04-04-2015, 09:56 AM
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#41
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Scoring Winger
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: On the Bandwagon
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What a year this has been , and it only gets better !
may have to stream this from cbc at work tonight , screw improper use of work computers GFG!
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04-04-2015, 09:57 AM
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#42
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Income Tax Central
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Alright, I'll say it then. Must Win Game.
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The Beatings Shall Continue Until Morale Improves!
This Post Has Been Distilled for the Eradication of Seemingly Incurable Sadness.
The World Ends when you're dead. Until then, you've got more punishment in store. - Flames Fans
If you thought this season would have a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention.
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04-04-2015, 10:07 AM
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#43
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Boca Raton, FL
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vinny01
Flames need to stay out of the box as edmontons power play is deadly
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You consider the 19th ranked power play deadly? 
__________________
"You know, that's kinda why I came here, to show that I don't suck that much" ~ Devin Cooley, Professional Goaltender
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04-04-2015, 10:10 AM
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#44
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cali Flames Fan
You consider the 19th ranked power play deadly? |
In fairness, over some recent period (can't remember what it was), it has been tops in the league.
Though, in that same period, the Flames' PP was something like 5th or 6th
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04-04-2015, 10:13 AM
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#45
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Boca Raton, FL
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
In fairness, over some recent period (can't remember what it was), it has been tops in the league.
Though, in that same period, the Flames' PP was something like 5th or 6th
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Exactly. Every team goes through hot stretches. The Oilers top players have been putting up quite a lot of points lately. However, when the time came to face playoff teams like Anaheim and L.A., that dried up pretty quick. I like large sample sizes much better for predicting the future.
__________________
"You know, that's kinda why I came here, to show that I don't suck that much" ~ Devin Cooley, Professional Goaltender
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04-04-2015, 10:15 AM
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#46
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Crash and Bang Winger
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: Center City
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Bennett with the hat trick and one assist. Legacy starts against the coil tonight.
Large Image
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04-04-2015, 10:18 AM
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#47
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Djibouti
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Quote:
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The Flames' playoff chances currently sit at 78%, but a loss tonight would drop their chances by 17.1%, whereas a win only increases their odds by 7.1%
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Has anyone seen any retrospective analysis determining whether the odds this site gives actually turn out to be accurate?
The way they fluctuate based on single results, my gut tells me they're somewhere between unreliable and (mathematically) baseless
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04-04-2015, 10:23 AM
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#48
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: The Bay Area
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike F
Has anyone seen any retrospective analysis determining whether the odds this site gives actually turn out to be accurate?
The way they fluctuate based on single results, my gut tells me they're somewhere between unreliable and (mathematically) baseless
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With only a few games left a large fluctuation based on a single result would be entirely expected.
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04-04-2015, 10:23 AM
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#49
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Flames fan in Seattle
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That top picture: Gaudreau to bennett, drooooool
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04-04-2015, 10:24 AM
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#50
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: CGY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cali Flames Fan
You consider the 19th ranked power play deadly? |
Don't forget they had Eakins as a coach for a good chunk it the year. I recall reading they have the best PP since the all star break
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04-04-2015, 10:25 AM
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#51
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Some kinda newsbreaker!
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Learning Phaneufs skating style
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Derek Wills @Fan960Wills
Corey Potter will replace Rapha Diaz on #Flames third pairing vs. #Oilers tonight. #CGYvsEDM
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04-04-2015, 10:26 AM
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#52
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Flames fan in Seattle
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Boo.
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04-04-2015, 10:30 AM
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#53
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Norm!
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Hammer the Oilers hard physically and they'll fold, they've looked like a team that can't wait for Golf season in the last two games.
I don't think that they're weak defense and defensively terrible forwards can contend with the Flames speed and skill.
__________________
My name is Ozymandias, King of Kings;
Look on my Works, ye Mighty, and despair!
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04-04-2015, 10:30 AM
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#54
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Scoring Winger
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike F
Has anyone seen any retrospective analysis determining whether the odds this site gives actually turn out to be accurate?
The way they fluctuate based on single results, my gut tells me they're somewhere between unreliable and (mathematically) baseless
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I can understand the huge fluctuations. 3 games left and a tight race between us, LA, and WPG.
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04-04-2015, 10:36 AM
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#55
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Crash and Bang Winger
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Just win.
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04-04-2015, 10:37 AM
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#56
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Victoria, BC
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@Fan960Wills: Don't expect to find out if #Flames Sam Bennett will make #NHL debut vs. #Oilers until right before tonight's game. #CGYvsEDM #BennettWatch
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04-04-2015, 10:39 AM
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#57
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: CGY
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Gotta think Bennett will be in. Better to start him on a road game rather than debut at home.
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04-04-2015, 10:40 AM
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#58
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#1 Goaltender
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike F
Has anyone seen any retrospective analysis determining whether the odds this site gives actually turn out to be accurate?
The way they fluctuate based on single results, my gut tells me they're somewhere between unreliable and (mathematically) baseless
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In my opinion the math is very strong. The only questionable thing is how they weight the results for strength of schedule. I like to toggle between their weighted ranking and the 50/50 ranking to get a couple perspectives.
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04-04-2015, 10:41 AM
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#59
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Djibouti
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the2bears
With only a few games left a large fluctuation based on a single result would be entirely expected.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HarryH93
I can understand the huge fluctuations. 3 games left and a tight race between us, LA, and WPG.
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And my question being: If a team goes from 80% to 60% in one game, how accurate was that 80%?
Has anyone looked to see if teams that Sports Club Stats says have an 80% chance of making the playoffs 1, 2, 8, etc. weeks out actually make the playoffs 80% of the time? Or is everyone just taking them at their word because they have a website with lots of numbers, and charts and graphs?
Last edited by Mike F; 04-04-2015 at 10:43 AM.
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04-04-2015, 10:45 AM
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#60
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Powerplay Quarterback
Join Date: Oct 2014
Location: Calgary
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In other news on the OOT side, we might see a motivated Vancouver team this afternoon because they could clinch tonight.
Makes me puke cheering for them but it's for the good of us!!!!
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