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Old 10-19-2015, 08:09 PM   #321
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Assuming it's representative.

The problem is advanced polls, hospital polls, and old folks homes are smaller and therefore are counted faster so can skew results.

A sample size of 80 probably has a plus / minus of 8% or so if it's a representative sample your right.
A 70-29 lead in Outremont is huge. Cant see Mulcair making that back. Most boxes are the same.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:09 PM   #322
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7 polls in, Matt Grant has a lead of several points in Calgary Confederation. Historic!
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:09 PM   #323
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Looking like Liberal Majority. Pretty surprised. Definitely didn't see that coming.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:10 PM   #324
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Pretty much the results I expected last week.

Disappointed (but not surprised) to see Harper leading in our Calgary Heritage riding, hope both Matt Masters (NDP) and Brendan Miles (Liberal) opt to run in the inevitable by election when Harper steps down. Might actually end up with some actual representation for our riding in parliament.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:10 PM   #325
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Of course my riding still isn't reporting.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:10 PM   #326
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Mulcair to lose his seat?? LOL
Olivia Chow is well behind right now as well.

NDP Superstars in trouble for sure.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:11 PM   #327
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Liberal majority doesn't seem that far away all of a sudden...
Hopefully it ends up as a minority.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:12 PM   #328
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To save everyone extra clicks

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Old 10-19-2015, 08:12 PM   #329
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Hard to think it won't be a majority once BC starts reporting.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:13 PM   #330
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Liberals only need 7 more seats with 50 to go.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:13 PM   #331
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Hopefully it ends up as a minority.
No. Or we're all taking it up the arse again inside of two years, getting shafted by paying for another election. No thanks.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:13 PM   #332
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Victoria will end up with one I bet
Victoria might have Jo-anne Roberts. Its between her and Murray Rankin (Ndp). Liberal candidate dropped out and there is no way the Conservative person gets it.


Sannich- Gulf Island will probably re-elect Elizibeth May.

So there could be 2 elected in the area.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:13 PM   #333
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They only need 5 seats out of 47. It's over.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:14 PM   #334
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It looks like Marc Garneau's riding is going to be close. Only leading by 2 votes.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:14 PM   #335
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I hate when they call election results historic. All election results are historic
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:14 PM   #336
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How is Kent Hehr losing to Joan Crockatt? Ugh that sucks.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:14 PM   #337
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Harper's nightmare is coming true hahaha hope he enjoys it.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:15 PM   #338
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Glorious.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:15 PM   #339
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Shaping into a majority if these projections hold up. Holy cow, I didn't think that would happen.
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Old 10-19-2015, 08:15 PM   #340
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Liberals destroyed the NDP in this election.
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