Fair enough. I know Squiggs has got to pick a target and that 96 is a rational one. When I see 54 points in 43 games it's just nice to do a little re-calibration if for no other reason than to minimize my anxiety
But the Flames have been playing at a significantly better pace in the space of the past seven weeks. 1.35 pts/GP actually yields 58 points in the next 43 games.
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The way things are consistently projecting 94 points gets 3rd in Pacific. 92 points gets second wildcard and 88 points gets last wildcard spot (where we sit currently). This might increase a little as the race heats up but the wildcard spots are going to be much lower than 96 points.
I will punch you in the taint if you bring sportsclubstats into this thread again. Punch you in the taint!
The snake has nothing to do with the actual standings, or percent chance you'll make the playoffs. I enjoy sportsclubstats, and I go to their website every day. 96 was chosen as a specific number. 96 points represents the total points needed to guarantee yourself a playoff spot. If you hit 96 points, it doesn't matter what anyone else is doing, as you'll be in. No Western Conference team has achieved 96 points and missed the playoffs. Multiple Western Conference teams have achieved 95 points and missed the playoffs. The Flames still can make the playoffs without getting 96 points, but they will need help from other teams. This may well be one of those years. That said, none of what other teams are doing are relative to the snake. As long as you focus on your own team, and achieving 96 points, you'll be okay.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Murph
Getting 54 points in 43 games is going to be a TOUGH slog. It'll take something like a 25-14-4 record.
54 points in 43 games is 1.256 PPG. 96 points in 82 games is 1.171 PPG. Due to the bad start, but mitigated by their play over the last 23 games, the red snake needs .085 PPG more than the black line's pace.
1.171 PPG over the last 43 games is 50 points. So the Flames need an extra 4 points over the last 43 games in order to hit 96. That seems doable to me. Their pace in the last 23 games is 1.348 PPG. Their schedule, as discussed in post #292, is favourable for the next month.
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Originally Posted by Murph
I think this illustrates it's not going to take 96 points to make the playoffs given we currently occupy a spot.
That's not the point of a 96 point snake.
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It's kinda cool how we've been losing the games we're supposed to lose and winning the games we are supposed to win lately.. That is so weird as a flames fan.
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With a 4-0 thrashing of the Avalanche, the red snake continues on its current rise. It moves to 2.829 points below the black line, the closest it has been since the completion of game #31. The red snake is one point below the green snake, and can be above it for the first time all season with a win on Friday against Vancouver. Like a stock facing a ceiling, it will be nice to bust through that ceiling, and make the green snake the floor. The green snake loses its next two games, and with a home and home against Vancouver, it's a great opportunity. The red snake is now 4 points above the purple snake. With a win in the next game, it would be 6 points, and would be the largest gap all season. After game #9, there was a 5 point gap. This is a big weekend for the red snake. Four more straight wins are required to get above the black line.
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Jesus this site these days
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He just seemed like a very nice person. I loved Squiggy.
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With a 4-0 thrashing of the Avalanche, the red snake continues on its current rise. It moves to 2.829 points below the black line, the closest it has been since the completion of game #31. The red snake is one point below the green snake, and can be above it for the first time all season with a win on Friday against Vancouver. Like a stock facing a ceiling, it will be nice to bust through that ceiling, and make the green snake the floor. The green snake loses its next two games, and with a home and home against Vancouver, it's a great opportunity. The red snake is now 4 points above the purple snake. With a win in the next game, it would be 6 points, and would be the largest gap all season. After game #9, there was a 5 point gap. This is a big weekend for the red snake. Four more straight wins are required to get above the black line.
You may want to edit your chart - you have the flames winning 3 games that haven't happened yet!
With the Flames in the midst of a powderpuff schedule, squiggs should finally be able to post the snake chart he's been waiting for all season. Only 3 points away!
With the Flames in the midst of a powderpuff schedule, squiggs should finally be able to post the snake chart he's been waiting for all season. Only 3 points away!
So close. Last night's game in Boston did not help
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He just seemed like a very nice person. I loved Squiggy.
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I should probably stop posting at this point
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