[GT] Flames 2016-17 Playoff Snake

[SeeGeeWhy]

That's cool dolf, how did you do that?

Hail snek

[djsFlames]

[dolf]

Originally Posted by SeeGeeWhy

That's cool dolf, how did you do that?

Hail snek

I used a tool/language called R to do the analysis and then Shiny, which is a web framework for R to put it online. Shiny basically allows you to easily convert the code you used during the analysis in R and turn it into a user-facing prototype. If you're familiar with R, I used a library called plotly to generate the graphs, which is nice because it adds the interactivity to it that lets you zoom in and out and toggle on and off various lines, etc. Let me know if you want to know more - would be happy to share more details.

[squiggs96]

The snake has risen for three straight games, and now sits 6.220 points below the black line. It is 6 points below the green snake and 4 points above the purple snake. The red snake requires 39 points in the remaining 28 games in order to end the season with 96 points. That's a 1.393 PPG pace, or a 19-8-1 record.

[heep223]

That's very achievable given that they've gone through their compressed schedule already. They'll be more rested for the remaining games. They only have one back to back remaining and some nice long breaks.

The red snek rises.

[Flamescuprun2018]

At current pace projecting for 87 points just below the WC #2 spot and 12th seed in lottery (considering Las Vegas at 3rd seed).

That 89 pt WC #2 projection has not changed for 2 months. 90 pt looking very safe.

Just need to go 15-10-3 for 90 points which seems possible if Elliott/Johnson gets on a real streak!

An even record the rest of the way is 11th seed in lottery.

Source: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html

[Mazrim]

Originally Posted by Flamescuprun2018

At current pace projecting for 87 points just below the WC #2 spot and 12th seed in lottery (considering Las Vegas at 3rd seed).

That 89 pt WC #2 projection has not changed for 2 months. 90 pt looking very safe.

Just need to go 15-10-3 for 90 points which seems possible if Elliott/Johnson gets on a real streak!

An even record the rest of the way is 11th seed in lottery.

Source: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html

[Gaskal]

Originally Posted by Flamescuprun2018

Source: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html

[sec304]

Originally Posted by Flamescuprun2018

At current pace projecting for 87 points just below the WC #2 spot and 12th seed in lottery (considering Las Vegas at 3rd seed).

That 89 pt WC #2 projection has not changed for 2 months. 90 pt looking very safe.

Just need to go 15-10-3 for 90 points which seems possible if Elliott/Johnson gets on a real streak!

An even record the rest of the way is 11th seed in lottery.

Source: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html

Although I come here for the SNEK, I still appreciate little updates from SCS as that was what I used in previous years before the SNEK!

[Cecil Terwilliger]

Originally Posted by sec304

Although I come here for the SNEK, I still appreciate little updates from SCS as that was what I used in previous years before the SNEK!

No. This is squiggs' thread and only squiggs approved topics are allowed to be discussed.

[sec304]

Originally Posted by Cecil Terwilliger

No. This is squiggs' thread and only squiggs approved topics are allowed to be discussed.

So we should start another playoff point prediction thread for SCS?? Seems redundant to me. I don't mind a small update within the pictures of snakes.

But if the masses want a new thread then so be it

[squiggs96]

Originally Posted by Cecil Terwilliger

No. This is squiggs' thread and only squiggs approved topics are allowed to be discussed.

There are 435 threads in FOI alone. I don't think it's that big of an ask to keep one of them on a set topic. I think it's annoying when a Jankowski thread turns into a religious debate. There is a new GDT for each game. Are those redundant? Like any thread, if you don't like the topic, why not just close it and go to another thread?

[thymebalm]

[Two Fivenagame]

[squiggs96]

An excellent record of 4-1-0 in the last five games has put the red snake back to within 6.561 points of the black line. It is 6 points below the green snake and 6 points above the purple snake.

[djsFlames]

At a crossroads. Exactly half way between snek green and snek purple.

Which snek will it go home with?

[EldrickOnIce]

Originally Posted by djsFlames

At a crossroads. Exactly half way between snek green and snek purple.

Which snek will it go home with?

Green Snek way hotter.
Purple Snek way easier.

[smiggy77]

Originally Posted by EldrickOnIce

Green Snek way hotter.
Purple Snek way easier.

[Otto-matic]

Time to mop away the purple snek

[squiggs96]

After 5 days off, the red snake is ready to rise again. I'm hoping the break energized the players, instead of making them complacent. The red snake is currently on pace for 86 points. This is not good enough. It will need 37 points in the last 26 games. That's a 18-7-1 record, or 1.423 PPG. This is your frequent reminder that the black line is 1.171 PPG.

The rest of February looks like this:
vs. Arizona (18-28-7) Arizona plays in Edmonton the next night
vs. Philadelphia (27-22-7) Philadelphia plays in Edmonton the next night
at Vancouver (25-25-6) Vancouver plays Philadelphia at home the next night
at Nashville (27-21-8)
at Tampa Bay (25-24-7)
at Florida (24-20-10) 2nd game of back to back for Calgary
at Carolina (24-22-7)
vs. Los Angeles (28-23-4) LA plays in Minnesota the night before

Here are the teams' records, since I posted the records on January 26th.
Calgary (3-1-0)
vs. Arizona (2-2-1)
vs. Philadelphia (2-3-1)
at Vancouver (2-4-0)
at Nashville (3-4-0)
at Tampa Bay (3-2-1)
at Florida (3-1-0)
at Carolina (3-2-0)
vs. Los Angeles (4-2-0)

Having the next three games against teams start back to back, is annoying, but this may help us. Edmonton and Philadelphia have better records, so we could be getting the backups for those games. The other positive is that none of the teams Calgary is about to playing outstanding in the last couple weeks. None of the next four games have winning records, but the last four teams do. Of the remaining opponents in February, LA holds the best record over the last 10 games at 6-4-0. It's nice we aren't drawing Washington and NY Rangers on this road trip, as both are 8-2-0 in the last 10.