Smith could easily improve upon those numbers. Especially if the officials decide to not call every penalty possible now that Dennis Wideman is off the team.
You can say the first month was an adjustment period, but I feel the odds of winning 10 in a row again are low. The flames fished about where they deserved to last season in my eyes. However with the new additions, I think this is a 100 point team.
The big question around whether a 100 point season is likely is our OT win rate. We have dominated 3 on 3 OT. Back in the 4/4 shoot out process the loser points were effectively random. There was no statistical evidence that a team was good at the shootout. With 3 on 3 the data is still not conclusive on whether it is random or not. I think the evidence is pretty strong that the flames are a good 3/3 team and will not regress to the mean. If 3/3 is random like shoot outs they will.
So the key to hitting 100 points is to continue their domination of overtime. That combined with Vegas being added makes it pretty easy
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Obviously wouldn't happen, but just for perspective... they play LVK, ARI, VAN and COL a total of 18 times.
If they were to run the table against those 4 teams, they would only need to be .500 against the rest of the league.
There are going to be a fair number of relatively easy points up for grabs this year and making the playoffs may well require something in the 96-98 point range.
If the site had one Edmonton topic and one Flames topic they wouldn't be close. The one Edmonton topic generally gets every Oiler issue in a calendar year. Every Calgary topic tumbles off the main page when something else comes up.
Moreover, prior to having the E=NG threads, a lot more of that stuff spilled over into other threads. A lot of people have asked why we allowed the thread to continue, and my answer would be
1. Because it is fun
2. Because it helps confine the mud slinging to a single thread
3. Because Edmonton IS no good
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What is our 3 on 3 record since it was introduced compared to the rest of the league? Are we #1?
Only LA and Chicago have won more (24 & 19 respectively) than the Flames (18) during 3-on-3 OT. No one has lost fewer than the Flames (6 -- tied with Colorado, one better than LA).
As a percentage, LA's 24-7 (77.4%) record is better than Calgary's 18-6 (75%). This ignores games that eventually went to a shootout.
If you take into account shootout games, LA and Calgary are the only teams who have won more than half their OT games during 3-on-3.
No team has a better combined OT and shootout record than the Flames since 3-on-3 OT was introduced (winning 68.57% of all games that have gone to OT).
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I came across one of the more analytical posts below. Guessing its an Edmonton schooled person born C. 1968. Repeated triptych pattern of exclamation marks indicates yelling perhaps due to loss of hearing from infectious water from wave pool at West Ed. "ala Goo!!!" in the local dialect references a menu accompaniment for pirogies? Or something that is found in jogging pants? I can't tell.
Quote:
eskoil68 Rank 24
When will Sam sign!!!
Tre better dig deep into those pockets!!!
Training camp is days away - locker stall will be empty ala Goo!!!
