Rube's 2015 NFL Gambling Odyssey - Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community

rubecube · 09-11-2015, 11:09 AM

It's a new season! Finished last year with a respectable 54-48-3 record ATS. It's week 1, so I'm playing a lot of games because usually the books are slightly off for the first two weeks.

Here we go!

PIT +7 (push)
JAX +3
NYJ -3.5
GB -6.5
BUF +2.5
STL +4
ARI -2.5
DEN -4
NYG +6
PHI -3

Jason14h · 09-11-2015, 11:12 AM

Lots of home team underdogs. Historically the home team covers a higher percentage of these situations. Also good for teasing in a 4 teamer.

Sylvanfan · 09-11-2015, 12:59 PM

I must like the Dolphins too much and dislike the Skins to a point where I think 3.5 points for the Fins is a no brainer. Granted...I'm at work I can't access proper gambling sites...only wclc.

Sylvanfan · 09-13-2015, 10:19 PM

Good start for you. 7-1-1 with Monday to go.

rubecube · 09-14-2015, 05:39 PM

I added the Fins yesterday day, too, so 8-1-1.

GirlySports · 09-14-2015, 09:37 PM

The Browns are -3 against the Titans! Bet everything on the Titans NOW!!!!!

Sylvanfan · 09-15-2015, 12:08 AM

Last I saw Lovie Smith as first coach to be fired was 10 to 1.

Sylvanfan · 09-16-2015, 12:12 PM

I see that the Chiefs are opening as the favorite against Denver.

I'd bet my house on the Bronco's. Manning is 6-0 against the Chiefs and only in one game did it ever look like the Chiefs had a chance to win. KC is still playing without Sean Smith who's their best cover corner, and Dontari Poe is a still beat up which impacts the edge rushers being able to get to the QB, and will allow the Donkeys to run the ball at will. The prolific duo of Mallet and Hoyer lit up the Chiefs for like 400 yards passing. So I would expect Denver to rebound big time, and their defence will absolutely abuse KC's offensive line which is still horribly weak.

I would expect Denver to win this game like 28-6. No way KC can mount an offensive touch down against that group.

Weitz · 09-16-2015, 01:29 PM

Took a parlay of Chiefs, Bills, and Packers risked 6 to win 30 on sunday. Was nice to start the year off in the positive.

rubecube · 09-16-2015, 03:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sylvanfan

I see that the Chiefs are opening as the favorite against Denver.

I'd bet my house on the Bronco's. Manning is 6-0 against the Chiefs and only in one game did it ever look like the Chiefs had a chance to win. KC is still playing without Sean Smith who's their best cover corner, and Dontari Poe is a still beat up which impacts the edge rushers being able to get to the QB, and will allow the Donkeys to run the ball at will. The prolific duo of Mallet and Hoyer lit up the Chiefs for like 400 yards passing. So I would expect Denver to rebound big time, and their defence will absolutely abuse KC's offensive line which is still horribly weak.

I would expect Denver to win this game like 28-6. No way KC can mount an offensive touch down against that group.

I just don't touch Thursday night games. Too much weird #### happens.

Hockey · 09-16-2015, 04:25 PM

I like Pittsburgh this week. San Fran is coming off a short week and traveling to the east coast. 10am kickoff and of course Pittsburgh had extra days rest.

DropIt · 09-16-2015, 07:02 PM

only really felt good about the Giants +7 and the Packers -6.5. parlayed them both at $25 and won a good cushion for the season. Going to take Sylvan's advice this week, since he seems to feel the way I did about Chicago last week

rubecube · 09-18-2015, 12:45 PM

8-2-1 last week. Now week 2 a.k.a. the week where everyone overreacts to week 1. This is the week where I look for spreads that should be a couple points higher or lower.

HOU +3
TB +9
PIT -6.5
TEN -1.5 (hate this pick right after I made it)
WSH +3
BAL -6.5
SEA +3.5
PHI -5
NYJ +7

Sylvanfan · 09-18-2015, 05:07 PM

I didn't have the guts to bet my house on the Bronco's last night...only $20.

Still the winnings can feed my family this weekend!

transplant99 · 09-19-2015, 07:33 PM

With what may be the difference in the GB/SEA game, the Packers have announced that starting RT Brian Bulaga is out 4-6 weeks with surgery on a torn meniscus. His replacement Don Barclay hasn't played since 2013.

Seattles front 7 should be licking their chops. Hawks +3 1/2 is a pretty good value bet in this spot now.

rubecube · 09-25-2015, 11:16 AM

Got too cocky last week and went 4-5. Now 12-7-1 for the year. I'm on way too many games again this week. Strategically speaking, there's too much of my bankroll in play (about 35% when I should be in the 20% range). Anyways...

ATL -2
STL +1.5
MIN -2.5
TB +6.5
NYJ -2
OAK +4
AZ -6.5
DEN -3
GB -7

malcolmk14 · 09-26-2015, 06:06 PM

I'm 11-8-0 ATS this year.

DropIt · 09-26-2015, 06:50 PM

Dropped all of the monies on SEA +15 this week.

My picks this week are PIT, SEA, BUF, ATL, TB, KC

rubecube · 09-26-2015, 09:38 PM

Which crazy site is giving you +15 on Seattle? :-P

transplant99 · 09-27-2015, 07:48 AM

Carolina is -9.5. Sounded absurd and a game to avoid until I read this about Luke McCown who starts for NO today.

Quote:

He hasn’t thrown a pass since 2013, hasn’t completed a pass since 2011 and hasn’t thrown a TD pass since 2007.

His last NFL start was brutal (six completions and four interceptions in a 32-3 loss for the Jacksonville Jaguars at the New York Jets in Week 2 of the 2011 season

This game could be fugly as the Saints O line is a train wreck to begin with. I'm layin the points.